Triplex
319 Melbourne St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Fully occupied 3 unit multifamily property is conveniently situated near the heights. Building is fully occupied and is currently generating a monthly income of $2240, making it an attractive prospect for savvy investors. Additionally, all units are electric, eliminating the hassle of gas bills. Don't miss out on this lucrative investment in a sought-after location!
Key facts
- Monthly income
- Electric units
- Multifamily property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $263/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Roosevelt El (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 421 students, 84% FRL); Burbank Middle (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #660 of 1,662 statewide, top 41%, 1,417 students, 96% FRL); Northside H S (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,389 of 1,632 statewide, top 86%, 1,168 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 71% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 285 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,047/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1354% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.74%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $17,708
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $99,640
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77022
- Home prices YoY
- -33.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 285
- Price-to-rent
- 18.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,047 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$323 /mo · $3,876/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$640
- Net cashflow
- $788
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $917 | -5% $853 | +0% $788 | +5% $723 | +10% $658 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $547 | -5% $667 | +0% $788 | +5% $908 | +10% $1,028 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $903 | -0.5pp $846 | base $788 | +0.5pp $728 | +1.0pp $668 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 1 | 1 | $3,048 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,016 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,016 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,016 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,047 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Lindale St Unit 1316403P Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $3,187 | $2.85 | 0d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 6918 Irvington Blvd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 835E Dorchester St Unit 1273076P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $3,079 | $2.02 | 0d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1690 North Loop Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 876 | $2,269 | $2.59 | 0d | 42 | 0.69mi |
| 1420 E 31st St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1790 | $2,600 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1420 E 31st St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1980 | $2,600 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1617 Enid St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $2,417 | $2.48 | 0d | 54 | 0.89mi |
| 705 Link Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1850 | $2,600 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 705 Link Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1850 | $2,600 | $1.41 | 8d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1204 E 29th St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2151 | $8,750 | $4.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1204 E 29th St Unit 1018984P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2142 | $10,290 | $4.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1416 Fairbanks St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1888 | $1,899 | $1.01 | 8d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 770 Strawberry Pines Ct Houston, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1422 | $2,735 | $1.92 | 2d | 12 | 1.06mi |
| 4605 Fisk St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $3,000 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 823 North Loop Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $2,500 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4132 Europa St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $1,430 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1039 Hillstar St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $2,750 | $1.54 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3514 Ajax St Unit 1047956P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $3,114 | $1.84 | 8d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1524 Evelyn St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1804 | $2,800 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 811 E 42nd St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5124 Gold St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $1,895 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1141 Louise St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2228 | $4,000 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 611 E 39th St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,099 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2516 Ivy St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-02-23status Pending
-
2026-02-10$229,000 Active
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2026-01-15price $239,000
-
2025-11-07price $249,000
-
2025-10-02price $259,000
-
2025-09-04$279,000 Active
-
2024-05-28historical
-
2024-03-25price $285,000
-
2024-03-10$295,000 Active
-
2021-05-14soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,876 · $323/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,191 · $349/mo
- Expected delta
- +$314/yr (+$26/mo · 8.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,564
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$3,876
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,925
- − Management
- −$2,925
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable income
- $6,203
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,489
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,965/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,805
- Household income
- $52,739
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1354.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 24% Black 19% White 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 59%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.13%
- Current HPI
- 304.3745
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.47%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-22.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $229,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $239,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $249,000 HARMLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $259,000 HARMLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $279,000 HARMLS
- 2024-05-28 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-03-25 Price Changed $285,000 HARMLS
- 2024-03-10 Listed $295,000 HARMLS
- 2021-05-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,876 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…