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16222 Monterey
B Composite 71.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

16222 Monterey · Huntington Beach, CA 92649
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily · 44 Days on market
Built 1980 1,440 sqft lot ↓ 53% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WOW!!! A beautiful home in a gated community next to Huntington Harbor. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home is approx. 1,600 SqFt with all the upgrades you are looking for. Sitting on a large corner lot just across the from the main clubhouse and guest parking. Beautiful brick patio leads up to an inviting front porch. Step inside and I promise you will be impressed. 9 foot tall ceilings with crown molding and a recessed tray ceiling. Granite counter tops, SS Farmhouse Sink, large dining room, breakfast nook, BIG master bedroom with plenty of room for kingsize bed, jacuzzi tub, tile shower, large walk-in closet, walk-in pantry in kitchen, Tons more features and amenities. Not to mention this is the most desirable manufactured home community in Orange County.

Key facts

  • 1,440 sq ft lot
  • Community pool
  • Built 1980

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total # of units: 1; Property is not an ADU; Lot features: 0–1 unit/acre; Lot size source: seller; Living area source: seller; Parcel number provided
  • Financial info: Land lease: $2,100 monthly
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Community features: gutters, hiking

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway; Covered parking
  • Security: Gated community with attendant; 24-hour security
  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected (standard); Water connected (private water source); Public sewer / sewer connected; Telephone available in street; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured house; Planned development; Single-story; Entry level 1; No common walls
  • Construction: Concrete construction materials; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Seller indicates year built
  • Exterior features: Concrete patio; Porch; Community pool; In-ground community/private heated spa; Has patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range; Dishwasher; Quartz counters; Family kitchen with eating area; Dining ell; Formal dining room; Dining area in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main floor
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Shower in tub; Bathtub; Closet in bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: High ceilings (9 feet+); One level layout; Main level primary bedroom; All bedrooms on main floor; Two main-level bedrooms; Two main-level bathrooms; 2+ access exits; Repairs cosmetic
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home; Has laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 1.6% in Huntington Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#306 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Ocean View (suburban): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #207 of 1,400 in CA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Marine View Middle (568 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($123k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.99%
Cap rate
26.37%
Cash-on-cash
71.71%
DSCR
4.19
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,490,400
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16222 Monterey 0.01mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+11%) 3mo $399,000 $249 74
4652 Prelude 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-14%) 3mo $1,327,000 $1,077 51
4771 Kaui Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-14%) 14mo $1,275,000 $1,035 37
4922 Scenario Drive Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-14%) 8mo $1,180,000 $958 35
4691 Scenario Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-14%) 24mo $1,270,000 $1,031 33
4782 Scenario Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-14%) 21mo $1,320,000 $1,071 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.4%
Equity multiple
4.14×
Total profit
$114,312
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
74.2%
Equity multiple
8.28×
Total profit
$265,170
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92649

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,891 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$817
Net cashflow
$2,175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4562 Heil Ave Unit 1 Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,750 $3.00 2d 1 0.35mi
16700 Saybrook Ln Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1082 $3,670 $3.39 1d 10 0.43mi
16682 Algonquin St Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,695 $2.69 18d 1 0.47mi
16682 Dolores Ln Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1700 $3,600 $2.12 10d 1 0.49mi
4862 Kona Dr Unit C Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1200 $2,895 $2.41 13d 1 0.55mi
4862 Kona Dr Unit C Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1200 $2,895 $2.41 1d 1 0.55mi
4862 Kona Dr Unit C Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1200 $2,895 $2.41 15d 1 0.55mi
3832 Montego Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1826 $5,900 $3.23 15d 1 0.55mi
4881 Kona Dr Unit A Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1300 $3,295 $2.53 10d 1 0.57mi
16701 Lynn Ln Apt C Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,600 $2.60 10d 1 0.60mi
4922 Edinger Ave Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,800 $2.80 10d 1 0.62mi
4675 Twintree Dr Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.5 960 $3,495 $3.64 1d 1 0.66mi
4881 Vista Dr Unit 3 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 902 $3,200 $3.55 1d 1 0.67mi
16592 Jib Cir Unit B Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1500 $4,300 $2.87 1d 1 0.74mi
16862 Lynn Ln Apt E Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 970 $2,625 $2.71 18d 1 0.76mi
16842 Hoskins Ln Unit A Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1072 $3,195 $2.98 2d 1 0.77mi
5082 Edinger Ave Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1278 $4,500 $3.52 1d 1 0.78mi
4701 Warner Ave Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 870 $2,895 $3.33 1d 4 0.80mi
5141 Cheryl Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 1.5 1120 $4,200 $3.75 15d 1 0.82mi
16941 Hoskins Ln Apt 1 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1255 $3,000 $2.39 21d 1 0.83mi
16795 Roosevelt Ln Unit C Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $3,900 $2.44 1d 1 0.92mi
3382 Tempe Dr Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1658 $6,500 $3.92 1d 1 0.94mi
5192 Robinwood Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1232 $5,000 $4.06 1d 1 0.94mi
4021 Aladdin Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1496 $7,400 $4.95 1d 1 0.96mi
16082 Schryer Ln Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1214 $8,000 $6.59 2d 1 0.96mi
3312 Tempe Dr Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1658 $6,500 $3.92 3d 1 1.01mi
3299 Tempe Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 3.0 1580 $5,950 $3.77 1d 1 1.03mi
16857 Bayview Dr Unit B Sunset Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $3,450 $3.83 1d 1 1.09mi
17181 S Pacific Ave Sunset Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1422 $6,000 $4.22 11d 1 1.19mi
16862 Coach Ln Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $3,500 $3.50 1d 1 1.32mi
5681 Mangrum Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1132 $4,995 $4.41 1d 1 1.36mi
2872 Coast Cir #104 Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1631 $5,200 $3.19 1d 1 1.39mi
16387 S Pacific Ave Unit 2 Sunset Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $8,000 $5.00 1d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on marketlisting id $130,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-05-13
    price $130,000
  6. 2026-05-02
    price $140,000
  7. 2026-04-19
    listed $150,000 Active
  8. 2026-04-18
    historical $150,000
  9. 2026-03-19
    soldstatus $399,000 Closed Sale 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    WOW!!! A beautiful home in a gated community next to Huntington Harbor. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home is approx. 1,600 SqFt with all the upgrades you are looking for. Sitting on a large corner lot just across the from the main clubhouse and guest parking. Beautiful brick patio leads up to an inviting front porch. Step inside and I promise you will be impressed. 9 foot tall ceilings with crown molding and a recessed tray ceiling. Granite counter tops, SS Farmhouse Sink, large dining room, breakfast nook, BIG master bedroom with plenty of room for kingsize bed, jacuzzi tub, tile shower, large walk-in closet, walk-in pantry in kitchen, Tons more features and amenities. Not to mention this is the most desirable manufactured home community in Orange County.

  10. 2025-12-19
    historical 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    WOW!!! A beautiful home in a gated community next to Huntington Harbor. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home is approx. 1,600 SqFt with all the upgrades you are looking for. Sitting on a large corner lot just across the from the main clubhouse and guest parking. Beautiful brick patio leads up to an inviting front porch. Step inside and I promise you will be impressed. 9 foot tall ceilings with crown molding and a recessed tray ceiling. Granite counter tops, SS Farmhouse Sink, large dining room, breakfast nook, BIG master bedroom with plenty of room for kingsize bed, jacuzzi tub, tile shower, large walk-in closet, walk-in pantry in kitchen, Tons more features and amenities. Not to mention this is the most desirable manufactured home community in Orange County.

  11. 2025-12-19
    listed $399,900 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    WOW!!! A beautiful home in a gated community next to Huntington Harbor. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home is approx. 1,600 SqFt with all the upgrades you are looking for. Sitting on a large corner lot just across the from the main clubhouse and guest parking. Beautiful brick patio leads up to an inviting front porch. Step inside and I promise you will be impressed. 9 foot tall ceilings with crown molding and a recessed tray ceiling. Granite counter tops, SS Farmhouse Sink, large dining room, breakfast nook, BIG master bedroom with plenty of room for kingsize bed, jacuzzi tub, tile shower, large walk-in closet, walk-in pantry in kitchen, Tons more features and amenities. Not to mention this is the most desirable manufactured home community in Orange County.

  12. 2006-12-07
    historical
  13. 2006-01-16
    listed $275,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,688
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,950
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,735
− Management
−$3,735
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$25,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,133
After-tax cash flow
$19,970/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean View
NCES district ID
0628140
Math proficiency
57% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$77,469
Composite
55.3/100
National rank
#2725
State rank
#207 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Huntington Beach

Score
67/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#10298

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A- Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntington Beach, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
194,835
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,346
Household income
$123,257
Rent vs Own
40.7% rent · 59.3% own
Severe rent burden
1504.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1153.55%
Current HPI
330.6956
Rent YoY
▲ 2.17%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-52.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $130,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $140,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Coming Soon $150,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Sold (MLS) $399,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $399,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2006-12-07 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2006-01-16 Listed $275,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…