16222 Monterey · Huntington Beach, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WOW!!! A beautiful home in a gated community next to Huntington Harbor. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home is approx. 1,600 SqFt with all the upgrades you are looking for. Sitting on a large corner lot just across the from the main clubhouse and guest parking. Beautiful brick patio leads up to an inviting front porch. Step inside and I promise you will be impressed. 9 foot tall ceilings with crown molding and a recessed tray ceiling. Granite counter tops, SS Farmhouse Sink, large dining room, breakfast nook, BIG master bedroom with plenty of room for kingsize bed, jacuzzi tub, tile shower, large walk-in closet, walk-in pantry in kitchen, Tons more features and amenities. Not to mention this is the most desirable manufactured home community in Orange County.
Key facts
- 1,440 sq ft lot
- Community pool
- Built 1980
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total # of units: 1; Property is not an ADU; Lot features: 0–1 unit/acre; Lot size source: seller; Living area source: seller; Parcel number provided
- Financial info: Land lease: $2,100 monthly
- HOA & community: Senior community; Community features: gutters, hiking
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway; Covered parking
- Security: Gated community with attendant; 24-hour security
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected (standard); Water connected (private water source); Public sewer / sewer connected; Telephone available in street; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured house; Planned development; Single-story; Entry level 1; No common walls
- Construction: Concrete construction materials; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Seller indicates year built
- Exterior features: Concrete patio; Porch; Community pool; In-ground community/private heated spa; Has patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range; Dishwasher; Quartz counters; Family kitchen with eating area; Dining ell; Formal dining room; Dining area in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main floor
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Shower in tub; Bathtub; Closet in bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
- Interior features: High ceilings (9 feet+); One level layout; Main level primary bedroom; All bedrooms on main floor; Two main-level bedrooms; Two main-level bathrooms; 2+ access exits; Repairs cosmetic
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home; Has laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 1.6% in Huntington Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#306 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Ocean View (suburban): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #207 of 1,400 in CA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Marine View Middle (568 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($123k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.71%
- DSCR
- 4.19
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,490,400
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16222 Monterey | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+11%) | 3mo | $399,000 | $249 | 74 |
| 4652 Prelude | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-14%) | 3mo | $1,327,000 | $1,077 | 51 |
| 4771 Kaui Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-14%) | 14mo | $1,275,000 | $1,035 | 37 |
| 4922 Scenario Drive Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-14%) | 8mo | $1,180,000 | $958 | 35 |
| 4691 Scenario Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-14%) | 24mo | $1,270,000 | $1,031 | 33 |
| 4782 Scenario Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-14%) | 21mo | $1,320,000 | $1,071 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.14×
- Total profit
- $114,312
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 74.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.28×
- Total profit
- $265,170
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92649
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,891 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$817
- Net cashflow
- $2,175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4562 Heil Ave Unit 1 Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,750 | $3.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 16700 Saybrook Ln Huntington Beach, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1082 | $3,670 | $3.39 | 1d | 10 | 0.43mi |
| 16682 Algonquin St Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,695 | $2.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 16682 Dolores Ln Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $3,600 | $2.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4862 Kona Dr Unit C Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,895 | $2.41 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4862 Kona Dr Unit C Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,895 | $2.41 | 1d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4862 Kona Dr Unit C Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,895 | $2.41 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3832 Montego Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1826 | $5,900 | $3.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4881 Kona Dr Unit A Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $3,295 | $2.53 | 10d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 16701 Lynn Ln Apt C Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,600 | $2.60 | 10d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4922 Edinger Ave Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 10d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4675 Twintree Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $3,495 | $3.64 | 1d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4881 Vista Dr Unit 3 Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 902 | $3,200 | $3.55 | 1d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 16592 Jib Cir Unit B Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $4,300 | $2.87 | 1d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 16862 Lynn Ln Apt E Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $2,625 | $2.71 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 16842 Hoskins Ln Unit A Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $3,195 | $2.98 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5082 Edinger Ave Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $4,500 | $3.52 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4701 Warner Ave Huntington Beach, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $2,895 | $3.33 | 1d | 4 | 0.80mi |
| 5141 Cheryl Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $4,200 | $3.75 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 16941 Hoskins Ln Apt 1 Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1255 | $3,000 | $2.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 16795 Roosevelt Ln Unit C Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $3,900 | $2.44 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3382 Tempe Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1658 | $6,500 | $3.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5192 Robinwood Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $5,000 | $4.06 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4021 Aladdin Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $7,400 | $4.95 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 16082 Schryer Ln Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $8,000 | $6.59 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3312 Tempe Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1658 | $6,500 | $3.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3299 Tempe Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1580 | $5,950 | $3.77 | 1d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 16857 Bayview Dr Unit B Sunset Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,450 | $3.83 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 17181 S Pacific Ave Sunset Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $6,000 | $4.22 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 16862 Coach Ln Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,500 | $3.50 | 1d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5681 Mangrum Dr Huntington Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $4,995 | $4.41 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2872 Coast Cir #104 Huntington Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1631 | $5,200 | $3.19 | 1d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 16387 S Pacific Ave Unit 2 Sunset Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $8,000 | $5.00 | 1d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $130,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $130,000
-
2026-05-02price $140,000
-
2026-04-19$150,000 Active
-
2026-04-18historical $150,000
-
2026-03-19soldstatus $399,000 Closed Sale 760-char remark
Show marketing remark (760 chars)
WOW!!! A beautiful home in a gated community next to Huntington Harbor. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home is approx. 1,600 SqFt with all the upgrades you are looking for. Sitting on a large corner lot just across the from the main clubhouse and guest parking. Beautiful brick patio leads up to an inviting front porch. Step inside and I promise you will be impressed. 9 foot tall ceilings with crown molding and a recessed tray ceiling. Granite counter tops, SS Farmhouse Sink, large dining room, breakfast nook, BIG master bedroom with plenty of room for kingsize bed, jacuzzi tub, tile shower, large walk-in closet, walk-in pantry in kitchen, Tons more features and amenities. Not to mention this is the most desirable manufactured home community in Orange County.
-
2025-12-19historical 760-char remark
Show marketing remark (760 chars)
WOW!!! A beautiful home in a gated community next to Huntington Harbor. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home is approx. 1,600 SqFt with all the upgrades you are looking for. Sitting on a large corner lot just across the from the main clubhouse and guest parking. Beautiful brick patio leads up to an inviting front porch. Step inside and I promise you will be impressed. 9 foot tall ceilings with crown molding and a recessed tray ceiling. Granite counter tops, SS Farmhouse Sink, large dining room, breakfast nook, BIG master bedroom with plenty of room for kingsize bed, jacuzzi tub, tile shower, large walk-in closet, walk-in pantry in kitchen, Tons more features and amenities. Not to mention this is the most desirable manufactured home community in Orange County.
-
2025-12-19$399,900 760-char remark
Show marketing remark (760 chars)
WOW!!! A beautiful home in a gated community next to Huntington Harbor. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home is approx. 1,600 SqFt with all the upgrades you are looking for. Sitting on a large corner lot just across the from the main clubhouse and guest parking. Beautiful brick patio leads up to an inviting front porch. Step inside and I promise you will be impressed. 9 foot tall ceilings with crown molding and a recessed tray ceiling. Granite counter tops, SS Farmhouse Sink, large dining room, breakfast nook, BIG master bedroom with plenty of room for kingsize bed, jacuzzi tub, tile shower, large walk-in closet, walk-in pantry in kitchen, Tons more features and amenities. Not to mention this is the most desirable manufactured home community in Orange County.
-
2006-12-07historical
-
2006-01-16$275,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,735
- − Management
- −$3,735
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $25,554
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,133
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ocean View
- NCES district ID
- 0628140
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,469
- Composite
- 55.3/100
- National rank
- #2725
- State rank
- #207 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Huntington Beach
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #10298
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntington Beach, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 194,835
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,346
- Household income
- $123,257
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1504.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1153.55%
- Current HPI
- 330.6956
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.17%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-52.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $130,000 CRMLS
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $140,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-19 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-18 Coming Soon $150,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-19 Sold (MLS) $399,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-19 Listed $399,900 CRMLS
- 2025-12-19 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2006-12-07 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2006-01-16 Listed $275,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…