7214 Harney Ave · Jennings, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.1/15.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Renovated & Modern 4-Bed, 2-Bath Home! This beautifully updated property is perfect for both savvy investors seeking a strong rental addition to their portfolio and first-time buyers ready to make it their own. Recent upgrades include brand-new flooring throughout, renovated kitchen and bathrooms, fresh interior paint, and stylish exterior enhancements. The open floor plan features stunning vaulted ceilings, creating a bright and spacious feel. Don’t miss this unique opportunity—homes like this don’t come around often! **There are a few things needed to be fully finished and the owner is requesting an AS-IS purchase. Reach out to Leah Agnew for more details. 636-485-9243**
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Brand-new flooring
- Renovated bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $100k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.67%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,243
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 11.94%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7205 Emma Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,687 (+3%) | 10mo | $38,900 | $23 | 74 |
| 5630 Mclaran Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (-12%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $83 | 65 |
| 7302 Jenwood Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,438 (-12%) | 20mo | $124,900 | $87 | 60 |
| 6610 W Florissant Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,560 (-5%) | 3mo | $59,900 | $38 | 54 |
| 7063 W Florissant Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-11%) | 11mo | $74,930 | $51 | 53 |
| 2321 Shirley Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (-10%) | 13mo | $54,900 | $37 | 41 |
| 8510 Hamilton Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,595 (-3%) | 14mo | $90,000 | $56 | 40 |
| 2117 Mclaran Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,607 (-2%) | 19mo | $25,000 | $16 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $40,567
- Equity at exit
- $49,429
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.03×
- Total profit
- $112,835
- Equity at exit
- $79,886
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,251 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $968/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7120 Greenhaven Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 7218 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $980 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 5516 Fairridge Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $995 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 7426 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 7441 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5637 Jennings Station Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $895 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7121 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 5612 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 11d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2646 Terrace Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $1,275 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5664 Hamilton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,600 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5515 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2022 McLaran Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1181 | $1,593 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 8824 Huiskamp Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1548 | $1,200 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 8817 Shady Grove Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,075 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $995 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,373 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 44 Jendale Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $1,350 | $0.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5730 Park Ln Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 20d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 8883 Saint Cyr Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,200 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5944 Thekla Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1760 | $975 | $0.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8548 Drury Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,420 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $99,900 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Renovated & Modern 4-Bed, 2-Bath Home! This beautifully updated property is perfect for both savvy investors seeking a strong rental addition to their portfolio and first-time buyers ready to make it their own. Recent upgrades include brand-new flooring throughout, renovated kitchen and bathrooms, fresh interior paint, and stylish exterior enhancements. The open floor plan features stunning vaulted ceilings, creating a bright and spacious feel. Don’t miss this unique opportunity—homes like this don’t come around often! **There are a few things needed to be fully finished and the owner is requesting an AS-IS purchase. Reach out to Leah Agnew for more details. 636-485-9243**
-
2026-03-23price $110,000 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Renovated & Modern 4-Bed, 2-Bath Home! This beautifully updated property is perfect for both savvy investors seeking a strong rental addition to their portfolio and first-time buyers ready to make it their own. Recent upgrades include brand-new flooring throughout, renovated kitchen and bathrooms, fresh interior paint, and stylish exterior enhancements. The open floor plan features stunning vaulted ceilings, creating a bright and spacious feel. Don’t miss this unique opportunity—homes like this don’t come around often! **There are a few things needed to be fully finished and the owner is requesting an AS-IS purchase. Reach out to Leah Agnew for more details. 636-485-9243**
-
2026-03-16$120,000 Active 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Renovated & Modern 4-Bed, 2-Bath Home! This beautifully updated property is perfect for both savvy investors seeking a strong rental addition to their portfolio and first-time buyers ready to make it their own. Recent upgrades include brand-new flooring throughout, renovated kitchen and bathrooms, fresh interior paint, and stylish exterior enhancements. The open floor plan features stunning vaulted ceilings, creating a bright and spacious feel. Don’t miss this unique opportunity—homes like this don’t come around often! **There are a few things needed to be fully finished and the owner is requesting an AS-IS purchase. Reach out to Leah Agnew for more details. 636-485-9243**
-
2025-07-30price $110,000
-
2025-07-18price $115,000
-
2025-07-02status Active
-
2025-03-01status Pending
-
2025-01-20$125,000 Active
-
2024-08-09soldstatus Closed
-
2024-07-08status Pending
-
2024-07-02historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-06-24status Pending
-
2024-06-17$107,000 Active
-
2024-06-12historical $107,000
-
2022-04-26price $29,000
-
2021-05-13soldstatus $53,000
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1995-02-24soldstatus
-
1995-02-24soldstatus
-
1992-11-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $968 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $969 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1/yr ($0/mo · 0.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$968
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,201
- − Management
- −$1,201
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,637
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$633
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,470/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jennings
- NCES district ID
- 2916290
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,595
- Composite
- 11.04/100
- National rank
- #9739
- State rank
- #315 of 324 in MO
Livability — Jennings
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #10499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jennings, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+88.5% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $99,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $115,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-02 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-01 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-20 Listed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-09 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-08 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-02 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-24 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-17 Listed $107,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-12 Coming Soon $107,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-26 Price Changed $29,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1995-02-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-02-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-11-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2022): $968 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…