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912 Griswold Ave
C- Composite 50.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

912 Griswold Ave · Carthage, MO 64836
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 704 sqft · Other public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1994 $141/sqft · 21% above area Est $82k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and efficient, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in Carthage offers 704 sq ft of comfortable living space with plenty of potential. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors, this home features a functional layout that maximizes every square foot. Enjoy a cozy living area, a practical kitchen, and two well-sized bedrooms. The manageable size makes for easy maintenance while still providing all the essentials of homeownership. Situated in a convenient location, you'll appreciate quick access to local amenities, schools, and shopping. Whether you're looking to add to your investment portfolio or find an affordable place to call home, this property is full of opportunity.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1994
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); 1-car attached carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Freestanding single-family property; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Composition roof; Built area above grade: 704
  • Exterior features: No fencing; 0.13-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Cooling present
  • Interior features: Electric range; No fireplace; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#131 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Carthage R-IX (town): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #183 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Carthage Intermediate Center (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 772 students, 72% FRL); Carthage Jr. High (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #189 of 391 statewide, top 51%, 752 students, 64% FRL); Carthage High School (math 44% / reading 43%, grade F, #208 of 521 statewide, top 40%, 1,610 students, 60% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 195 active listings in the ZIP; 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.04%
Cash-on-cash
9.82%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,561
List price
$99,000
Delta
21.38%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-1,635
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$17,026
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64836

Home prices YoY
-18.2%
Active inventory
195
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,045 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $460/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $758
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $283 -5% $255 +0% $227 +5% $199 +10% $171
Rent -10% $144 -5% $186 +0% $227 +5% $268 +10% $309
Rate -1.0pp $277 -0.5pp $252 base $227 +0.5pp $201 +1.0pp $175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 694-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $99,000 Active 694-char remark
  3. 2004-05-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$460 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$960 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$501/yr (+$42/mo · 109.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,539
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$460
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,003
− Management
−$1,003
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$1,153
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$277
After-tax cash flow
$2,445/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carthage R-IX
NCES district ID
2907460
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,696
Composite
31.85/100
National rank
#5874
State rank
#183 of 324 in MO

Livability — Carthage

Score
70/100
State rank
#131
US rank
#7646

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carthage, MO
County
Jasper County · 79,035 people
City population
26,562
Metro
Joplin, MO
Population (ZIP)
26,562
Household income
$61,335
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
800.0

Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,033 people
By 2030
120,091 · +0.0%
By 2040
119,297 · -0.6%
By 2050
117,705 · -1.9%
By 2075
110,402 · -8.0%
By 2100
99,719 · -16.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Jasper

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.9% · R 72.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.8 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.61%
Current HPI
250.499
Rent YoY
Metro
Joplin, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending OGAR
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $99,000 OGAR
  • 2004-05-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $460 · +18.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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