1725 Crabtree Circle Cir · Tuscaloosa, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3 bedroom/2 bath home situated on the best lot in the neighborhood! The open floor plan offers excellent flow and natural light and it's ready for your personal touch. Features include spacious rooms with a great kitchen island, dedicated dining space, gas fireplace in the living room, and a screened-in back patio overlooking a natural setting. Enjoy convenient front lawn care included in your annual HOA dues for low-maintenance living.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Great kitchen island
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Crabtree Downs
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $290 (about $24.17/month)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces); Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single family residence; One story
- Construction: Synthetic stucco exterior; Composition shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential single family
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Porch (screened)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Electric water heater
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating included; Cooling included
- Interior features: Granite counters; Gas starter fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (12.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Englewood Elementary School (math 19% / reading 48%, grade F, #318 of 627 statewide, top 51%, 512 students, 74% FRL); Hillcrest High School (math 18% / reading 26%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 1,356 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 45% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 457 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.42%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $276,630
- List price
- $239,900
- Delta
- -13.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1725 Crabtree Circle Cir | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (0%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $154 | 100 |
| 2238 Summer Haven Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (+9%) | 0mo | $258,900 | $153 | 73 |
| 1322 Gingerwood Lane Ln | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,531 (-2%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $163 | 72 |
| 1601 Hunters Run | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,669 (+7%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $150 | 71 |
| 1406 Plantation Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,526 (-2%) | 11mo | $209,900 | $138 | 69 |
| 1775 Crabtree Cir | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-15%) | 11mo | $242,000 | $183 | 61 |
| 8006 Old Greensboro Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,643 (+6%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $128 | 54 |
| 8000 Old Greensboro Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,499 (-4%) | 18mo | $185,000 | $123 | 47 |
| 1399 Misty Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,654 (+6%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $97 | 47 |
| 6225 Mimosa Gardens Cir | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (-15%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $174 | 44 |
| 6204 Mimosa Gardens Cir | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,418 (-9%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $155 | 38 |
| 6298 Mimosa Gardens Cir | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-12%) | 12mo | $224,900 | $165 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-21,517
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $19,269
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35405
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 457
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,106 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$24
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$442
- Net cashflow
- $191
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1092 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1009 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 984 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 815 Stonebrook Cir Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 801 Stonebrook Cir Tuscaloosa, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1397 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 21d | 11 | 0.72mi |
| 820 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1800 Links Blvd Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,095 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7501 Links Blvd Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $2,170 | $2.65 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 8002 Shadesbrook Dr Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,510 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $24 · $288/yr
- Likely covers
- gaslandscaping
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 449-char remark
-
2026-04-24$239,900 Active 449-char remark
-
2026-01-21$239,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,085 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,085 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,273
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$1,085
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,022
- − Management
- −$2,022
- − HOA
- −$288
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$1,760
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$423
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscaloosa County
- NCES district ID
- 0103390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,000
- Composite
- 28.88/100
- National rank
- #6641
- State rank
- #47 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tuscaloosa
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #2909
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
- City population
- 134,228
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,420
- Household income
- $62,301
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1963.0
Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,293 people
- By 2030
- 240,551 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 263,856 · +15.6%
- By 2050
- 286,491 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 335,783 · +47.1%
- By 2100
- 370,520 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.25%
- Current HPI
- 193.1929
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.42%
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $240,000 WAMLS
- 2026-05-13 Pending — WAMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $239,900 WAMLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $239,900 WAMLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,085 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…