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319 Melbourne St Triplex
B- Composite 67.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

319 Melbourne St · Houston, TX 77022
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,620 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1955 5,350 sqft lot ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Fully occupied 3 unit multifamily property is conveniently situated near the heights. Building is fully occupied and is currently generating a monthly income of $2240, making it an attractive prospect for savvy investors. Additionally, all units are electric, eliminating the hassle of gas bills. Don't miss out on this lucrative investment in a sought-after location!

Key facts

  • Monthly income
  • Electric units
  • Multifamily property

Tags

MULTIFAMILY PROPERTYFULLY OCCUPIEDMONTHLY INCOMEELECTRIC UNITSSOUGHT-AFTER LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $263/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Roosevelt El (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 421 students, 84% FRL); Burbank Middle (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #660 of 1,662 statewide, top 41%, 1,417 students, 96% FRL); Northside H S (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,389 of 1,632 statewide, top 86%, 1,168 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 71% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 285 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,047/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1354% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $229,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.42%
Cash-on-cash
14.74%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$17,708
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$99,640
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77022

Home prices YoY
-33.2%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
285
Price-to-rent
18.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,047 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax from tax record
$323 /mo · $3,876/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$640
Net cashflow
$788

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,050
Max offer price $229,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $917 -5% $853 +0% $788 +5% $723 +10% $658
Rent -10% $547 -5% $667 +0% $788 +5% $908 +10% $1,028
Rate -1.0pp $903 -0.5pp $846 base $788 +0.5pp $728 +1.0pp $668

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $3,047

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 Lindale St Unit 1316403P Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1119 $3,187 $2.85 0d 1 0.15mi
6918 Irvington Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 44d 1 0.57mi
835E Dorchester St Unit 1273076P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1528 $3,079 $2.02 0d 1 0.67mi
1690 North Loop Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 876 $2,269 $2.59 0d 42 0.69mi
1420 E 31st St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1790 $2,600 $1.45 25d 1 0.74mi
1420 E 31st St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1980 $2,600 $1.31 44d 1 0.74mi
1617 Enid St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 974 $2,417 $2.48 0d 54 0.89mi
705 Link Rd Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1850 $2,600 $1.41 0d 1 0.93mi
705 Link Rd Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1850 $2,600 $1.41 8d 1 0.93mi
1204 E 29th St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 2151 $8,750 $4.07 44d 1 0.97mi
1204 E 29th St Unit 1018984P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 2142 $10,290 $4.80 44d 1 0.97mi
1416 Fairbanks St Houston, TX 4.0 3.5 1888 $1,899 $1.01 8d 1 0.97mi
770 Strawberry Pines Ct Houston, TX 2.0–3.0 2.5 1422 $2,735 $1.92 2d 12 1.06mi
4605 Fisk St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1628 $3,000 $1.84 44d 1 1.06mi
823 North Loop Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1532 $2,500 $1.63 25d 1 1.22mi
4132 Europa St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1259 $1,430 $1.14 13d 1 1.25mi
1039 Hillstar St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1780 $2,750 $1.54 13d 1 1.35mi
3514 Ajax St Unit 1047956P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1689 $3,114 $1.84 8d 1 1.35mi
1524 Evelyn St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1804 $2,800 $1.55 44d 1 1.36mi
811 E 42nd St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1213 $1,600 $1.32 44d 1 1.41mi
5124 Gold St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1650 $1,895 $1.15 44d 1 1.41mi
1141 Louise St Houston, TX 4.0 4.0 2228 $4,000 $1.80 44d 1 1.44mi
611 E 39th St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1326 $2,099 $1.58 44d 1 1.48mi
2516 Ivy St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-02-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-10
    listed $229,000 Active
  3. 2026-01-31
    historical
  4. 2026-01-15
    price $239,000
  5. 2025-11-07
    price $249,000
  6. 2025-10-02
    price $259,000
  7. 2025-09-04
    listed $279,000 Active
  8. 2024-05-28
    historical
  9. 2024-03-25
    price $285,000
  10. 2024-03-10
    listed $295,000 Active
  11. 2021-05-14
    soldstatus
  12. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,876 · $323/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,191 · $349/mo
Expected delta
+$314/yr (+$26/mo · 8.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,564
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$3,876
− Insurance
−$1,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,925
− Management
−$2,925
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable income
$6,203
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,489
After-tax cash flow
$7,965/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,805
Household income
$52,739
Rent vs Own
49.6% rent · 50.4% own
Severe rent burden
1354.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 24% Black 19% White 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
40% English-only · Spanish 59%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.13%
Current HPI
304.3745
Rent YoY
▲ 4.47%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-23 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $229,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $239,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $249,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Price Changed $259,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-04 Listed $279,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-05-28 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-03-25 Price Changed $285,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-03-10 Listed $295,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-05-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,876 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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