9107 Mossybrook Rd · Mechanicsville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Schools +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$334,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 9107 Mossy Brook Road, a classic brick home tucked into an established Mechanicsville neighborhood with a peaceful backyard that backs to a creek. With 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 2,000 finished square feet, this home offers a comfortable layout with flexible living spaces and room to grow. The home also features a walk-out basement that is partially finished and partially unfinished, offering incredible flexibility. This space is perfect for a home office, rec room, playroom, theater room, or even a potential in-law suite. The basement already includes a sink and toilet and is roughed in for a shower, making it easy to expand the space if desired. Inside, you will find fresh paint throughout the entire home, hardwood and LVP flooring across the main level, new granite countertops, and new carpet in the basement. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard backing to a creek, along with a spacious deck and covered patio that are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The exterior features low-maintenance brick construction, vinyl replacement windows, and a roof and gutters replaced in 2019. Recent improvements include new granite countertops, whole-house interior paint, new basement carpet, and a new retaining wall and drainage system installed in 2026. Roof and Gutters (2019), Septic was pumped and inspected. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and recreation, this home offers both accessibility and the charm of an established neighborhood setting. The property is part of an estate and is being sold as-is, though the heirs have completed extensive repairs and improvements to ensure the home is move-in ready.
Key facts
- 0.47 acre lot
- Built 1975
- Listed 43 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-236 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $293k (12.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (27.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.1% in Mechanicsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#165 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Hanover County Public School District (suburban): math 79% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #5 of 131 in VA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 447 units permitted in Hanover County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hanover County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $198k; list at $335k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.01%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $369,508
- List price
- $334,950
- Delta
- -9.35%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9098 Mossybrook Rd | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+8%) | 0mo | $379,950 | $261 | 84 |
| 9099 Mossybrook Rd | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (+8%) | 6mo | $370,000 | $254 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-69,345
- Equity at exit
- $49,942
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-79,977
- Equity at exit
- $28,960
Cash invested: $93,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23116
- Home prices YoY
- -9.5%
- Active inventory
- 182
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,417 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,757
- Tax from tax record
- −$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $-236
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,738
- Closing costs
- $10,048
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9033 Annex Ln Mechanicsville, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $2,370 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6295 Banshire Dr Mechanicsville, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,195 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-09status $334,950 Pending 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $334,950 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $334,950 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $349,950 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $349,950 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $349,950 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $349,950 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $349,950 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Active 1680-char remark
Show marketing remark (1680 chars)
Welcome to 9107 Mossy Brook Road, a classic brick home tucked into an established Mechanicsville neighborhood with a peaceful backyard that backs to a creek. With 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 2,000 finished square feet, this home offers a comfortable layout with flexible living spaces and room to grow. The home also features a walk-out basement that is partially finished and partially unfinished, offering incredible flexibility. This space is perfect for a home office, rec room, playroom, theater room, or even a potential in-law suite. The basement already includes a sink and toilet and is roughed in for a shower, making it easy to expand the space if desired. Inside, you will find fresh paint throughout the entire home, hardwood and LVP flooring across the main level, new granite countertops, and new carpet in the basement. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard backing to a creek, along with a spacious deck and covered patio that are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The exterior features low-maintenance brick construction, vinyl replacement windows, and a roof and gutters replaced in 2019. Recent improvements include new granite countertops, whole-house interior paint, new basement carpet, and a new retaining wall and drainage system installed in 2026. Roof and Gutters (2019), Septic was pumped and inspected. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and recreation, this home offers both accessibility and the charm of an established neighborhood setting. The property is part of an estate and is being sold as-is, though the heirs have completed extensive repairs and improvements to ensure the home is move-in ready.
-
2026-05-12price $349,950 1680-char remark
Show marketing remark (1680 chars)
Welcome to 9107 Mossy Brook Road, a classic brick home tucked into an established Mechanicsville neighborhood with a peaceful backyard that backs to a creek. With 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 2,000 finished square feet, this home offers a comfortable layout with flexible living spaces and room to grow. The home also features a walk-out basement that is partially finished and partially unfinished, offering incredible flexibility. This space is perfect for a home office, rec room, playroom, theater room, or even a potential in-law suite. The basement already includes a sink and toilet and is roughed in for a shower, making it easy to expand the space if desired. Inside, you will find fresh paint throughout the entire home, hardwood and LVP flooring across the main level, new granite countertops, and new carpet in the basement. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard backing to a creek, along with a spacious deck and covered patio that are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The exterior features low-maintenance brick construction, vinyl replacement windows, and a roof and gutters replaced in 2019. Recent improvements include new granite countertops, whole-house interior paint, new basement carpet, and a new retaining wall and drainage system installed in 2026. Roof and Gutters (2019), Septic was pumped and inspected. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and recreation, this home offers both accessibility and the charm of an established neighborhood setting. The property is part of an estate and is being sold as-is, though the heirs have completed extensive repairs and improvements to ensure the home is move-in ready.
-
2026-04-30status Pending 1680-char remark
Show marketing remark (1680 chars)
Welcome to 9107 Mossy Brook Road, a classic brick home tucked into an established Mechanicsville neighborhood with a peaceful backyard that backs to a creek. With 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 2,000 finished square feet, this home offers a comfortable layout with flexible living spaces and room to grow. The home also features a walk-out basement that is partially finished and partially unfinished, offering incredible flexibility. This space is perfect for a home office, rec room, playroom, theater room, or even a potential in-law suite. The basement already includes a sink and toilet and is roughed in for a shower, making it easy to expand the space if desired. Inside, you will find fresh paint throughout the entire home, hardwood and LVP flooring across the main level, new granite countertops, and new carpet in the basement. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard backing to a creek, along with a spacious deck and covered patio that are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The exterior features low-maintenance brick construction, vinyl replacement windows, and a roof and gutters replaced in 2019. Recent improvements include new granite countertops, whole-house interior paint, new basement carpet, and a new retaining wall and drainage system installed in 2026. Roof and Gutters (2019), Septic was pumped and inspected. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and recreation, this home offers both accessibility and the charm of an established neighborhood setting. The property is part of an estate and is being sold as-is, though the heirs have completed extensive repairs and improvements to ensure the home is move-in ready.
-
2026-04-24status Active 1680-char remark
Show marketing remark (1680 chars)
Welcome to 9107 Mossy Brook Road, a classic brick home tucked into an established Mechanicsville neighborhood with a peaceful backyard that backs to a creek. With 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 2,000 finished square feet, this home offers a comfortable layout with flexible living spaces and room to grow. The home also features a walk-out basement that is partially finished and partially unfinished, offering incredible flexibility. This space is perfect for a home office, rec room, playroom, theater room, or even a potential in-law suite. The basement already includes a sink and toilet and is roughed in for a shower, making it easy to expand the space if desired. Inside, you will find fresh paint throughout the entire home, hardwood and LVP flooring across the main level, new granite countertops, and new carpet in the basement. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard backing to a creek, along with a spacious deck and covered patio that are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The exterior features low-maintenance brick construction, vinyl replacement windows, and a roof and gutters replaced in 2019. Recent improvements include new granite countertops, whole-house interior paint, new basement carpet, and a new retaining wall and drainage system installed in 2026. Roof and Gutters (2019), Septic was pumped and inspected. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and recreation, this home offers both accessibility and the charm of an established neighborhood setting. The property is part of an estate and is being sold as-is, though the heirs have completed extensive repairs and improvements to ensure the home is move-in ready.
-
2026-04-15status Pending 1680-char remark
Show marketing remark (1680 chars)
Welcome to 9107 Mossy Brook Road, a classic brick home tucked into an established Mechanicsville neighborhood with a peaceful backyard that backs to a creek. With 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 2,000 finished square feet, this home offers a comfortable layout with flexible living spaces and room to grow. The home also features a walk-out basement that is partially finished and partially unfinished, offering incredible flexibility. This space is perfect for a home office, rec room, playroom, theater room, or even a potential in-law suite. The basement already includes a sink and toilet and is roughed in for a shower, making it easy to expand the space if desired. Inside, you will find fresh paint throughout the entire home, hardwood and LVP flooring across the main level, new granite countertops, and new carpet in the basement. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard backing to a creek, along with a spacious deck and covered patio that are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The exterior features low-maintenance brick construction, vinyl replacement windows, and a roof and gutters replaced in 2019. Recent improvements include new granite countertops, whole-house interior paint, new basement carpet, and a new retaining wall and drainage system installed in 2026. Roof and Gutters (2019), Septic was pumped and inspected. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and recreation, this home offers both accessibility and the charm of an established neighborhood setting. The property is part of an estate and is being sold as-is, though the heirs have completed extensive repairs and improvements to ensure the home is move-in ready.
-
2026-04-07$374,950 Active 1680-char remark
Show marketing remark (1680 chars)
Welcome to 9107 Mossy Brook Road, a classic brick home tucked into an established Mechanicsville neighborhood with a peaceful backyard that backs to a creek. With 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 2,000 finished square feet, this home offers a comfortable layout with flexible living spaces and room to grow. The home also features a walk-out basement that is partially finished and partially unfinished, offering incredible flexibility. This space is perfect for a home office, rec room, playroom, theater room, or even a potential in-law suite. The basement already includes a sink and toilet and is roughed in for a shower, making it easy to expand the space if desired. Inside, you will find fresh paint throughout the entire home, hardwood and LVP flooring across the main level, new granite countertops, and new carpet in the basement. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard backing to a creek, along with a spacious deck and covered patio that are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The exterior features low-maintenance brick construction, vinyl replacement windows, and a roof and gutters replaced in 2019. Recent improvements include new granite countertops, whole-house interior paint, new basement carpet, and a new retaining wall and drainage system installed in 2026. Roof and Gutters (2019), Septic was pumped and inspected. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and recreation, this home offers both accessibility and the charm of an established neighborhood setting. The property is part of an estate and is being sold as-is, though the heirs have completed extensive repairs and improvements to ensure the home is move-in ready.
-
2026-04-04historical $374,950 1680-char remark
Show marketing remark (1680 chars)
Welcome to 9107 Mossy Brook Road, a classic brick home tucked into an established Mechanicsville neighborhood with a peaceful backyard that backs to a creek. With 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and over 2,000 finished square feet, this home offers a comfortable layout with flexible living spaces and room to grow. The home also features a walk-out basement that is partially finished and partially unfinished, offering incredible flexibility. This space is perfect for a home office, rec room, playroom, theater room, or even a potential in-law suite. The basement already includes a sink and toilet and is roughed in for a shower, making it easy to expand the space if desired. Inside, you will find fresh paint throughout the entire home, hardwood and LVP flooring across the main level, new granite countertops, and new carpet in the basement. Step outside to enjoy the private backyard backing to a creek, along with a spacious deck and covered patio that are perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The exterior features low-maintenance brick construction, vinyl replacement windows, and a roof and gutters replaced in 2019. Recent improvements include new granite countertops, whole-house interior paint, new basement carpet, and a new retaining wall and drainage system installed in 2026. Roof and Gutters (2019), Septic was pumped and inspected. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and recreation, this home offers both accessibility and the charm of an established neighborhood setting. The property is part of an estate and is being sold as-is, though the heirs have completed extensive repairs and improvements to ensure the home is move-in ready.
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2004-07-09soldstatus $197,500 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
2025 finished sq ft w' potential for 675 more in walkout basement. Brick rancher on 1/2 acre lot w/ vacant lot next to it so lots of privacy backs up to creek. Huge deck and Patio. could esaily have in-law suite in basement. Huge Family Room . Huge Utility Room and Huge Storage Room potential for one or two more bedroom Hanover High area
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2004-07-09soldstatus $197,500
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
2025 finished sq ft w' potential for 675 more in walkout basement. Brick rancher on 1/2 acre lot w/ vacant lot next to it so lots of privacy backs up to creek. Huge deck and Patio. could esaily have in-law suite in basement. Huge Family Room . Huge Utility Room and Huge Storage Room potential for one or two more bedroom Hanover High area
-
2004-07-09soldstatus $197,500
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
2025 finished sq ft w' potential for 675 more in walkout basement. Brick rancher on 1/2 acre lot w/ vacant lot next to it so lots of privacy backs up to creek. Huge deck and Patio. could esaily have in-law suite in basement. Huge Family Room . Huge Utility Room and Huge Storage Room potential for one or two more bedroom Hanover High area
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2004-04-06$199,950 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
2025 finished sq ft w' potential for 675 more in walkout basement. Brick rancher on 1/2 acre lot w/ vacant lot next to it so lots of privacy backs up to creek. Huge deck and Patio. could esaily have in-law suite in basement. Huge Family Room . Huge Utility Room and Huge Storage Room potential for one or two more bedroom Hanover High area
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2004-04-06$199,950
Show marketing remark (339 chars)
2025 finished sq ft w' potential for 675 more in walkout basement. Brick rancher on 1/2 acre lot w/ vacant lot next to it so lots of privacy backs up to creek. Huge deck and Patio. could esaily have in-law suite in basement. Huge Family Room . Huge Utility Room and Huge Storage Room potential for one or two more bedroom Hanover High area
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,985 · $249/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,985 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,762
- − Property taxes
- −$2,985
- − Insurance
- −$1,675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,320
- − Management
- −$2,320
- − Depreciation
- −$9,744
- Taxable loss
- −$8,804
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,113
- After-tax cash flow
- $-713/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hanover County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101830
- Math proficiency
- 79% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,386
- Composite
- 70.37/100
- National rank
- #268
- State rank
- #5 of 131 in VA
Livability — Mechanicsville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #165
- US rank
- #5098
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mechanicsville, VA
- County
- Hanover County · 134,767 people
- City population
- 72,258
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,188
- Household income
- $141,711
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 193.0
Population outlook (Hanover County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,687 people
- By 2030
- 115,373 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 120,828 · +8.2%
- By 2050
- 123,591 · +10.7%
- By 2075
- 132,168 · +18.3%
- By 2100
- 130,105 · +16.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hanover
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.8) · D 36.6% · R 62.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.8pp toward D · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.8 2020: R+26.8 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.62%
- Current HPI
- 253.8652
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+75.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — CVRMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $349,950 CVRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — CVRMLS
- 2026-04-15 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $374,950 CVRMLS
- 2026-04-04 Coming Soon $374,950 CVRMLS
- 2004-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $197,500 Public Records
- 2004-07-09 Sold (MLS) $197,500 CVRMLS
- 2004-07-09 Sold (MLS) $197,500 CVRMLS
- 2004-04-06 Listed $199,950 CVRMLS
- 2004-04-06 Listed $199,950 CVRMLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,985 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…