183 Sand Hills Rd · Camden, NC
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3 bedroom, 1.5 Bathroom home is located in the countryside of Camden County. Located conveniently by the Camden 4H at Treasure Point, it is an investor special that will move quick. Large lot that is not in a flood zone. Ready for the right buyer to bring it to life, or start fresh.
Key facts
- Not in a flood zone
- Large lot
- 0.51 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 3.0% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#664 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living B+; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Camden County Schools (rural): math 56% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #29 of 178 in NC (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Grandy Primary (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A, #24 of 1,410 statewide, top 2%, 607 students, 32% FRL); Camden Middle (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C+, #98 of 475 statewide, top 21%, 267 students, 28% FRL); Camden County High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 464 students, 25% FRL).
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 105 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.68%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $387,324
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378 Country Club Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-9%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $232 | 60 |
| 382 Country Club Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (-8%) | 24mo | $323,000 | $228 | 43 |
| 114 Windy Heights Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,646 (+7%) | 13mo | $435,000 | $264 | 42 |
| 205 B St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,358 (-12%) | 23mo | $335,000 | $247 | 30 |
| 325 Country Club Rd | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,760 (+14%) | 17mo | $444,014 | $252 | 21 |
| 110 Windy Heights Dr | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 | 1,739 (+13%) | 21mo | $445,000 | $256 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $25,695
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $80,540
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27921
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,917 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $722/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $709
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $776 | -5% $742 | +0% $709 | +5% $675 | +10% $641 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $557 | -5% $633 | +0% $709 | +5% $784 | +10% $860 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $769 | -0.5pp $739 | base $709 | +0.5pp $677 | +1.0pp $646 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21pricestatusdays on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-30$142,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $722 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$262/yr (+$22/mo · 36.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$722
- − Insurance
- −$1,398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,840
- − Management
- −$1,840
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $6,991
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,678
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700600
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▲ 8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,622
- Composite
- 51.97/100
- National rank
- #1643
- State rank
- #29 of 178 in NC
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #664
- US rank
- #23883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,903
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,980 people
- By 2030
- 11,246 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 11,562 · +5.3%
- By 2050
- 11,572 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 11,450 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 10,648 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.2% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: -32.0pp · 2024: -50.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.8 2020: R+46.6 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+34.0 2008: R+32.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.09%
- Current HPI
- 166.2245
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-12 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $142,500 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $722 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…