8405 Pippin Rd · Groesbeck, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great starter home! HVAC, siding and hot water heater '08. Newer roof and windows. All appliances stay. 2 car detached garage and storage shed.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Ranch-style home
- 7,405 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Driveway; Two garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Ranch-style single family home; One level (single-story); Slab foundation
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Aluminum and vinyl insulated windows; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on main level; Primary bedroom approximately 10 x 12; Second bedroom approximately 10 x 10; Third bedroom approximately 9 x 9
- Flooring: Tile in kitchen; Carpet in living room
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Gas water heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Wall-to-wall carpet in the living room; Tile floor in the kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 7 x 10)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($294/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (13.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $156k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#48 in OH, #629 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+.
- Northwest Local (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #508 of 656 in OH (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.58%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $212,760
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8729 Morningstar Ln | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $192 | 72 |
| 2351 Mercury Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 0mo | $232,000 | $223 | 70 |
| 8724 Neptune Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $202 | 66 |
| 8796 Neptune Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $197 | 63 |
| 8695 Neptune Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (-4%) | 12mo | $192,000 | $185 | 62 |
| 8680 Neptune Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 21mo | $210,000 | $202 | 57 |
| 8670 Zodiac Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,040 (-4%) | 16mo | $130,000 | $125 | 56 |
| 8777 Morningstar Ln | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (-4%) | 15mo | $217,500 | $209 | 54 |
| 7068 Mulberry St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,096 (+2%) | 8mo | $203,000 | $185 | 54 |
| 2389 Aquarius Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 12mo | $219,900 | $211 | 54 |
| 8865 Neptune Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,040 (-4%) | 14mo | $194,000 | $187 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-22,755
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $3,308
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45239
- Home prices YoY
- -32.8%
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,556 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,238/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $126 | -5% $75 | +0% $24 | +5% $-26 | +10% $-77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-98 | -5% $-37 | +0% $24 | +5% $86 | +10% $147 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $115 | -0.5pp $70 | base $24 | +0.5pp $-22 | +1.0pp $-70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8879 Zodiac Dr Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,781 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7032 La Boiteaux Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6834 Betts Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1426 | $1,695 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1837 W Galbraith Rd Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,500 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9128 Orangewood Dr Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1359 | $1,495 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1908 Emerson Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,550 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1834 Emerson Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1187 | $1,500 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1740 Bising Ave North College Hill, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $1,697 | $1.37 | 2d | 6 | 1.13mi |
| 1804 Waltham Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $1,425 | $1.20 | 8d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1667 Lakenoll Dr Mt Healthy, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 817 | $1,385 | $1.69 | 4d | 7 | 1.23mi |
| 1604 W Galbraith Rd Unit F North College Hill, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,150 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2512 Rack Ct Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,125 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2536 Rack Ct Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5800 Renee Ct Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,099 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 9500 Ridgemoor Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 8d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5856 Renee Ct Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,099 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 7601 Hamilton Ave Unit 2-3 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $179,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $189,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-23$189,900 Active
-
2024-11-21soldstatus $10,761,000
-
2015-08-03soldstatus $49,900
-
2015-07-23soldstatus $49,000 Sold 143-char remark
Show marketing remark (143 chars)
Great starter home! HVAC, siding and hot water heater '08. Newer roof and windows. All appliances stay. 2 car detached garage and storage shed.
-
2015-06-18historical Accept Backup Offers 143-char remark
Show marketing remark (143 chars)
Great starter home! HVAC, siding and hot water heater '08. Newer roof and windows. All appliances stay. 2 car detached garage and storage shed.
-
2015-06-16$59,900 Active 143-char remark
Show marketing remark (143 chars)
Great starter home! HVAC, siding and hot water heater '08. Newer roof and windows. All appliances stay. 2 car detached garage and storage shed.
-
1992-04-21soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,238 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,522 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- +$284/yr (+$24/mo · 12.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,673
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,238
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,494
- − Management
- −$1,494
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$2,762
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$663
- After-tax cash flow
- $957/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwest Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904736
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,765
- Composite
- 36.97/100
- National rank
- #4528
- State rank
- #508 of 656 in OH
Livability — Groesbeck
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #629
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Groesbeck, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,607
- Household income
- $60,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1566.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 35% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · India, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.46%
- Current HPI
- 234.6033
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.00%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+341.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $189,900 Cincy MLS
- 2024-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $10,761,000 Public Records
- 2015-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
- 2015-07-23 Sold (MLS) $49,000 Cincy MLS
- 2015-06-18 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2015-06-16 Listed $59,900 Cincy MLS
- 1992-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,238 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…