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45049 Pipevine Cir
D+ Composite 46.82
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.8/30.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$339,098

45049 Pipevine Cir · Punta Gorda, FL 33982
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,112 sqft · SingleFamily · 117 Days on market
Built 2026 Poor condition 2-car garage $161/sqft · 40% below area Est $563k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step inside this spacious 2,112 square foot home and discover an open-concept first floor where the kitchen, living and dining areas flow seamlessly together. The kitchen is a chef's dream, featuring Shaker-style cabinetry with designer hardware, durable quartz countertops, a center island and a full suite of stainless steel appliances. Just off the main living space, an inviting outdoor patio awaits for relaxing or entertaining. Upstairs, five bedrooms encircle a versatile loft, offering plenty of space for family and guests. The owner's suite boasts a generous walk-in closet and a luxurious en-suite bathroom with a quartz-topped vanity and full-width mirror.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • En-suite bathroom
  • Outdoor patio

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTOUTDOOR PATIOVERSATILE LOFTWALK-IN CLOSETEN-SUITE BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $339k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (9.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (20.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $270k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.5% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 1453 active listings in the ZIP; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($309k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $269,516 (20.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.71%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$562,892
List price
$339,098
Delta
-39.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16564 Kingwood Ln Unit 35-201 0.00mi 3/2.0 (-2) 2,110 (-0%) 13mo $333,398 $158 77
16602 Ridgeview Cir #4422 0.00mi 3/2.0 (-2) 2,376 (+12%) 8mo $435,000 $183 60
14692 Lagoon Ln 0.00mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,444 (+16%) 13mo $554,000 $227 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.5%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-65,455
Equity at exit
$50,561
10-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-61,392
Equity at exit
$29,319

Cash invested: $94,947 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active
Median asking
$457,056 ($214/sqft)
Median days on market
309 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+24.4% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33982

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
1453
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,695 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,778
Tax est. 1.5%
$424 /mo · $5,086/yr
Insurance
$141
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$566
Net cashflow
$-214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,966
Max offer price $308,095
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $20 -5% $-97 +0% $-214 +5% $-331 +10% $-449
Rent -10% $-427 -5% $-321 +0% $-214 +5% $-108 +10% $-1
Rate -1.0pp $-43 -0.5pp $-128 base $-214 +0.5pp $-302 +1.0pp $-392

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,774
Closing costs
$10,173
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Located at 45049 Pipevine Cir, Punta Gorda FL 33982Listing status: ActiveLast modified: 2026-05-20
Financial info
List price $348,098

Exterior

Parking
2 total parking spaces2-car garage
Home design
Single-family new construction (Spec), Edison plan
Exterior features
Living area of 2,112

Interior

Bedrooms
5 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
Interior features
Spec home (Edison plan)

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-07-12
    pricedays on market $339,098 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-07-09
    days on market $349,098 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-07-08
    days on market $349,098 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-07-07
    days on market $349,098 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-07-06
    days on market $349,098 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-07-06
    days on market $349,098 Active 110 DOM
  7. 2026-07-04
    days on market $349,098 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-07-03
    days on market $349,098 Active 108 DOM
  9. 2026-07-02
    days on market $349,098 Active 107 DOM
  10. 2026-07-01
    days on market $349,098 Active 106 DOM
  11. 2026-06-30
    days on market $349,098 Active 105 DOM
  12. 2026-06-29
    days on market $349,098 Active 104 DOM
  13. 2026-06-28
    days on market $349,098 Active 103 DOM
  14. 2026-06-28
    days on market $349,098 Active 102 DOM
  15. 2026-06-27
    days on market $349,098 Active 101 DOM
  16. 2026-06-23
    days on market $349,098 Active 97 DOM
  17. 2026-06-22
    days on market $349,098 Active 96 DOM
  18. 2026-06-18
    days on market $349,098 Active 93 DOM
  19. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  20. 2026-06-17
    days on market $349,098 Active 92 DOM
  21. 2026-06-16
    days on market $349,098 Active 91 DOM
  22. 2026-06-15
    days on market $349,098 Active 90 DOM
  23. 2026-06-14
    days on market $349,098 Active 88 DOM
  24. 2026-06-13
    days on market $349,098 Active 87 DOM
  25. 2026-06-10
    days on market $349,098 Active 85 DOM
  26. 2026-06-09
    days on market $349,098 Active 84 DOM
  27. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $349,098 Active 83 DOM
  28. 2026-06-05
    days on market $348,098 Active 79 DOM
  29. 2026-06-02
    days on market $348,098 Active 77 DOM
  30. 2026-06-01
    days on market $348,098 Active 76 DOM
  31. 2026-05-31
    days on market $348,098 Active 75 DOM
  32. 2026-05-30
    days on market $348,098 Active 74 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,342
− Mortgage interest
−$18,995
− Property taxes
−$5,086
− Insurance
−$1,695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,587
− Management
−$2,587
− Depreciation
−$9,865
Taxable loss
−$8,474
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,034
After-tax cash flow
$-537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab Est. rehab $105,600–$190,080 screening

This home requires extensive repairs and updates across all systems and areas, significantly impacting its current condition and value. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable and marketable standard.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — No visible roof in the satellite image.
  • Major exterior — No visible exterior in the satellite image.
  • Major flooring — No visible flooring in the satellite image.
  • Major interior walls/paint — No visible interior walls/paint in the satellite image.
  • Major bathrooms — No visible bathrooms in the satellite image.
  • Major kitchen — No visible kitchen in the satellite image.
  • Major systems — No visible systems in the satellite image.
  • Major landscaping/curb appeal — No visible landscaping/curb appeal in the satellite image.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Resale exterior painting/staining — A fresh coat of paint or staining would enhance curb appeal and value.
  • Resale flooring replacement — New flooring would improve the home's aesthetic and value.
  • Resale interior painting — Fresh paint would improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Resale bathroom updates — Updated bathrooms would enhance the home's value and appeal.
  • Resale kitchen updates — Updated kitchen would enhance the home's value and appeal.
  • Resale system upgrades — Upgraded systems would improve the home's functionality and value.
  • Resale landscaping — Landscaping would enhance the home's curb appeal and value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 55/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary East Elementary School B+ FL #435/2,144 Nat'l #4,272/41,679 Middle Punta Gorda Middle School C+ FL #209/571 Nat'l #2,873/14,009 High Charlotte High School D- FL #228/667 Nat'l #6,809/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — Punta Gorda

Score
76/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#3567

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 198,646 people
City population
68,831
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
13,006
Household income
$72,443
Rent vs Own
11.2% rent · 88.8% own
Severe rent burden
42% of renters

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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