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7836 Theisen St
D+ Composite 49.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

7836 Theisen St · Dearborn, MI 48126
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1929 4,792 sqft lot Est $169k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED - OFFER DEADLINE, WEDNESDAY JUNE 17TH @ 12PM * * This historic 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom brick bungalow is located in Dearborn half of the renowned Aviation subdivision! The property needs a FULL REHAB, but some of its original charm like the hardwood floorinh throughout and the original tile bathrooms might be salvageable! The property has a spacious living room, bonus room, dining room, kitchen, breakfast nook, 1 full bath, and a bedroom on the 1st floor, while the 2nd floor has the other 3 bedrooms and the full bath! The basement was finished but will need a lot of work to restore; it does feature the half bath! This property offers a terrific opportunity for someone who wants to create a beautiful family home in the thriving Dearborn community OR for an investor looking for their next flip project! CASH OR HARD MONEY ONLY AND CASH IS STRONGLY PREFERRED - DO NOT CALL ME ASKING ABOUT SELLER FINANCING OR CONVENTIONAL. SOLD AS-IS. SALE IS SUBJECT TO COURT APPROVAL.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Bonus room
  • Dining room

Tags

HISTORIC BRICK BUNGALOWHARDWOOD FLOORINGORIGINAL TILE BATHROOMSSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMBONUS ROOMDINING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential, single family residence; Lot dimensions: 40 x 120 (0.11 acres)
  • HOA & community: Neighborhood sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with approximately 2.5 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-and-one-half story; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction; Faces unspecified direction
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Built area above grade: 1,536 (square feet)
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Front porch; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes gas water heater (no additional appliance details provided)
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating with natural gas; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Partially furnished; Gas water heater; Fireplace in the living room; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility area (basement unfinished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-396/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (3.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $144k (3.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.3% in Dearborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#84 in MI, #1,904 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D.
  • Dearborn City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #325 of 540 in MI (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mcdonald Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,110 of 1,397 statewide, top 81%, 335 students, 89% FRL); Unis Middle School (math 21% / reading 34%, grade F, #363 of 493 statewide, top 75%, 579 students, 87% FRL); Fordson High School (math 31% / reading 49%, grade F, #299 of 713 statewide, top 42%, 2,339 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 66% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.2%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,785/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2742% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $144,071 (3.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.94%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$168,960
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8205 Appoline St 0.37mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,580 (+3%) 1mo $105,000 $66 66
8010 Normile St 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+4%) 7mo $219,999 $137 65
7741 Miller Rd 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,389 (-10%) 7mo $280,000 $202 64
5801 Oakman Blvd 0.40mi 4/1.5 1,451 (-6%) 5mo $160,000 $110 62
8043 E Morrow Circle St E 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,398 (-9%) 8mo $155,000 $111 61
10035 Blesser St 0.62mi 4/1.5 1,512 (-2%) 7mo $227,000 $150 56
8860 Appoline St 0.69mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,561 (+2%) 4mo $61,272 $39 51
8301 Northlawn St 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,636 (+6%) 2mo $115,000 $70 48
8354 Wyoming Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,620 (+6%) 8mo $125,000 $77 48
8304 Pinehurst St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-12%) 9mo $123,500 $92 42
8607 Indiana St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,457 (-5%) 9mo $100,000 $69 42
8029 Hartwell St 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,389 (-10%) 2mo $165,000 $119 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-16,681
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$26,832
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48126

Rents YoY
13.2%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,785 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$595 /mo · $7,136/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$-33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,827
Max offer price $144,071
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $478 -5% $426 +0% $-33 +5% $-75 +10% $-118
Rent -10% $-174 -5% $-104 +0% $-33 +5% $38 +10% $108
Rate -1.0pp $42 -0.5pp $5 base $-33 +0.5pp $-72 +1.0pp $-111

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8143 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1370 $1,800 $1.31 0d 1 0.56mi
8230 Ohio St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,200 $0.89 19d 1 0.67mi
8320 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1737 $1,550 $0.89 22d 1 0.76mi
9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1589 $1,500 $0.94 46d 1 0.88mi
9355 Ward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,327 $1.11 46d 1 1.11mi
7424 Wykes St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 46d 1 1.16mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 46d 1 1.41mi
8047 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,200 $1.01 46d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $149,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,136 · $595/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,136 · $595/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,421
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$7,136
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,714
− Management
−$1,714
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$2,649
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$636
After-tax cash flow
$240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dearborn City School District
NCES district ID
2611600
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,884
Composite
27.93/100
National rank
#6864
State rank
#325 of 540 in MI

Livability — Dearborn

Score
80/100
State rank
#84
US rank
#1904

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dearborn, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
86,476
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
51,997
Household income
$42,140
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
2742.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Arab 8% Romanian 2% Armenian 1%
Foreign-born
43% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
26% English-only · Arabic 70% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -266.09%
Current HPI
241.0732
Rent YoY
▲ 13.15%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-11 Coming Soon $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+9.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,136 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…