Duplex
1 Gifford Ave · Poughkeepsie, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
A/O as of 06/05 Two-family investment opportunity in the City of Poughkeepsie. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Property is partially gutted and requires substantial renovation. Ideal for investors, contractors, or buyers seeking a value-add project. Conveniently located near shopping, schools, public transportation, and major commuter routes. Bring your vision and restore this property to its full potential. Property being sold as-is. Cash or renovation financing only.
Key facts
- Partially gutted
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Other heating type; No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $871/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 3.4% in Poughkeepsie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#165 in NY, #2,577 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Poughkeepsie City School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #559 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Morse Young Magnet School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,041 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 495 students, 0% FRL); Poughkeepsie Middle School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #650 of 729 statewide, top 90%, 877 students, 82% FRL); Poughkeepsie High School (math 59% / reading 67%, grade B-, #819 of 1,100 statewide, top 74%, 1,165 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 73% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,614/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 2891% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.78%
- DSCR
- 3.21
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $308,632
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Vernon Ter | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,500 (+8%) | 15mo | $310,000 | $207 | 67 |
| 15 Vernon Ter | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 1,500 (+8%) | 15mo | $335,000 | $223 | 63 |
| 21 Taylor Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,236 (-11%) | 21mo | $355,000 | $287 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $89,213
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 54.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.50×
- Total profit
- $231,184
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12601
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,614 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$264 /mo · $3,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$759
- Net cashflow
- $1,742
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,827 | -5% $1,785 | +0% $1,742 | +5% $1,700 | +10% $1,657 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,457 | -5% $1,600 | +0% $1,742 | +5% $1,885 | +10% $2,028 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,818 | -0.5pp $1,780 | base $1,742 | +0.5pp $1,703 | +1.0pp $1,664 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $3,614 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,807 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,807 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,614 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Delafield St Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,600 | $1.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 40 N Clover St Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,175 | $2.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 40 Parker Ave Apt 1 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 32 Balding Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1226 | $2,500 | $2.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6mt Carmel PL Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 50 Parker Ave Unit 3 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 50 Parker Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,150 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 77 Marshall St Unit 1F Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,350 | $2.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 77 Marshall St Fl 1 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,250 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 77 Marshall St Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,250 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 43 High St Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 139 N Hamilton St Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,900 | $1.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1 Grove St Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 197 N Hamilton St #2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $2,200 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1 S Hamilton St Unit 3 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 156 N Clinton St Apt 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 36 Pine St Unit Three Bedroom Waitlist Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1299 | $3,300 | $2.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2 Park Pl Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 49 S Hamilton St Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 25 Lent St #2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,200 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 49 Carroll St Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1039 | $2,200 | $2.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1 Dean Pl Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $4,000 | $2.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 94 Winnikee Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 25 Virginia Ave Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 104 Winnikee Ave #3 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 197 Winnikee Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $2,600 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 148 Winnikee Ave Unit 2 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $1,900 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 9 Bartlett St Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 8 Fox Ter Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 37 Roosevelt Ave Unit 1 Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 32 Salt Point Tpke Poughkeepsie, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1761 | $3,000 | $1.70 | 21d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-14status $150,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 492-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 475-char remark
-
2026-06-01$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,164 · $264/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,164 · $264/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$3,164
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,469
- − Management
- −$3,469
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $19,749
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,740
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,167/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poughkeepsie City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3623760
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,159
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6459
- State rank
- #559 of 590 in NY
Livability — Poughkeepsie
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #165
- US rank
- #2577
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Poughkeepsie, NY
- County
- Dutchess County · 188,048 people
- City population
- 86,468
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,164
- Household income
- $63,652
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2891.0
Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 291,768 people
- By 2030
- 287,131 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 274,881 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 259,971 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 235,366 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 208,786 · -28.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 17% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.62%
- Current HPI
- 293.9789
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.67%
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,164 · +54.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…