CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
8405 Pippin Rd
C- Composite 50.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

8405 Pippin Rd · Groesbeck, OH 45239
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1958 7,405 sqft lot Est $213k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter home! HVAC, siding and hot water heater '08. Newer roof and windows. All appliances stay. 2 car detached garage and storage shed.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Ranch-style home
  • 7,405 sq ft lot

Tags

RANCH-STYLE HOMESPACIOUS YARDBRIGHT AND INVITING LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Driveway; Two garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; One level (single-story); Slab foundation
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Aluminum and vinyl insulated windows; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on main level; Primary bedroom approximately 10 x 12; Second bedroom approximately 10 x 10; Third bedroom approximately 9 x 9
  • Flooring: Tile in kitchen; Carpet in living room
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Gas water heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Wall-to-wall carpet in the living room; Tile floor in the kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 7 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($294/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (13.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#48 in OH, #629 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+.
  • Northwest Local (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #508 of 656 in OH (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $155,612 (13.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$212,760
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8729 Morningstar Ln 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-4%) 2mo $200,000 $192 72
2351 Mercury Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 0mo $232,000 $223 70
8724 Neptune Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 2mo $210,000 $202 66
8796 Neptune Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 1mo $205,000 $197 63
8695 Neptune Dr 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,040 (-4%) 12mo $192,000 $185 62
8680 Neptune Dr 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-4%) 21mo $210,000 $202 57
8670 Zodiac Ave 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,040 (-4%) 16mo $130,000 $125 56
8777 Morningstar Ln 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,040 (-4%) 15mo $217,500 $209 54
7068 Mulberry St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,096 (+2%) 8mo $203,000 $185 54
2389 Aquarius Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 12mo $219,900 $211 54
8865 Neptune Dr 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,040 (-4%) 14mo $194,000 $187 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-22,755
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$3,308
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45239

Home prices YoY
-32.8%
Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,556 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$186 /mo · $2,238/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,525
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $126 -5% $75 +0% $24 +5% $-26 +10% $-77
Rent -10% $-98 -5% $-37 +0% $24 +5% $86 +10% $147
Rate -1.0pp $115 -0.5pp $70 base $24 +0.5pp $-22 +1.0pp $-70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8879 Zodiac Dr Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,781 $1.71 24d 1 0.61mi
7032 La Boiteaux Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 24d 1 0.90mi
6834 Betts Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.5 1426 $1,695 $1.19 24d 1 0.92mi
1837 W Galbraith Rd Cincinnati, OH 2.0 2.0 1087 $1,500 $1.38 24d 1 0.92mi
9128 Orangewood Dr Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.0 1359 $1,495 $1.10 24d 1 0.95mi
1908 Emerson Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.0 760 $1,550 $2.04 24d 1 1.08mi
1834 Emerson Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1187 $1,500 $1.26 24d 1 1.13mi
1740 Bising Ave North College Hill, OH 3.0 2.0 1235 $1,697 $1.37 2d 6 1.13mi
1804 Waltham Ave Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1186 $1,425 $1.20 8d 1 1.19mi
1667 Lakenoll Dr Mt Healthy, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 817 $1,385 $1.69 4d 7 1.23mi
1604 W Galbraith Rd Unit F North College Hill, OH 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,150 $0.92 15d 1 1.24mi
2512 Rack Ct Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,125 $1.25 24d 1 1.35mi
2536 Rack Ct Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 24d 1 1.36mi
5800 Renee Ct Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 775 $1,099 $1.42 22d 1 1.37mi
9500 Ridgemoor Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 1.0 1344 $1,600 $1.19 8d 1 1.40mi
5856 Renee Ct Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 775 $1,099 $1.42 24d 1 1.43mi
7601 Hamilton Ave Unit 2-3 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 24d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $179,900 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,900 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,900 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,900 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,900 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $189,900 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,900 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 16 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,900 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-23
    listed $189,900 Active
  17. 2024-11-21
    soldstatus $10,761,000
  18. 2015-08-03
    soldstatus $49,900
  19. 2015-07-23
    soldstatus $49,000 Sold 143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (143 chars)

    Great starter home! HVAC, siding and hot water heater '08. Newer roof and windows. All appliances stay. 2 car detached garage and storage shed.

  20. 2015-06-18
    historical Accept Backup Offers 143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (143 chars)

    Great starter home! HVAC, siding and hot water heater '08. Newer roof and windows. All appliances stay. 2 car detached garage and storage shed.

  21. 2015-06-16
    listed $59,900 Active 143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (143 chars)

    Great starter home! HVAC, siding and hot water heater '08. Newer roof and windows. All appliances stay. 2 car detached garage and storage shed.

  22. 1992-04-21
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,238 · $186/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,522 · $210/mo
Expected delta
+$284/yr (+$24/mo · 12.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,673
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,238
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,494
− Management
−$1,494
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$2,762
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$663
After-tax cash flow
$957/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest Local
NCES district ID
3904736
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$58,765
Composite
36.97/100
National rank
#4528
State rank
#508 of 656 in OH

Livability — Groesbeck

Score
84/100
State rank
#48
US rank
#629

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Groesbeck, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
29,607
Household income
$60,324
Rent vs Own
40.7% rent · 59.3% own
Severe rent burden
1566.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 35% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · India, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.46%
Current HPI
234.6033
Rent YoY
▲ 6.00%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+341.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $189,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2024-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $10,761,000 Public Records
  • 2015-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
  • 2015-07-23 Sold (MLS) $49,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2015-06-18 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2015-06-16 Listed $59,900 Cincy MLS
  • 1992-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,238 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…