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73 Taylor's Creek Spur
D Composite 40.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$269,900

73 Taylor's Creek Spur · Ludowici, GA 31316
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,441 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 2024 0.63 ac lot $187/sqft · 9% above area Est $248k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 73 Taylors Creek Spur in Ludowici—a beautiful home built in 2024 offering upgraded features and a spacious layout on a 0.63-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home also includes a 2-car garage. Inside you find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas and bathrooms. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar. The master suite offers a large en-suite bathroom featuring double vanity sinks. On the opposite side of the home, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. Enjoy outdoor living with a spacious yard complete with an irrigation system. Conveniently located just a short drive from Hinesville and Fort Stewart.

Key facts

  • Upgraded features
  • Granite countertops
  • Spacious layout

Tags

UPGRADED FEATURESSPACIOUS LAYOUTLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESBREAKFAST BAR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Shared well; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence, 1 story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: 0.63-acre lot; Turn off Flowers Rd. onto Taylor Creek Dr. NE, then onto Taylor Creek Spur; home is on the left

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Central electric heating and central electric cooling; Underground utilities
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup and additional laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-41/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (0.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (16.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#74 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Smiley Elementary School (1,258 students, 67% FRL); Long County Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 945 students, 69% FRL); Long County High School (math 37% / reading 22%, grade F, #140 of 424 statewide, top 35%, 1,209 students, 70% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $225,015 (16.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.05%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$248,200
List price
$269,900
Delta
9.59%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$6,912
Equity at exit
$94,372
10-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$58,953
Equity at exit
$127,158

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31316

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
412
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,038/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$473
Net cashflow
$-3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,254
Max offer price $269,299
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $149 -5% $73 +0% $-3 +5% $-80 +10% $-156
Rent -10% $-181 -5% $-92 +0% $-3 +5% $85 +10% $174
Rate -1.0pp $133 -0.5pp $65 base $-3 +0.5pp $-73 +1.0pp $-144

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
88 Taylors Creek Spur Ludowici, GA 3.0 2.0 1160 $1,900 $1.64 45d 1 0.03mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $269,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $269,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $269,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    Welcome to 73 Taylors Creek Spur in Ludowici—a beautiful home built in 2024 offering upgraded features and a spacious layout on a 0.63-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home also includes a 2-car garage. Inside you find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas and bathrooms. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar. The master suite offers a large en-suite bathroom featuring double vanity sinks. On the opposite side of the home, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. Enjoy outdoor living with a spacious yard complete with an irrigation system. Conveniently located just a short drive from Hinesville and Fort Stewart.

  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $272,000 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $272,000 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $272,000 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $272,000 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $272,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $272,000 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $272,000 Active 44 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $272,000 Active 43 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $272,000 Active 42 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $272,000 Active 41 DOM
  18. 2026-04-17
    listed $272,000 Active 746-char remark
    Show marketing remark (746 chars)

    Welcome to 73 Taylors Creek Spur in Ludowici—a beautiful home built in 2024 offering upgraded features and a spacious layout on a 0.63-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home also includes a 2-car garage. Inside you find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas and bathrooms. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar. The master suite offers a large en-suite bathroom featuring double vanity sinks. On the opposite side of the home, you’ll find three additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. Enjoy outdoor living with a spacious yard complete with an irrigation system. Conveniently located just a short drive from Hinesville and Fort Stewart.

  19. 2026-04-16
    listed $272,000 New 734-char remark
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    Welcome to 73 Taylors Creek Spur in Ludowici—a beautiful home built in 2024 offering upgraded features and a spacious layout on a 0.63-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home also includes a 2-car garage. Inside you find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas and bathrooms. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar. The master suite offers a large en-suite bathroom featuring double vanity sinks. On the opposite side of the home, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. Enjoy outdoor living with a spacious yard complete with an irrigation system. Conveniently located just a short drive from Hinesville and Fort Stewart.

  20. 2026-04-16
    listed $272,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (740 chars)

    Welcome to 73 Taylors Creek Spur in Ludowici—a beautiful home built in 2024 offering upgraded features and a spacious layout on a 0.63-acre lot. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home also includes a 2-car garage. Inside you find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main living areas and bathrooms. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar. The master suite offers a large en-suite bathroom featuring double vanity sinks. On the opposite side of the home, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bathroom. Enjoy outdoor living with a spacious yard complete with an irrigation system. Conveniently located just a short drive from Hinesville and Fort Stewart.

  21. 2024-04-10
    soldstatus $247,900
  22. 2006-02-23
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,038 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,038 · $253/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,002
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$3,038
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,160
− Management
−$2,160
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$4,676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,122
After-tax cash flow
$1,082/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Long County
NCES district ID
1303360
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$45,958
Composite
22.51/100
National rank
#8090
State rank
#115 of 174 in GA

Livability — Ludowici

Score
72/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#6449

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Long County · 13,812 people
City population
13,812
Metro
Hinesville, GA
Population (ZIP)
13,812
Household income
$74,766
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
109.0

Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,669 people
By 2030
28,223 · +14.4%
By 2040
35,430 · +43.6%
By 2050
42,403 · +71.9%
By 2075
56,996 · +131.0%
By 2100
64,185 · +160.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Long

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.16%
Current HPI
195.2978
Rent YoY
Metro
Hinesville, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+169.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $269,900 HABR
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $269,900 GIAR
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $269,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $272,000 GIAR
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $272,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $272,000 HABR
  • 2024-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $247,900 Public Records
  • 2006-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+30.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,038 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…