🏷️ Likely Rental
19803 E 47 St · Independence, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This one owner home is well maintained, clean and ready for it's new owner! 1994 14 x 70, Skyline offers two bedrooms and one bath. Large open kitchen and living room for a very spacious feel. Newer outdoor HVAC unit. Natural gas furnace and natural gas range. Very large, nice covered porch and uncovered back porch with fully covered carport. Mature trees on lot and sizable storage shed. New roof and skirting in 2022. Sizable storage shed with electric. Located just a short distance into the park with tenant play area nearly in your back yard. Quality affordable living. Buyer's must contact park office to be approved and sign lease before an offer will be accepted. Come take a look!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Uncovered back porch
- Large open kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Street lights in community
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt private parking
- Utilities: Private water source; Cable available
- Home design: Residential property; Single wide mobile home
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Partially finished crawl space basement
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Rear porch; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Trash compactor; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Master downstairs
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High-speed internet access; Master suite on main level; Gas fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $834 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.0% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Blue Springs R-IV (suburban): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #17 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Blue Springs High (math 50% / reading 65%, grade C, #49 of 521 statewide, top 9%, 2,383 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.68%
- DSCR
- 3.66
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $291,748
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -79.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $40,339
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 60.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.45×
- Total profit
- $91,398
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64015
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,580 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $834
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19301 E Eastland Center Ct Independence, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,575 | $2.10 | 3d | 5 | 0.29mi |
| 20301 E 45th St S Blue Springs, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1001 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 2d | 28 | 0.30mi |
| 4631 S Eastland Center Dr Independence, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1022 | $1,598 | $1.56 | 2d | 22 | 0.40mi |
| 4631 S Eastland Center Dr Independence, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1022 | $1,655 | $1.62 | 44d | 29 | 0.40mi |
| 19401 E 40th Street Ct S Independence, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,530 | $2.28 | 2d | 12 | 0.69mi |
| 19700 E 39th Pl Independence, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 832 | $1,697 | $2.04 | 2d | 7 | 0.95mi |
| 3950 S Jackson Dr Independence, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,495 | $1.69 | 2d | 30 | 0.97mi |
| 19012 E 37th Ter S Independence, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 936 | $1,515 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4580 Bass Pro Dr Independence, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1114 | $1,829 | $1.64 | 2d | 10 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$59,900 Active 692-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,957
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,517
- − Management
- −$1,517
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $9,628
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,311
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,698/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This home is in average condition with moderate repairs and maintenance needed. Upgrading the kitchen, bathroom, and interior will significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom vanity — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate flooring — dated and in need of replacement
- Moderate interior walls/paint — dated and in need of freshening
Value-add opportunities
- Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen
- Resale new bathroom vanity and fixtures — modernizing the bathroom
- Resale new flooring — modernizing the living areas
- Resale new interior walls and paint — modernizing the interior
- Both HVAC system upgrade — improving comfort and energy efficiency
- Both landscaping and curb appeal improvements — enhancing the home's exterior
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom vanity · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| flooring · dated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| interior walls/paint · dated and in need of freshening | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $12,000–60,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen ↑
- Resale new bathroom vanity and fixtures — modernizing the bathroom ↑
- Resale new flooring — modernizing the living areas ↑
- Resale new interior walls and paint — modernizing the interior ↑
- Both HVAC system upgrade — improving comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal improvements — enhancing the home's exterior ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blue Springs R-IV
- NCES district ID
- 2905310
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,959
- Composite
- 50.71/100
- National rank
- #1819
- State rank
- #17 of 324 in MO
Livability — Independence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #1296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Independence, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 117,675
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,245
- Household income
- $84,518
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 555.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 11% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.47%
- Current HPI
- 232.221
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.01%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $59,900 HMMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…