912 Griswold Ave · Carthage, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming and efficient, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home in Carthage offers 704 sq ft of comfortable living space with plenty of potential. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors, this home features a functional layout that maximizes every square foot. Enjoy a cozy living area, a practical kitchen, and two well-sized bedrooms. The manageable size makes for easy maintenance while still providing all the essentials of homeownership. Situated in a convenient location, you'll appreciate quick access to local amenities, schools, and shopping. Whether you're looking to add to your investment portfolio or find an affordable place to call home, this property is full of opportunity.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1994
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); 1-car attached carport
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Freestanding single-family property; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Composition roof; Built area above grade: 704
- Exterior features: No fencing; 0.13-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Cooling present
- Interior features: Electric range; No fireplace; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#131 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Carthage R-IX (town): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #183 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Carthage Intermediate Center (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 772 students, 72% FRL); Carthage Jr. High (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #189 of 391 statewide, top 51%, 752 students, 64% FRL); Carthage High School (math 44% / reading 43%, grade F, #208 of 521 statewide, top 40%, 1,610 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: 195 active listings in the ZIP; 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.82%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,561
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- 21.38%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,635
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $17,026
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64836
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 195
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,045 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $460/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $283 | -5% $255 | +0% $227 | +5% $199 | +10% $171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $144 | -5% $186 | +0% $227 | +5% $268 | +10% $309 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $277 | -0.5pp $252 | base $227 | +0.5pp $201 | +1.0pp $175 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 694-char remark
-
2026-05-05$99,000 Active 694-char remark
-
2004-05-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $460 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $960 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$501/yr (+$42/mo · 109.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$460
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,003
- − Management
- −$1,003
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,153
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$277
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carthage R-IX
- NCES district ID
- 2907460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,696
- Composite
- 31.85/100
- National rank
- #5874
- State rank
- #183 of 324 in MO
Livability — Carthage
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #7646
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Carthage, MO
- County
- Jasper County · 79,035 people
- City population
- 26,562
- Metro
- Joplin, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,562
- Household income
- $61,335
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 800.0
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,033 people
- By 2030
- 120,091 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 119,297 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 117,705 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 110,402 · -8.0%
- By 2100
- 99,719 · -16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.9% · R 72.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.61%
- Current HPI
- 250.499
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Joplin, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — OGAR
- 2026-05-05 Listed $99,000 OGAR
- 2004-05-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $460 · +18.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…