CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
35068 Ellen St
B- Composite 68.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

35068 Ellen St · St. Clair Shores, MI 48035
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,862 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1940 0.34 ac lot $75/sqft · 46% below area Est $258k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a quiet Clinton Township neighborhood close to shopping, dining, schools, and everyday conveniences. Features include a large lot, detached 2-car garage, unfinished basement ready for your finishing touches, and a second-floor Juliet balcony full of character. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor. Cash or 203k financing only. B/BATVAI. Bank-owned property. This property may also be marketed through an auction event on Hubzu.com. Seller will review offers submitted through the auction site as well as through the listing agent.

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Large lot
  • Detached garage

Tags

LARGE LOTDETACHED GARAGEUNFINISHED BASEMENTSECOND-FLOOR JULIET BALCONY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Colonial-style single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1940
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; 0.34-acre lot; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (11 x 14)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (14 x 16); Bedroom 2 (13 x 11); Bedroom 3 (11 x 10); Bedroom 4 (13 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one listed as Bathroom 1, another listed as Bathroom 2)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Total of 10 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.2% in St. Clair Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Clintondale Community Schools (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #506 of 540 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
9.42%
Cash-on-cash
11.15%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$257,881
List price
$139,000
Delta
-46.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35811 Weideman St 0.56mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,978 (+6%) 9mo $290,000 $147 47
34151 Kentucky 0.57mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,780 (-4%) 13mo $289,900 $163 47
35088 Quinton St 0.07mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,587 (-15%) 19mo $235,000 $148 46
22348 Thomson St 0.65mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,018 (+8%) 16mo $230,000 $114 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$3,072
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$43,091
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48035

Home prices YoY
-29.1%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,901 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$353 /mo · $4,239/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$362

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,443
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $440 -5% $401 +0% $362 +5% $322 +10% $283
Rent -10% $212 -5% $287 +0% $362 +5% $437 +10% $512
Rate -1.0pp $432 -0.5pp $397 base $362 +0.5pp $326 +1.0pp $289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $139,000 Active 589-char remark
    Show marketing remark (589 chars)

    Spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a quiet Clinton Township neighborhood close to shopping, dining, schools, and everyday conveniences. Features include a large lot, detached 2-car garage, unfinished basement ready for your finishing touches, and a second-floor Juliet balcony full of character. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor. Cash or 203k financing only. B/BATVAI. Bank-owned property. This property may also be marketed through an auction event on Hubzu.com. Seller will review offers submitted through the auction site as well as through the listing agent.

  2. 2026-05-12
    listed $139,000 Active 589-char remark
    Show marketing remark (589 chars)

    Spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a quiet Clinton Township neighborhood close to shopping, dining, schools, and everyday conveniences. Features include a large lot, detached 2-car garage, unfinished basement ready for your finishing touches, and a second-floor Juliet balcony full of character. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor. Cash or 203k financing only. B/BATVAI. Bank-owned property. This property may also be marketed through an auction event on Hubzu.com. Seller will review offers submitted through the auction site as well as through the listing agent.

  3. 2026-05-12
    listed $139,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (589 chars)

    Spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a quiet Clinton Township neighborhood close to shopping, dining, schools, and everyday conveniences. Features include a large lot, detached 2-car garage, unfinished basement ready for your finishing touches, and a second-floor Juliet balcony full of character. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor. Cash or 203k financing only. B/BATVAI. Bank-owned property. This property may also be marketed through an auction event on Hubzu.com. Seller will review offers submitted through the auction site as well as through the listing agent.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,239 · $353/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,239 · $353/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,811
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$4,239
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,825
− Management
−$1,825
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$2,398
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$576
After-tax cash flow
$3,765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clintondale Community Schools
NCES district ID
2610080
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,253
Composite
11.83/100
National rank
#9675
State rank
#506 of 540 in MI

Livability — St. Clair Shores

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
58,217
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
33,569
Household income
$73,015
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
978.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 21% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.36%
Current HPI
362.1471
Rent YoY
▲ 4.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-28 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $139,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $139,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $139,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,239 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…