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24 Deadwood Dr
D+ Composite 49.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$237,000

24 Deadwood Dr · Odessa, TX 79765
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,552 sqft · Other public records · 17 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 3,746 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this super spacious brand new construction Townhome. This new build is the "LILY A", plan featuring an open floor plan, granite throughout, stainless appliances, white cabinets, vinyl flooring throughout, classic mirror collection, garage door opener with remote, 2 year comprehensive warranty and a 10 year home warranty. Better hurry!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Vinyl flooring
  • White cabinets

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANGRANITE THROUGHOUTSTAINLESS APPLIANCESWHITE CABINETSVINYL FLOORINGLOW MAINTENANCE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage; Parking pad
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane service
  • Home design: Residential townhouse/condo/patio
  • Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Landscaped yard; Cul-de-sac lot; Paved road access; Solar panels

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Water softener (rented); Home warranty included
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry area in garage; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $237k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $237k).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D.
  • Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Permian H S (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 3,978 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 431 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $233,445 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.38%
Cash-on-cash
3.89%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-30,456
Equity at exit
$35,337
10-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-31,355
Equity at exit
$20,491

Cash invested: $66,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79765

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
431
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,413 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,243
Tax from tax record
$349 /mo · $4,189/yr
Insurance
$99
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$507
Net cashflow
$215

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,140
Max offer price $237,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,250
Closing costs
$7,110
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
88 Maverick Dr Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1403 $2,200 $1.57 43d 1 0.10mi
1508 E 89th St Odessa, TX 4.0 2.0 2056 $2,700 $1.31 21d 1 0.31mi
1327 Masquerade Blvd Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1377 $2,700 $1.96 44d 1 0.39mi
1320 E 89th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,800 $1.93 43d 1 0.50mi
1200 Cajun St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1102 $2,300 $2.09 21d 1 0.55mi
1218 E 89th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1667 $2,400 $1.44 21d 1 0.60mi
1210 E 89th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,600 $1.64 43d 1 0.64mi
1115 Canal St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1833 $2,400 $1.31 43d 1 0.64mi
1102 Canal St Odessa, TX 4.0 2.0 2095 $2,600 $1.24 21d 1 0.69mi
1028 E 90th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1461 $2,145 $1.47 13d 1 0.71mi
1023 E 90th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1760 $2,500 $1.42 13d 1 0.72mi
9031 Antelope Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1923 $2,500 $1.30 43d 1 0.82mi
915 Canal St Odessa, TX 4.0 2.0 2080 $3,100 $1.49 21d 1 0.85mi
1226 E 92nd St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1526 $2,250 $1.47 13d 1 0.90mi
912 Purdue St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1773 $2,400 $1.35 43d 1 0.95mi
9017 Pepper Grass Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1778 $2,500 $1.41 43d 1 0.95mi
1025 Pine Leaf Pl Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1411 $2,200 $1.56 43d 1 0.96mi
908 Purdue St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1480 $2,500 $1.69 43d 1 0.96mi
8633 Yale Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1371 $2,500 $1.82 13d 1 0.99mi
8633 Yale Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1390 $2,500 $1.80 21d 1 0.99mi
1109 Wagon Way Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1515 $2,400 $1.58 13d 1 1.11mi
1303 Terra Cotta St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1377 $1,999 $1.45 43d 1 1.13mi
1306 E 94th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1488 $2,350 $1.58 21d 1 1.18mi
8732 Rainbow Dr Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1573 $2,400 $1.53 43d 1 1.27mi
800 E 92nd St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 2005 $2,550 $1.27 43d 1 1.28mi
900 E 96th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1644 $2,300 $1.40 43d 1 1.38mi
493 Chitalpa Dr Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1254 $2,500 $1.99 43d 1 1.41mi
808 E 96th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1474 $2,350 $1.59 43d 1 1.42mi
819 E 97th Ct Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1635 $2,350 $1.44 13d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $237,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $237,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $237,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $237,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-05-16
    listed $237,000 Active
  6. 2023-01-24
    soldstatus Closed 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Check out this super spacious brand new construction Townhome. This new build is the "LILY A", plan featuring an open floor plan, granite throughout, stainless appliances, white cabinets, vinyl flooring throughout, classic mirror collection, garage door opener with remote, 2 year comprehensive warranty and a 10 year home warranty. Better hurry!

  7. 2022-12-14
    status Pending 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Check out this super spacious brand new construction Townhome. This new build is the "LILY A", plan featuring an open floor plan, granite throughout, stainless appliances, white cabinets, vinyl flooring throughout, classic mirror collection, garage door opener with remote, 2 year comprehensive warranty and a 10 year home warranty. Better hurry!

  8. 2022-12-09
    listed $174,950 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Check out this super spacious brand new construction Townhome. This new build is the "LILY A", plan featuring an open floor plan, granite throughout, stainless appliances, white cabinets, vinyl flooring throughout, classic mirror collection, garage door opener with remote, 2 year comprehensive warranty and a 10 year home warranty. Better hurry!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,189 · $349/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,337 · $361/mo
Expected delta
+$148/yr (+$12/mo · 3.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,950
− Mortgage interest
−$13,276
− Property taxes
−$4,189
− Insurance
−$1,185
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,316
− Management
−$2,316
− Depreciation
−$6,895
Taxable loss
−$1,226
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$294
After-tax cash flow
$2,877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, flooring, and exterior. The home is move-in ready and has a good curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Neutral paint may not appeal to all buyers
  • Both Replace countertops with quartz or granite — Quartz or granite countertops are more durable and aesthetically pleasing
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Neutral paint may not appeal to all buyers
  • Both Replace countertops with quartz or granite — Quartz or granite countertops are more durable and aesthetically pleasing
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ector County ISD
NCES district ID
4818000
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,740
Composite
21.89/100
National rank
#8233
State rank
#707 of 826 in TX

Livability — Odessa

Score
75/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#3928

Category grades

Amenities D Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Odessa, TX
County
Ector County · 131,169 people
City population
131,169
Metro
Odessa, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,904
Household income
$104,965
Rent vs Own
35.4% rent · 64.6% own
Severe rent burden
884.0

Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,765 people
By 2030
241,962 · +13.7%
By 2040
306,582 · +44.1%
By 2050
379,755 · +78.5%
By 2075
568,991 · +167.4%
By 2100
709,829 · +233.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% White 41% Two or more races 15% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 45%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 31% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ector

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.68%
Current HPI
173.4252
Rent YoY
▲ 0.54%
Metro
Odessa, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+35.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $237,000 ODMLS
  • 2023-01-24 Sold (MLS) ODMLS
  • 2022-12-14 Pending ODMLS
  • 2022-12-09 Listed $174,950 ODMLS

Property tax history

+166.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,189 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…