2999 Point East Dr Unit C109 · Aventura, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.91%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NICELY REMODEL UNIT. ONE BEDROOM, ONE BATHROOM WITH A WONDERFUL PORCH-BALCONY IN A VIBRANT 55+ COMMUNITY FEATURING AN STUNNING WATER VIEW. THIS UNIT IS FILLED WITH NATURAL LIGHT, OFFERING A BRIGH AND WELCOMING LIVING SPACE. RESIDENTS CAN ENJOY AN ARRAY OF AMENITIES INCLUDING A CLUBHOUSE WITH A GYM, BILLIARDS, BINGO BOWLING, CARD ROOM TABLE TENNIS AND FIVE POOLS. THE COMMUNITY ALSO BOASTS A 2-MILE WALKING PATH AROUND THE COMPLEX, PERFECT FOR LEISURELY STROLLS BY THE BAY. A COURTESY BUS PROVIDES CONVENIENT TRANSPORTATION TO THE MALL, NEARBYBEACH, SHOPPING CENTERS, AND RESTAURANTS. THIS GATED COMMUNITY OFFERS A SECURE AND ACTIVE LIFESTYLE. DON'T MISS THE OPPORTUNITY TO MAKE THIS BEAUTIFUL PROP
Key facts
- Gated community
- Array of amenities
- Stunning water view
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include billiard room, clubhouse, fitness center, laundry, storage, transportation service and elevators; Association fee covers amenities, common areas, cable TV, hot water, internet, laundry, grounds maintenance and structure maintenance; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; One covered space (1 garage space)
- Security: Complex fenced; Security guard; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Condominium in a 6-story building; Entry on level 1; Has a view
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Balcony (open); Lakefront waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Bedroom on main level; Breakfast area; First-floor entry; Combined living/dining room; Custom mirrors
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $664 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,437/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $922 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 10506% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $175k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.70%
- DSCR
- 2.19
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $35,122
- Equity at exit
- $55,474
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $87,869
- Equity at exit
- $70,524
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1870
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,437 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,644/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$497
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$722
- Net cashflow
- $664
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $497 · $5,964/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-17$1,650
-
2026-04-04$175,000 Active
-
2025-06-07historical $1,600
-
2025-06-05$1,600
-
2025-06-04historical $1,600
-
2025-06-04$1,600
-
2025-06-04historical $1,600
-
2025-06-03$1,600
-
2025-06-02historical $1,600
-
2025-06-02historical
-
2025-05-24price $1,600
-
2025-05-23price $175,000
-
2025-05-15status Active
-
2025-05-10$1,750
-
2025-03-05price $190,000
-
2024-11-24price $210,000
-
2024-08-11price $215,000
-
2024-07-14$224,900 Active
-
2016-08-17historical
-
2016-05-02$200,000 Active
-
2013-06-30soldstatus $82,000 Sold
-
2013-06-07status Pending
-
2013-05-07price $89,900
-
2004-04-14soldstatus $70,000
-
1990-03-09soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,644 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,644 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 91% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,238
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,644
- − Insurance
- −$5,994
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,299
- − Management
- −$3,299
- − HOA
- −$5,964
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $6,146
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,475
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,490/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Aventura
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #1834
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aventura, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-93.9% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed for Rent $1,650 MARMLS
- 2026-04-04 Listed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2025-06-07 Rental Removed $1,600 REALLYO
- 2025-06-05 Listed for Rent $1,600 REALLYO
- 2025-06-04 Rental Removed $1,600 REALLYO
- 2025-06-04 Listed for Rent $1,600 REALLYO
- 2025-06-04 Rental Removed $1,600 REALLYO
- 2025-06-03 Listed for Rent $1,600 REALLYO
- 2025-06-02 Rental Removed $1,600 MARMLS
- 2025-06-02 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-05-24 Price Changed $1,600 MARMLS
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2025-05-15 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2025-05-10 Listed for Rent $1,750 MARMLS
- 2025-03-05 Price Changed $190,000 MARMLS
- 2024-11-24 Price Changed $210,000 MARMLS
- 2024-08-11 Price Changed $215,000 MARMLS
- 2024-07-14 Listed $224,900 MARMLS
- 2016-08-17 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2016-05-02 Listed $200,000 MARMLS
- 2013-06-30 Sold (MLS) $82,000 MARMLS
- 2013-06-07 Pending — MARMLS
- 2013-05-07 Price Changed $89,900 MARMLS
- 2004-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1990-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,644 · -12.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…