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183 Sand Hills Rd
B Composite 70.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

183 Sand Hills Rd · Camden, NC 27921
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,537 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1979 0.51 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3 bedroom, 1.5 Bathroom home is located in the countryside of Camden County. Located conveniently by the Camden 4H at Treasure Point, it is an investor special that will move quick. Large lot that is not in a flood zone. Ready for the right buyer to bring it to life, or start fresh.

Key facts

  • Not in a flood zone
  • Large lot
  • 0.51 acre lot

Tags

LARGE LOTNOT IN A FLOOD ZONE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 3.0% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#664 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living B+; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Camden County Schools (rural): math 56% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #29 of 178 in NC (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Grandy Primary (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A, #24 of 1,410 statewide, top 2%, 607 students, 32% FRL); Camden Middle (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C+, #98 of 475 statewide, top 21%, 267 students, 28% FRL); Camden County High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 464 students, 25% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 105 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
14.04%
Cash-on-cash
27.68%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$387,324
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
378 Country Club Rd 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-9%) 0mo $325,000 $232 60
382 Country Club Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,419 (-8%) 24mo $323,000 $228 43
114 Windy Heights Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,646 (+7%) 13mo $435,000 $264 42
205 B St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,358 (-12%) 23mo $335,000 $247 30
325 Country Club Rd 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,760 (+14%) 17mo $444,014 $252 21
110 Windy Heights Dr 0.70mi 3/3.0 1,739 (+13%) 21mo $445,000 $256 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$25,695
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$80,540
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27921

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,917 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $722/yr
Insurance
$50
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$709

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,020
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $776 -5% $742 +0% $709 +5% $675 +10% $641
Rent -10% $557 -5% $633 +0% $709 +5% $784 +10% $860
Rate -1.0pp $769 -0.5pp $739 base $709 +0.5pp $677 +1.0pp $646

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricestatusdays on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  3. 2026-05-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2026-04-30
    listed $142,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$722 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$984 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$262/yr (+$22/mo · 36.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,004
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$722
− Insurance
−$1,398
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,840
− Management
−$1,840
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$6,991
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,678
After-tax cash flow
$6,824/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden County Schools
NCES district ID
3700600
Math proficiency
56% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$59,622
Composite
51.97/100
National rank
#1643
State rank
#29 of 178 in NC

Livability — Camden

Score
54/100
State rank
#664
US rank
#23883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing D+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,903

Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,980 people
By 2030
11,246 · +2.4%
By 2040
11,562 · +5.3%
By 2050
11,572 · +5.4%
By 2075
11,450 · +4.3%
By 2100
10,648 · -3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camden

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.2% · R 75.0%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: -32.0pp · 2024: -50.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.8 2020: R+46.6 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+34.0 2008: R+32.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.09%
Current HPI
166.2245
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $142,500 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $722 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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