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18123 Avenue A
C+ Composite 60.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$215,000

18123 Avenue A · North Edwards, CA 93523
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1965 0.65 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for space, affordability, and small-town living? This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers over 2,184 square feet of living space in the quiet community of Aerial Acres. Built in 1965, the home showcases vintage character with a cozy wood stove fireplace, large floor-to-ceiling windows, and a functional split floor plan that places the primary bedroom away from the secondary bedrooms for added privacy. The dedicated laundry room/mud room adds everyday functionality, while the covered carport and RV access provide plenty of space for vehicles, trailers, and recreational equipment. The courtyard-style backyard creates a setting for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying the quiet desert evenings. This is ideal for buyers seeking room to grow, rural living, or a convenient commute to Edwards Air Force Base and local mining operations. If you're looking for space, character, and affordability, this North Edwards home is a must-see.

Key facts

  • Wood stove fireplace
  • Covered carport
  • Rv access

Tags

WOOD STOVE FIREPLACEFLOOR TO CEILING WINDOWSSPLIT FLOOR PLANDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMCOVERED CARPORTRV ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Rural and suburban community features

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 garage spaces; 2 total parking spaces; Carport; RV potential
  • Utilities: District/public water; Septic (type unknown); Propane available; Electricity connected with 220V throughout; Cable connected; Sewer available
  • Home design: House; Single-story; Entry at front door; Has a view; No ADU; Property listed as fixer with cosmetic repairs needed
  • Construction: Brick and stucco construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete slab foundation; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Deck; Awning; Shed; No pool; Fenced yard with block wall and chain link; Desert front and back landscaping; Rectangular lot shape; Rural/suburban setting; Access via unpaved country road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Formica counters; Free-standing range; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 3 main level bathrooms; Full bathrooms include shower-in-tub
  • Heating & cooling: Wall heater; Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Block walls; Ceiling fan; Formica counters; One-level home; Front door entry; Main floor has 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms; Fireplaces with wood-burning in the living room and den
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#930 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Muroc Joint Unified (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #340 of 517 in CA (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $215k implies a 330% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.76%
Cash-on-cash
8.81%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$14,974
Equity at exit
$55,214
10-year hold
IRR
11.4%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$69,682
Equity at exit
$60,854

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93523

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,189 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $849/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$442

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,630
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $215,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $215,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $215,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $215,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$849 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,634 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$785/yr (+$65/mo · 92.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,271
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$849
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,102
− Management
−$2,102
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable income
$1,846
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$443
After-tax cash flow
$4,858/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muroc Joint Unified
NCES district ID
0626490
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$47,457
Composite
26.31/100
National rank
#7241
State rank
#340 of 517 in CA

Livability — North Edwards

Score
53/100
State rank
#930
US rank
#24267

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Edwards, CA
Population (ZIP)
3,681

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
947,286 people
By 2030
978,984 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,045,018 · +10.3%
By 2050
1,105,232 · +16.7%
By 2075
1,229,538 · +29.8%
By 2100
1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Two or more races 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.68%
Current HPI
354.8553
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+330.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $215,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $215,000 AVMLS
  • 2011-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2011-03-11 Sold (MLS) $50,000 AVMLS
  • 2010-10-05 Listed $49,900 AVMLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $849 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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