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1 Gifford Ave Duplex
B Composite 70.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

1 Gifford Ave · Poughkeepsie, NY 12601
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,384 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1890 7,841 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

A/O as of 06/05 Two-family investment opportunity in the City of Poughkeepsie. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Property is partially gutted and requires substantial renovation. Ideal for investors, contractors, or buyers seeking a value-add project. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, public transportation, and major commuter routes. Bring your vision and restore this property to its full potential. Property being sold as-is. Cash or renovation financing only.

Key facts

  • Partially gutted
  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Built 1890

Tags

PARTIALLY GUTTEDSUBSTANTIAL RENOVATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Duplex
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Other heating type; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $871/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 3.4% in Poughkeepsie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#165 in NY, #2,577 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Poughkeepsie City School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #559 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Morse Young Magnet School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,041 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 495 students, 0% FRL); Poughkeepsie Middle School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #650 of 729 statewide, top 90%, 877 students, 82% FRL); Poughkeepsie High School (math 59% / reading 67%, grade B-, #819 of 1,100 statewide, top 74%, 1,165 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 73% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,614/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 2891% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.41%
Cap rate
20.23%
Cash-on-cash
49.78%
DSCR
3.21
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$308,632
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
45 Vernon Ter 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,500 (+8%) 15mo $310,000 $207 67
15 Vernon Ter 0.23mi 4/2.0 1,500 (+8%) 15mo $335,000 $223 63
21 Taylor Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,236 (-11%) 21mo $355,000 $287 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.3%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$89,213
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
54.2%
Equity multiple
6.50×
Total profit
$231,184
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12601

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,614 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$264 /mo · $3,164/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$759
Net cashflow
$1,742

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,409
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,827 -5% $1,785 +0% $1,742 +5% $1,700 +10% $1,657
Rent -10% $1,457 -5% $1,600 +0% $1,742 +5% $1,885 +10% $2,028
Rate -1.0pp $1,818 -0.5pp $1,780 base $1,742 +0.5pp $1,703 +1.0pp $1,664

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,614

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
61 Delafield St Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $2,600 $1.86 14d 1 0.16mi
40 N Clover St Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,175 $2.17 44d 1 0.18mi
40 Parker Ave Apt 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 44d 1 0.39mi
32 Balding Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1226 $2,500 $2.04 44d 1 0.41mi
6mt Carmel PL Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,500 $2.00 24d 1 0.42mi
50 Parker Ave Unit 3 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 44d 1 0.42mi
50 Parker Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,150 $1.65 24d 1 0.42mi
77 Marshall St Unit 1F Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $2,350 $2.24 44d 1 0.44mi
77 Marshall St Fl 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $2,250 $2.14 24d 1 0.44mi
77 Marshall St Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1050 $2,250 $2.14 44d 1 0.44mi
43 High St Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 4.0 1.0 1250 $2,300 $1.84 24d 1 0.65mi
139 N Hamilton St Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 4.0 1.0 955 $1,900 $1.99 14d 1 0.71mi
1 Grove St Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 44d 1 0.75mi
197 N Hamilton St #2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1056 $2,200 $2.08 24d 1 0.76mi
1 S Hamilton St Unit 3 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 44d 1 0.77mi
156 N Clinton St Apt 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 24d 1 0.78mi
36 Pine St Unit Three Bedroom Waitlist Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 2.0 1299 $3,300 $2.54 44d 1 0.79mi
2 Park Pl Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1380 $1,900 $1.38 24d 1 0.82mi
49 S Hamilton St Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 44d 1 0.86mi
25 Lent St #2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1008 $2,200 $2.18 44d 1 0.98mi
49 Carroll St Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1039 $2,200 $2.12 14d 1 1.00mi
1 Dean Pl Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 2.5 1700 $4,000 $2.35 14d 1 1.03mi
94 Winnikee Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 14d 1 1.09mi
25 Virginia Ave Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $2,200 $1.91 44d 1 1.10mi
104 Winnikee Ave #3 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 44d 1 1.11mi
197 Winnikee Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1344 $2,600 $1.93 44d 1 1.15mi
148 Winnikee Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1198 $1,900 $1.59 44d 1 1.15mi
9 Bartlett St Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1080 $2,000 $1.85 24d 1 1.16mi
8 Fox Ter Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1450 $2,200 $1.52 44d 1 1.24mi
37 Roosevelt Ave Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 21d 1 1.49mi
32 Salt Point Tpke Poughkeepsie, NY 3.0 2.5 1761 $3,000 $1.70 21d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    status $150,000 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    remarks 492-char remark
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    remarks 475-char remark
  11. 2026-06-01
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,164 · $264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,164 · $264/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,368
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$3,164
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,469
− Management
−$3,469
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$19,749
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,740
After-tax cash flow
$16,167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Poughkeepsie City School District
NCES district ID
3623760
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$39,159
Composite
29.68/100
National rank
#6459
State rank
#559 of 590 in NY

Livability — Poughkeepsie

Score
78/100
State rank
#165
US rank
#2577

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime F Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poughkeepsie, NY
County
Dutchess County · 188,048 people
City population
86,468
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
Population (ZIP)
44,164
Household income
$63,652
Rent vs Own
56.8% rent · 43.2% own
Severe rent burden
2891.0

Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
291,768 people
By 2030
287,131 · -1.6%
By 2040
274,881 · -5.8%
By 2050
259,971 · -10.9%
By 2075
235,366 · -19.3%
By 2100
208,786 · -28.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 17% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.62%
Current HPI
293.9789
Rent YoY
▲ 3.67%
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Listed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,164 · +54.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…