73 Taylor's Creek Spur · Ludowici, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 97.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- ARV discount +3.6/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 73 Taylors Creek Spur in Ludowici—a beautiful home built in 2024 offering upgraded features and a spacious layout on a 0.63-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home also includes a 2-car garage. Inside you find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas and bathrooms. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar. The master suite offers a large en-suite bathroom featuring double vanity sinks. On the opposite side of the home, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. Enjoy outdoor living with a spacious yard complete with an irrigation system. Conveniently located just a short drive from Hinesville and Fort Stewart.
Key facts
- Upgraded features
- Granite countertops
- Spacious layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Shared well; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence, 1 story
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: 0.63-acre lot; Turn off Flowers Rd. onto Taylor Creek Dr. NE, then onto Taylor Creek Spur; home is on the left
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Central electric heating and central electric cooling; Underground utilities
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup and additional laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-41/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Smiley Elementary School (1,258 students, 67% FRL); Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
- Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.05%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,200
- List price
- $269,900
- Delta
- 9.59%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $6,912
- Equity at exit
- $94,372
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $58,953
- Equity at exit
- $127,158
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31316
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 412
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$253 /mo · $3,038/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$473
- Net cashflow
- $-3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $149 | -5% $73 | +0% $-3 | +5% $-80 | +10% $-156 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-181 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-3 | +5% $85 | +10% $174 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $133 | -0.5pp $65 | base $-3 | +0.5pp $-73 | +1.0pp $-144 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 Taylors Creek Spur Ludowici, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,900 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.03mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $269,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $269,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $269,900 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
Welcome to 73 Taylors Creek Spur in Ludowici—a beautiful home built in 2024 offering upgraded features and a spacious layout on a 0.63-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home also includes a 2-car garage. Inside you find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas and bathrooms. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar. The master suite offers a large en-suite bathroom featuring double vanity sinks. On the opposite side of the home, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. Enjoy outdoor living with a spacious yard complete with an irrigation system. Conveniently located just a short drive from Hinesville and Fort Stewart.
-
2026-06-10days on market $272,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $272,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $272,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $272,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $272,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $272,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $272,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $272,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $272,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $272,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-04-17$272,000 Active 746-char remark
Show marketing remark (746 chars)
Welcome to 73 Taylors Creek Spur in Ludowici—a beautiful home built in 2024 offering upgraded features and a spacious layout on a 0.63-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home also includes a 2-car garage. Inside you find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas and bathrooms. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar. The master suite offers a large en-suite bathroom featuring double vanity sinks. On the opposite side of the home, you’ll find three additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. Enjoy outdoor living with a spacious yard complete with an irrigation system. Conveniently located just a short drive from Hinesville and Fort Stewart.
-
2026-04-16$272,000 New 734-char remark
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
Welcome to 73 Taylors Creek Spur in Ludowici—a beautiful home built in 2024 offering upgraded features and a spacious layout on a 0.63-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home also includes a 2-car garage. Inside you find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas and bathrooms. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar. The master suite offers a large en-suite bathroom featuring double vanity sinks. On the opposite side of the home, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. Enjoy outdoor living with a spacious yard complete with an irrigation system. Conveniently located just a short drive from Hinesville and Fort Stewart.
-
2026-04-16$272,000 Active
Show marketing remark (740 chars)
Welcome to 73 Taylors Creek Spur in Ludowici—a beautiful home built in 2024 offering upgraded features and a spacious layout on a 0.63-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home also includes a 2-car garage. Inside you find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas and bathrooms. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar. The master suite offers a large en-suite bathroom featuring double vanity sinks. On the opposite side of the home, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. Enjoy outdoor living with a spacious yard complete with an irrigation system. Conveniently located just a short drive from Hinesville and Fort Stewart.
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2024-04-10soldstatus $247,900
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2006-02-23soldstatus $100,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,038 · $253/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,038 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$3,038
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,160
- − Management
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$4,676
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,122
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Long County
- NCES district ID
- 1303360
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,958
- Composite
- 22.51/100
- National rank
- #8090
- State rank
- #115 of 174 in GA
Livability — Ludowici
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #6449
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Long County · 13,812 people
- City population
- 13,812
- Metro
- Hinesville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,812
- Household income
- $74,766
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 109.0
Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,669 people
- By 2030
- 28,223 · +14.4%
- By 2040
- 35,430 · +43.6%
- By 2050
- 42,403 · +71.9%
- By 2075
- 56,996 · +131.0%
- By 2100
- 64,185 · +160.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Long
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.16%
- Current HPI
- 195.2978
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hinesville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+169.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $269,900 HABR
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $269,900 GIAR
- 2026-06-12 Listed $269,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $272,000 GIAR
- 2026-04-16 Listed $272,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $272,000 HABR
- 2024-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $247,900 Public Records
- 2006-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+30.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,038 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…