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180 Van Cortlandt Park S Unit 5J
D- Composite 38.1
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$287,500

180 Van Cortlandt Park S Unit 5J · New York, NY 10463
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 825 sqft · Condo · 10 Days on market
Built 1956

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 180 Van Cortlandt Park South, Unit 5J—an exceptional post-war coop that offers a delightful living experience in one of New York City's vibrant neighborhoods! This two-bedroom, one-bathroom haven on the fifth floor features a modern, eat-in kitchen with a dishwasher, pantry, and large windows inviting an abundance of natural light to brighten up the entire space. The unit boasts beautiful hardwood floors throughout and offers ample storage with great closet space, making it practical and stylish. Step into the spacious living area where the excellent light condition is perfectly complemented by the modern conveniences of the kitchen and bathroom, both in outstanding conditi

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • Great closet space
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

MODERN EAT-IN KITCHENLARGE WINDOWSHARDWOOD FLOORSAMPLE STORAGEGREAT CLOSET SPACEWELL-MAINTAINED COURTYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot; Waitlist for parking; 1 garage space (has garage); No carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Utilities: see remarks
  • Home design: Stock cooperative
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 rooms total (includes bedrooms and living areas); Entry level: 5
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Steam heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Primary bathroom; No central cooling (none); Steam heating; Cats allowed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $288k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-380 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $288k).
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,030/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 5586% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $287,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.66%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-54,219
Equity at exit
$42,867
10-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-3,318
Equity at exit
$24,858

Cash invested: $80,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10463

Rents YoY
11.6%
Active inventory
342
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,030 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,508
Tax est. 1.5%
$359 /mo · $4,312/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
$786
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$636
Net cashflow
$-380

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,510
Max offer price $232,585
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,875
Closing costs
$8,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2600 Netherland Ave Bronx, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1132 $3,938 $3.48 22d 3 0.97mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $287,500 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $287,500 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $287,500 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $287,500 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $287,500 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    remarks 693-char remark
  7. 2026-06-08
    listed $287,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,355
− Mortgage interest
−$16,104
− Property taxes
−$4,312
− Insurance
−$1,438
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,908
− Management
−$2,908
− HOA
−$9,432
− Depreciation
−$8,364
Taxable loss
−$9,112
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,187
After-tax cash flow
$-2,367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
69,470
Household income
$74,974
Rent vs Own
64.6% rent · 35.4% own
Severe rent burden
5586.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% White 30% Two or more races 17% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 1% Dominican 25%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -294.75%
Current HPI
168.0211
Rent YoY
▲ 11.60%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-78.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $287,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $1,304,280 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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