548 Trace View Rd · Madison, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$228,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in Ready and won't last long! With 3 bedrooms 2 full baths, eat in kitchen, laundry room plu a fireplace in the den to cozy up too.. Covered 2 car carport plus an extra storage shed in the back. All this and more for only. $215,000. So don't delay call for an appointment today!
Key facts
- Cozy gas fireplace
- Private driveway
- Covered carport
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Carport with 2 spaces; 6 total parking spaces; Direct access parking on concrete
- Security: Smoke detectors; Dead bolt locks
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Move-in ready
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation and slab; Built year information from public records
- Exterior features: Private yard; Slab patio/porch; Back yard wood privacy/partial fencing; Other waterfront feature; Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Oven; Water heater; Gas water heater; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Concrete; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Fireplace heating; Central air conditioning; Gas cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Storage; Walk-in closets; Dead bolt locks; Vinyl windows; Gas-log fireplace in the living room; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $228k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $228k).
- Recommended offer: $221k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.7% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#4 in MS, #1,556 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Madison Crossing Elementary (math 52% / reading 55%, grade C, #49 of 375 statewide, top 13%, 775 students, 100% FRL); Germantown Middle School (math 55% / reading 58%, grade B, #14 of 179 statewide, top 7%, 1,008 students, 100% FRL); Germantown High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #59 of 197 statewide, top 30%, 1,396 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 632 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.35%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,150
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Harbor Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (+0%) | 17mo | $230,000 | $170 | 71 |
| 129 Shadow Hill Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (-1%) | 4mo | $209,900 | $156 | 69 |
| 506 Old Rice Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,354 (+0%) | 15mo | $229,000 | $169 | 64 |
| 105 Summit Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-0%) | 23mo | $229,900 | $171 | 61 |
| 139 Shadow Hill Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (+2%) | 16mo | $209,900 | $153 | 58 |
| 208 Trace Harbor Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (+13%) | 7mo | $239,900 | $157 | 55 |
| 115 Haley Creek Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 14mo | $209,900 | $175 | 46 |
| 205 Trace Harbor Rd | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,551 (+15%) | 13mo | $229,300 | $148 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $438
- Equity at exit
- $33,996
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $45,546
- Equity at exit
- $19,713
Cash invested: $63,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39110
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 632
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,473 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,196
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $707/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$519
- Net cashflow
- $604
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $733 | -5% $668 | +0% $604 | +5% $539 | +10% $475 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $408 | -5% $506 | +0% $604 | +5% $701 | +10% $799 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $719 | -0.5pp $662 | base $604 | +0.5pp $545 | +1.0pp $485 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,000
- Closing costs
- $6,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 Dave Brown Rd Canton, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1790 | $2,400 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $228,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $228,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $230,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $230,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $230,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-22status Active
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2026-05-22status Pending
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2026-05-22status Active
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2026-05-19status Pending
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2026-05-16$230,000 Active
-
2023-08-15soldstatus Closed 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Move in Ready and won't last long! With 3 bedrooms 2 full baths, eat in kitchen, laundry room plu a fireplace in the den to cozy up too.. Covered 2 car carport plus an extra storage shed in the back. All this and more for only. $215,000. So don't delay call for an appointment today!
-
2023-06-29status Pending 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Move in Ready and won't last long! With 3 bedrooms 2 full baths, eat in kitchen, laundry room plu a fireplace in the den to cozy up too.. Covered 2 car carport plus an extra storage shed in the back. All this and more for only. $215,000. So don't delay call for an appointment today!
-
2023-06-28$215,000 Active 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Move in Ready and won't last long! With 3 bedrooms 2 full baths, eat in kitchen, laundry room plu a fireplace in the den to cozy up too.. Covered 2 car carport plus an extra storage shed in the back. All this and more for only. $215,000. So don't delay call for an appointment today!
-
2017-04-28soldstatus 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Well-maintained and move-in-ready 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in Madison County! This home features: an inviting front porch, foyer-entry, walk-in closet in the master, spacious living area with tray ceilings and a cozy fireplace, ceramic tile flooring throughout the living room, dining room, kitchen, and bathrooms, great outdoor space with a large patio, 2 car carport, outside storage room, and more! **For qualified buyers, this home is eligible for 100% financing through USDA Rural Housing call your mortgage lender for more details on financing** Don't miss your chance, call today to schedule your private showing!!
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2017-03-20$139,900 621-char remark
Show marketing remark (621 chars)
Well-maintained and move-in-ready 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in Madison County! This home features: an inviting front porch, foyer-entry, walk-in closet in the master, spacious living area with tray ceilings and a cozy fireplace, ceramic tile flooring throughout the living room, dining room, kitchen, and bathrooms, great outdoor space with a large patio, 2 car carport, outside storage room, and more! **For qualified buyers, this home is eligible for 100% financing through USDA Rural Housing call your mortgage lender for more details on financing** Don't miss your chance, call today to schedule your private showing!!
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2014-12-29soldstatus
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2014-10-27$139,900
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1993-03-09soldstatus
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1993-03-09soldstatus
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1989-04-10soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $707 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,094/yr (+$91/mo · 154.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,671
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,772
- − Property taxes
- −$707
- − Insurance
- −$1,140
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,374
- − Management
- −$2,374
- − Depreciation
- −$6,633
- Taxable income
- $3,672
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$881
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,363/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 75,005 people
- City population
- 50,443
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,443
- Household income
- $125,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 227.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 15% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.99%
- Current HPI
- 154.6909
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+64.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-05-22 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-05-19 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-16 Listed $230,000 MLSU
- 2023-08-15 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2023-06-29 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-06-28 Listed $215,000 MLSU
- 2017-04-28 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2017-03-20 Listed $139,900 MLSU
- 2014-12-29 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2014-10-27 Listed $139,900 MLSU
- 1993-03-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-03-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1989-04-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $707 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…