6320 Brown Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New laminate flooring, New Carpet, freshly painted, Great opportunity to make yours.
Key facts
- Built 1955
- Listed 126 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.58%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,019
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- 8.03%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6305 Brown Ave | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,050 (0%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $138 | 92 |
| 6313 Brown Ave | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 1,050 (0%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $81 | 90 |
| 6436 Hartwait St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 1,050 (0%) | 10mo | $127,200 | $121 | 87 |
| 1509 Charlotte Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,088 (+4%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $101 | 69 |
| 1548 Elrino St | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 | 1,140 (+9%) | 11mo | $163,000 | $143 | 62 |
| 1108 Steelton Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+3%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $102 | 60 |
| 1518 Elrino St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,190 (+13%) | 4mo | $116,000 | $97 | 58 |
| 6109 Bessemer Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 960 (-9%) | 7mo | $162,000 | $169 | 57 |
| 1242 Delbert Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,024 (-2%) | 3mo | $219,822 | $215 | 55 |
| 1210 Delbert Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,024 (-2%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $176 | 49 |
| 6714 Boston Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+11%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $150 | 45 |
| 6824 Duluth Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,176 (+12%) | 12mo | $244,000 | $207 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-8,484
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $7,150
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21224
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 391
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,771 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1613 Elrino St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1504 Elrino St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 4d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 6722 Brentwood Ave Unit 2FL Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1207 Anglesea St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $2,150 | $1.85 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2125 Cameron Dr Dundalk, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 697 | $1,350 | $1.94 | 43d | 9 | 0.71mi |
| 628 47th St Apt RW2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 10d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 630 47th St Unit B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1955 Walnut Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 456 Elrino St Unit B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 442 Folcroft St Unit A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1071 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 416 Hornel St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,400 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 434 Folcroft St Unit A Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 440 Elrino St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 530 47th St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,750 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 560 Bayview Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1108 | $2,515 | $2.27 | 2d | 25 | 1.04mi |
| 708 Umbra St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1274 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 266 Saint Helena Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1305 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 12d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 421 Elrino St Unit B Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 363 Gusryan St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $1,950 | $2.32 | 12d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 334 Kane St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,675 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6552 Parnell Ave Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 885 | $1,500 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 6905 Bank St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 784 | $1,650 | $2.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 340 Gusryan St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 338 Gusryan St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1218 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 328 Folcroft St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 339 Drew St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1460 | $1,200 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 335 Drew St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1460 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 335 Drew St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1460 | $1,200 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6802 Conley St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 939 | $1,750 | $1.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6537 Baltimore Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6545 Baltimore Ave Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 12 Leeway Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1358 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 611 Oldham St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 12d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2624 Liberty Pkwy Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,856 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7124 Gough St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4505 Foster Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1376 | $2,650 | $1.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3 Center Pl Unit 2 Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 527 S Lehigh St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,325 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3850 Boston St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $3,378 | $3.96 | 2d | 22 | 1.41mi |
| 7058 Eastbrook Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 11d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Pending 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
New laminate flooring, New Carpet, freshly painted, Great opportunity to make yours.
-
2026-04-03status Active 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
New laminate flooring, New Carpet, freshly painted, Great opportunity to make yours.
-
2026-02-06status Pending 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
New laminate flooring, New Carpet, freshly painted, Great opportunity to make yours.
-
2025-12-01$159,900 Active 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
New laminate flooring, New Carpet, freshly painted, Great opportunity to make yours.
-
2025-11-24historical $159,900 84-char remark
Show marketing remark (84 chars)
New laminate flooring, New Carpet, freshly painted, Great opportunity to make yours.
-
2024-02-14historical
-
2024-01-09$169,900 Active
-
2023-11-28historical
-
2023-11-09price $149,000
-
2023-10-20$169,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,083 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,083 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,246
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,083
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,700
- − Management
- −$1,700
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $1,355
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$325
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,514/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,465
- Household income
- $89,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1786.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.23%
- Current HPI
- 241.284
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-5.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-01 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-24 Coming Soon $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-14 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-01-09 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-09 Price Changed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-10-20 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,083 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…