507 Bridalwreath Ave · Orange, TX 77630

$96,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,355 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 144 Days on market

Built 1955 8,276 sqft lot $71/sqft · 20% below area Est $119k · 20% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +28.1/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.2/10.0
• Appreciation +5.5/10.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.6/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Great bones on this home with multi use rooms. You can have two living area spaces or a large formal dining room and still have a spacious living space. The home is currently used as rental property. Investor does have several other properties available and will consider selling as a package to investors.

Key facts

• 8,276 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Listed 143 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $96k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
• Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.8% in Orange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#286 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools D-.
• West Orange-Cove CISD (suburban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #784 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($664 loan paydown + $970 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
• Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $84,480 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.42% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.46%
• DSCR: 1.60
• GRM: 5.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $119,282
• List price: $96,000
• Delta: -19.52%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
413 Gardenia Ave	0.22mi	3/1.0	1,246 (-8%)	1mo	$124,990	$100	73
313 Camellia Ave	0.18mi	3/2.0	1,490 (+10%)	4mo	$149,900	$101	69
504 Azalea Ave	0.04mi	3/1.0	1,225 (-10%)	17mo	$105,000	$86	66
101 Azalea Ave	0.37mi	3/2.0	1,519 (+12%)	9mo	$115,000	$76	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.01% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.93×
• Total profit: $24,963
• Equity at exit: $32,822

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.03×
• Total profit: $81,518
• Equity at exit: $43,656

Cash invested: $26,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77630

• Home prices YoY: 0.4%
• Rents YoY: 5.7%
• Active inventory: 339
• Price-to-rent: 5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,366 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$503
• Tax from tax record: −$234 /mo · $2,811/yr
• Insurance: −$40
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$287
• Net cashflow: $302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $984

Max offer price $96,000

Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $356	-5% $329	+0% $302	+5% $274	+10% $247
Rent	-10% $194	-5% $248	+0% $302	+5% $355	+10% $409
Rate	-1.0pp $350	-0.5pp $326	base $302	+0.5pp $277	+1.0pp $251

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,000
• Closing costs: $2,880
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 32 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
107 Dahlia St Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1149	$1,300	$1.13	14d	1	0.07mi
310 Camellia Ave Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	988	$1,295	$1.31	22d	1	0.23mi
3726 Bowling Ln Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1045	$1,150	$1.10	44d	1	0.24mi
306 Bridal Wreath Ave Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1529	$1,195	$0.78	22d	1	0.26mi
403 Bluebonnet Dr Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1196	$1,300	$1.09	44d	1	0.26mi
302 Bridal Wreath Ave Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1182	$1,195	$1.01	44d	1	0.29mi
101 Azalea Ave Unit A Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1200	$2,000	$1.67	44d	1	0.39mi
3615 Ridgemont Dr Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1266	$1,275	$1.01	44d	1	0.44mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 203 Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,084	$1.08	14d	1	0.46mi
3714 Ridgemont Dr Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1020	$1,450	$1.42	14d	1	0.48mi
316 Old Timers Rd Unit 316 Orange, TX	3.0	2.0	1200	$1,595	$1.33	44d	1	0.50mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 401 Orange, TX	3.0	2.0	1700	$1,725	$1.01	22d	1	0.51mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Apt 105 Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	952	$1,255	$1.32	22d	1	0.51mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 315TWNHME Orange, TX	2.0	1.5	1216	$1,040	$0.86	22d	1	0.51mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 107 Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	952	$1,255	$1.32	44d	1	0.51mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 404 Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,254	$1.25	44d	1	0.51mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 408 Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,059	$1.06	44d	1	0.51mi
3000 MacArthur Dr Orange, TX	3.0	1.0–2.0	791	$1,330	$1.68	14d	12	0.64mi
7b Concord St Orange, TX	2.0	1.5	1206	$1,450	$1.20	14d	1	0.72mi
1120 28th St Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1308	$1,500	$1.15	44d	1	0.81mi
309 Quincy St West Orange, TX	3.0	1.5	1113	$1,200	$1.08	14d	1	0.87mi
205 Gloria St West Orange, TX	3.0	2.0	1225	$1,300	$1.06	44d	1	0.91mi
2602 Tanglewood St West Orange, TX	4.0	2.0	1306	$1,250	$0.96	14d	1	0.92mi
210 Florence St Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1064	$1,425	$1.34	44d	1	1.02mi
1543 Alamo St West Orange, TX	3.0	1.0	1170	$1,200	$1.03	14d	1	1.02mi
206 Florence St Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	1216	$1,425	$1.17	44d	1	1.03mi
3345 W Park Ave Orange, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	999	$1,182	$1.18	14d	7	1.08mi
1010 Highway 87 S Orange, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	880	$1,425	$1.62	14d	13	1.24mi
2810 Gandy St West Orange, TX	3.0	2.0	1613	$1,700	$1.05	44d	1	1.42mi
2801 W Sunset Dr Orange, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1113	$1,400	$1.26	14d	27	1.43mi
406 Dayton St West Orange, TX	2.0	1.0	1350	$1,200	$0.89	44d	1	1.43mi
1102 Cypress Wood Dr Orange, TX	3.0	2.0	1529	$2,050	$1.34	14d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 28 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $96,000 Active 144 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $96,000 Active 141 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $96,000 Active 140 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $96,000 Active 139 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $96,000 Active 138 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $96,000 Active 136 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $96,000 Active 135 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $96,000 Active 133 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $96,000 Active 132 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $96,000 Active 131 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $96,000 Active 130 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $96,000 Active 126 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $96,000 Active 125 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $96,000 Active 124 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $96,000 Active 123 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $96,000 Active 122 DOM
17. 2026-03-16
    price $96,000 307-char remark

    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Great bones on this home with multi use rooms. You can have two living area spaces or a large formal dining room and still have a spacious living space. The home is currently used as rental property. Investor does have several other properties available and will consider selling as a package to investors.

18. 2026-02-19
    price $97,000 307-char remark

    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Great bones on this home with multi use rooms. You can have two living area spaces or a large formal dining room and still have a spacious living space. The home is currently used as rental property. Investor does have several other properties available and will consider selling as a package to investors.

19. 2026-01-28
    price $99,000 307-char remark

    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Great bones on this home with multi use rooms. You can have two living area spaces or a large formal dining room and still have a spacious living space. The home is currently used as rental property. Investor does have several other properties available and will consider selling as a package to investors.

20. 2026-01-28
    listed $110,000 Active 307-char remark

    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    Great bones on this home with multi use rooms. You can have two living area spaces or a large formal dining room and still have a spacious living space. The home is currently used as rental property. Investor does have several other properties available and will consider selling as a package to investors.

21. 2024-12-05
    price $110,000
22. 2024-10-06
    historical $1,350
23. 2024-09-11
    listed $1,350
24. 2024-09-11
    historical $1,350
25. 2024-08-31
    historical $1,400
26. 2024-08-30
    listed $1,400
27. 2024-08-18
    listed $1,400
28. 2006-03-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,811 · $234/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,811 · $234/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,394
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,377
• − Property taxes: −$2,811
• − Insurance: −$480
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,311
• − Management: −$1,311
• − Depreciation: −$2,793
• Taxable income: $2,309
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$554
• After-tax cash flow: $3,064/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: West Orange-Cove CISD
• NCES district ID: 4845090
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $37,329
• Composite: 15.86/100
• National rank: #9260
• State rank: #784 of 826 in TX

Livability — Orange

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #286
• US rank: #6456

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Orange, TX
• County: Orange County · 87,112 people
• City population: 22,976
• Metro: Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
• Population (ZIP): 28,983
• Household income: $64,373
• Rent vs Own: 32.2% rent · 67.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1018.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 88,065 people
• By 2030: 89,591 · +1.7%
• By 2040: 91,982 · +4.4%
• By 2050: 93,023 · +5.6%
• By 2075: 94,871 · +7.7%
• By 2100: 88,155 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 13% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.01%
• Current HPI: 264.14
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.71%
• Metro: Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+6757.1% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-16 Price Changed $96,000 BBOR
• 2026-02-19 Price Changed $97,000 BBOR
• 2026-01-28 Price Changed $99,000 BBOR
• 2026-01-28 Listed $110,000 BBOR
• 2024-12-05 Price Changed $110,000 BBOR
• 2024-10-06 Rental Removed $1,350 APPFOLIO
• 2024-09-11 Listed for Rent $1,350 APPFOLIO
• 2024-09-11 Rental Removed $1,350 BBOR
• 2024-08-31 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
• 2024-08-30 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO
• 2024-08-18 Listed for Rent $1,400 BBOR
• 2006-03-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,811 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.