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215 Lakepark
B- Composite 68.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.2/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

215 Lakepark · Placentia, CA 92870
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured · 9 Days on market
Built 1976 18 ac lot $150/sqft · 7% above area Est $219k · 5% over ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

complete remodel * * * Corner Lot * * * BIG front porch * * * NEW flooring * * * NEW bathrooms * * * NEW kitchen * * * 2 bedroom + den/office * * * NEW windows * * * one of Orange County's most desirable communities!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • New kitchen
  • Inviting front porch

Tags

CORNER LOTINVITING FRONT PORCHCENTRAL A/CWOOD FLOORSOPEN FLOOR PLANNEW KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $935 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.3% in Placentia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#290 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Placentia-Yorba Linda Unified (suburban): math 48% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #78 of 517 in CA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 73 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.17%
Cash-on-cash
17.43%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$218,685
List price
$230,000
Delta
7.46%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 Silverlake 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,536 (0%) 1mo $235,000 $153 96
210 Lakepark Dr 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 12mo $240,000 $167 79
320 Lakepark Dr 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 11mo $230,000 $160 79
161 E Orangethorpe Ave #102 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (-2%) 1mo $299,000 $198 78
345 Crestlake Cir 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,650 (+7%) 9mo $195,000 $118 78
300 Ridgelake Dr #46 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 11mo $230,000 $160 76
255 Clearlake Cir #98 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 14mo $369,500 $257 72
335 Ridgelake 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,356 (-12%) 4mo $175,000 $129 71
305 Ridge Lake Dr #33 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,680 (+9%) 16mo $370,000 $220 66
235 Silverlake Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (+9%) 16mo $310,000 $185 61
161 E Orangethorpe Ave #130 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 16mo $280,000 $208 52
161 E Orangethorpe Ave #8 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 18mo $245,000 $182 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$23,425
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$101,714
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92870

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,196 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax est. 1.5%
$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$671
Net cashflow
$935

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,012
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
150 E Crowther Ave Placentia, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 871 $3,661 $4.20 3d 12 0.31mi
266 Backs Ln Placentia, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1221 $2,600 $2.13 6d 5 0.37mi
155 S Angelina Dr Placentia, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 906 $2,855 $3.15 3d 7 0.45mi
203 Oahu Way Placentia, CA 2.0 1.5 1270 $3,495 $2.75 24d 1 0.47mi
307 E Chapman Ave Placentia, CA 3.0 2.5 1280 $3,650 $2.85 3d 1 0.56mi
501 W Crowther Ave Placentia, CA 3.0 1.0–2.5 1050 $3,612 $3.44 3d 38 0.56mi
201 E Chapman Ave Placentia, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 938 $3,127 $3.33 2d 21 0.62mi
349 Camarillo St Unit C Placentia, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $2,300 $2.09 43d 1 0.66mi
940 Cypress Ave Placentia, CA 3.0 2.0 1644 $3,900 $2.37 17d 1 0.69mi
1017 Avenue De Pio Pico Unit 1017 Placentia, CA 3.0 2.0 1400 $3,695 $2.64 43d 1 0.79mi
2650 E Park Ln Apt A Anaheim, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $3,200 $2.91 43d 1 0.82mi
144 Primrose Ave Unit 1 Placentia, CA 3.0 3.0 1300 $3,850 $2.96 7d 1 0.87mi
525 Twilight St Placentia, CA 3.0 2.0 1160 $3,800 $3.28 12d 1 1.00mi
449 N Via Napoli Anaheim, CA 3.0 1.5 1266 $3,445 $2.72 10d 1 1.31mi
3004 E Via Bruno Anaheim, CA 3.0 1.5 1180 $3,350 $2.84 24d 1 1.34mi
2965 E Jackson Ave Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 885 $3,075 $3.47 2d 11 1.34mi
3300 Quartz Ln Fullerton, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 882 $3,015 $3.42 6d 8 1.36mi
2627 E La Palma Ave Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 1204 $3,360 $2.79 7d 1 1.40mi
3340 Topaz Ln Fullerton, CA 2.0 2.0 1050 $2,666 $2.54 2d 7 1.42mi
1341 Cameo Ln Fullerton, CA 2.0 1.5 1210 $3,000 $2.48 17d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $230,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $235,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $235,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $235,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $235,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $235,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    remarks 305-char remark
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on marketlisting id $235,000 Active 1 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $235,000 Active 89 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $235,000 Active 88 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $235,000 Active 87 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $235,000 Active 86 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $235,000 Active 85 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $235,000 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    complete remodel * * * Corner Lot * * * BIG front porch * * * NEW flooring * * * NEW bathrooms * * * NEW kitchen * * * 2 bedroom + den/office * * * NEW windows * * * one of Orange County's most desirable communities!

  16. 2026-04-16
    price $240,000 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    complete remodel * * * Corner Lot * * * BIG front porch * * * NEW flooring * * * NEW bathrooms * * * NEW kitchen * * * 2 bedroom + den/office * * * NEW windows * * * one of Orange County's most desirable communities!

  17. 2026-03-23
    price $250,000 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    complete remodel * * * Corner Lot * * * BIG front porch * * * NEW flooring * * * NEW bathrooms * * * NEW kitchen * * * 2 bedroom + den/office * * * NEW windows * * * one of Orange County's most desirable communities!

  18. 2026-03-07
    listed $259,000 Active 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    complete remodel * * * Corner Lot * * * BIG front porch * * * NEW flooring * * * NEW bathrooms * * * NEW kitchen * * * 2 bedroom + den/office * * * NEW windows * * * one of Orange County's most desirable communities!

  19. 2026-03-06
    historical
  20. 2026-02-19
    price $265,000
  21. 2026-01-29
    price $274,999
  22. 2026-01-11
    price $284,999
  23. 2026-01-04
    listed $309,900 Active
  24. 2024-07-05
    historical
  25. 2024-05-09
    listed $289,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,354
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$3,450
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,068
− Management
−$3,068
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable income
$8,043
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,930
After-tax cash flow
$9,296/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Placentia-Yorba Linda Unified
NCES district ID
0630660
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$87,455
Composite
52.1/100
National rank
#1622
State rank
#78 of 517 in CA

Livability — Placentia

Score
68/100
State rank
#290
US rank
#9784

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Placentia, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
52,826
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
52,826
Household income
$115,929
Rent vs Own
36.4% rent · 63.6% own
Severe rent burden
2024.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 39% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 20% Asian 18% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29% Salvadoran 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -855.13%
Current HPI
413.4729
Rent YoY
▲ 3.33%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $235,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $240,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $250,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $259,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $265,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $274,999 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-11 Price Changed $284,999 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-04 Listed $309,900 CRMLS
  • 2024-07-05 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-05-09 Listed $289,500 CRMLS

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $32 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…