1923 Gwynn Oak · Woodlawn, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Detached structure; Combination construction materials
- Construction: Above-grade living space; Above grade finished area approximately 1,248; Foundation: Other
- Exterior features: Porch(es); No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on first upper level, one on second upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating fueled by natural gas; Ceiling fan cooling (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; One fireplace; Partially finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-304 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (17.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (30.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $210k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#78 in MD, #2,926 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $113k; list at $300k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.34%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $347,928
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 Englewood Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,658 (+4%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $211 | 82 |
| 2031 Englewood Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 | 1,650 (+3%) | 14mo | $360,000 | $218 | 71 |
| 1900 Hillcrest Rd | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 | 1,538 (-4%) | 21mo | $325,000 | $211 | 65 |
| 1929 Englewood Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,767 (+11%) | 6mo | $239,000 | $135 | 64 |
| 3 Northland Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,573 (-1%) | 11mo | $306,000 | $195 | 62 |
| 2127 Southland Rd | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 | 1,706 (+7%) | 14mo | $405,000 | $237 | 54 |
| 11 Summerfield Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,460 (-8%) | 14mo | $270,000 | $185 | 53 |
| 6721 Valley Creek Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 1,560 (-2%) | 13mo | $360,000 | $231 | 52 |
| 2619 Poplar Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,677 (+5%) | 11mo | $370,000 | $221 | 46 |
| 6725 Brookmont Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,536 (-4%) | 17mo | $320,000 | $208 | 39 |
| 6621 Dogwood | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,416 (-11%) | 11mo | $330,000 | $233 | 35 |
| 1836 Colmar Rd | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,727 (+8%) | 14mo | $405,000 | $235 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $138,546
- Equity at exit
- $259,296
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.14×
- Total profit
- $431,357
- Equity at exit
- $547,997
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21207
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,097 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$263 /mo · $3,153/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $-304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-134 | -5% $-219 | +0% $-304 | +5% $-388 | +10% $-473 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-469 | -5% $-386 | +0% $-304 | +5% $-221 | +10% $-138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-153 | -0.5pp $-227 | base $-304 | +0.5pp $-381 | +1.0pp $-460 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6330 Windsor Mill Rd Woodlawn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 6463 Woodgreen Cir Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1230 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 19d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2 Walden Birch Ct Woodlawn, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1022 | $1,792 | $1.75 | 6d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5215 Muth Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1205 | $2,700 | $2.24 | 16d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4998 W Forest Park Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $1,875 | $2.37 | 16d | 15 | 1.17mi |
| 6301 Linus Dr Gwynn Oak, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1976 | $3,495 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5136 Oaklawn Rd Gwynn Oak, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,710 | $1.91 | 3d | 22 | 1.29mi |
| 6226 Robin Hill Rd Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $2,850 | $2.50 | 17d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3535 Flannery Ln Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1536 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-17$299,900 Active
-
2026-04-08historical $299,900
-
2024-12-13historical $1,750
-
2024-12-09$1,750
-
2024-12-08historical $1,750
-
2024-12-07$1,750
-
2024-12-07historical $1,750
-
2024-12-06historical
-
2024-11-28price $309,900
-
2024-11-12$319,900 Active
-
2024-11-11historical
-
2024-10-26price $1,750
-
2024-10-17price $1,850
-
2024-09-25$1,950
-
2023-09-06historical $2,100
-
2023-09-02$2,100
-
2023-08-08historical $2,100
-
2023-07-28$2,100
-
2010-12-08historical 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
-
2010-12-06soldstatus $112,900 Sold 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
-
2010-12-06soldstatus $112,900
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
-
2010-10-18status Contract 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
-
2010-10-17historical
-
2010-09-29price $115,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
-
2010-09-23status Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
-
2010-07-21status Contract 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
-
2010-07-16price $134,900 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
-
2010-06-04$144,900 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
-
2010-06-04$115,000
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
FURNACE WILL BE REPLACED! Home Sold Strictly As-Is. GR verified by buyer, seller will not redeem. All lender required repairs made by buyer. Up to 3.5% Closing with seller approved contract. Seller exempt from Docs/Stamps, buyer pays all. All offers must include proof of funds and min $1,000 deposit in certified funds held by LB.
-
1994-08-09soldstatus $83,000
-
1992-03-04soldstatus $85,750
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,153 · $263/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,211 · $268/mo
- Expected delta
- +$58/yr (+$5/mo · 1.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$3,153
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,013
- − Management
- −$2,013
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$9,036
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,169
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,475/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Woodlawn
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #2926
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Woodlawn, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $67,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2139.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.50%
- Current HPI
- 843.63
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.23%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+249.7% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-08 Coming Soon $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-12-13 Rental Removed $1,750 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-12-09 Listed for Rent $1,750 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-12-08 Rental Removed $1,750 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-07 Listed for Rent $1,750 BUILDIUM
- 2024-12-07 Rental Removed $1,750 BRIGHTMLS
- 2024-12-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-28 Price Changed $309,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-12 Listed $319,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-11 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-10-26 Price Changed $1,750 BRIGHTMLS
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $1,850 BRIGHTMLS
- 2024-09-25 Listed for Rent $1,950 BRIGHTMLS
- 2023-09-06 Rental Removed $2,100 RENT.
- 2023-09-02 Listed for Rent $2,100 RENT.
- 2023-08-08 Rental Removed $2,100 RENT.
- 2023-07-28 Listed for Rent $2,100 RENT.
- 2010-12-08 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-12-06 Sold (MLS) $112,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-12-06 Sold (MLS) $112,900 MRIS
- 2010-10-18 Pending — MRIS
- 2010-10-17 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-09-29 Price Changed $115,000 MRIS
- 2010-09-23 Relisted — MRIS
- 2010-07-21 Pending — MRIS
- 2010-07-16 Price Changed $134,900 MRIS
- 2010-06-04 Listed $144,900 MRIS
- 2010-06-04 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1994-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 1992-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $85,750 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,153 · +19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…