18123 Avenue A · North Edwards, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for space, affordability, and small-town living? This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers over 2,184 square feet of living space in the quiet community of Aerial Acres. Built in 1965, the home showcases vintage character with a cozy wood stove fireplace, large floor-to-ceiling windows, and a functional split floor plan that places the primary bedroom away from the secondary bedrooms for added privacy. The dedicated laundry room/mud room adds everyday functionality, while the covered carport and RV access provide plenty of space for vehicles, trailers, and recreational equipment. The courtyard-style backyard creates a setting for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying the quiet desert evenings. This is ideal for buyers seeking room to grow, rural living, or a convenient commute to Edwards Air Force Base and local mining operations. If you're looking for space, character, and affordability, this North Edwards home is a must-see.
Key facts
- Wood stove fireplace
- Covered carport
- Rv access
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Rural and suburban community features
Exterior
- Parking: 2 garage spaces; 2 total parking spaces; Carport; RV potential
- Utilities: District/public water; Septic (type unknown); Propane available; Electricity connected with 220V throughout; Cable connected; Sewer available
- Home design: House; Single-story; Entry at front door; Has a view; No ADU; Property listed as fixer with cosmetic repairs needed
- Construction: Brick and stucco construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete slab foundation; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Deck; Awning; Shed; No pool; Fenced yard with block wall and chain link; Desert front and back landscaping; Rectangular lot shape; Rural/suburban setting; Access via unpaved country road
Interior
- Kitchen: Formica counters; Free-standing range; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: 3 main level bathrooms; Full bathrooms include shower-in-tub
- Heating & cooling: Wall heater; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Block walls; Ceiling fan; Formica counters; One-level home; Front door entry; Main floor has 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms; Fireplaces with wood-burning in the living room and den
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#930 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Muroc Joint Unified (rural): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #340 of 517 in CA (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.7% local appreciation)).
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $215k implies a 330% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.81%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $14,974
- Equity at exit
- $55,214
- IRR
- 11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $69,682
- Equity at exit
- $60,854
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93523
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,189 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $849/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $442
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$215,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $849 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,634 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$785/yr (+$65/mo · 92.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,271
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$849
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,102
- − Management
- −$2,102
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $1,846
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$443
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,858/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muroc Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0626490
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,457
- Composite
- 26.31/100
- National rank
- #7241
- State rank
- #340 of 517 in CA
Livability — North Edwards
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #930
- US rank
- #24267
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Edwards, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,681
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Two or more races 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.68%
- Current HPI
- 354.8553
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+330.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $215,000 CRMLS
- 2026-06-11 Listed $215,000 AVMLS
- 2011-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2011-03-11 Sold (MLS) $50,000 AVMLS
- 2010-10-05 Listed $49,900 AVMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $849 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…