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9591 Hubbell St
B+ Composite 76.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,920

9591 Hubbell St · Detroit, MI 48227
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,171 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1945 4,356 sqft lot $43/sqft · 6% above area Est $80k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent oppurtunity! Solid brick bungalow in a nice area! Roof and windows have been updated! Basement and 1 car garage! Great place to live or invest in!

Key facts

  • Brick bungalow
  • Updated windows
  • Basement

Tags

BRICK BUNGALOWUPDATED ROOFUPDATED WINDOWSBASEMENT1 CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story with ground-level entry and steps
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade finished living area and additional below-grade finished space
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $723 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $49,171 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.71%
Cap rate
23.68%
Cash-on-cash
62.11%
DSCR
3.76
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,610
List price
$49,920
Delta
-37.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9930 Whitcomb St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,078 (-8%) 2mo $35,000 $32 68
8849 Lauder St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+2%) 5mo $41,500 $35 66
9599 Whitcomb St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,060 (-10%) 1mo $55,000 $52 65
9606 Sussex St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,060 (-10%) 4mo $76,000 $72 63
9180 Hartwell St 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,174 (+0%) 5mo $62,000 $53 62
9987 Winthrop St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,218 (+4%) 5mo $40,000 $33 60
9316 Whitcomb St 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,029 (-12%) 4mo $100,000 $97 54
11406 Strathmoor St 0.36mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,294 (+10%) 1mo $76,000 $59 54
8871 Sussex St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,049 (-10%) 1mo $118,000 $112 53
9119 Littlefield St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,298 (+11%) 2mo $60,000 $46 45
9555 Montrose St 0.62mi 3/1.0 999 (-15%) 3mo $45,000 $45 44
9163 Montrose St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-15%) 4mo $29,000 $29 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
64.0%
Equity multiple
3.98×
Total profit
$41,626
Equity at exit
$7,443
10-year hold
IRR
69.2%
Equity multiple
8.96×
Total profit
$111,310
Equity at exit
$4,316

Cash invested: $13,978 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
385
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,352 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $749/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$723

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,920
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,480
Closing costs
$1,498
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 877 $1,430 $1.63 43d 1 0.02mi
14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $845 $0.94 43d 1 0.12mi
9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 43d 1 0.13mi
10015 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 0.29mi
9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 1d 1 0.30mi
9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.30mi
9917 Sussex St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,375 $1.72 43d 1 0.34mi
11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,400 $1.19 16d 1 0.37mi
13717 Keal St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 799 $1,000 $1.25 43d 1 0.48mi
11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,400 $1.31 16d 1 0.51mi
11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,326 $1.22 24d 1 0.53mi
11393 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 16d 1 0.55mi
11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 12d 1 0.57mi
9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 43d 1 0.57mi
12014 Terry St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1361 $1,200 $0.88 43d 1 0.59mi
9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 963 $1,200 $1.25 16d 1 0.60mi
12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 24d 1 0.60mi
9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 43d 1 0.63mi
9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 947 $1,450 $1.53 16d 1 0.68mi
8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1033 $1,300 $1.26 43d 1 0.75mi
9355 Ward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,327 $1.11 43d 1 0.78mi
9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 24d 1 0.79mi
9589 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 4d 1 0.80mi
9220 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 43d 1 0.84mi
8331 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1342 $1,350 $1.01 21d 1 0.88mi
8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,150 $1.12 43d 1 0.91mi
12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,373 $1.57 21d 1 0.91mi
11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,300 $0.90 43d 1 0.92mi
8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 985 $1,350 $1.37 43d 1 0.99mi
9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 43d 1 1.04mi
12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,400 $1.39 16d 1 1.05mi
12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1009 $825 $0.82 43d 1 1.06mi
8047 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,200 $1.01 43d 1 1.07mi
10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 43d 1 1.12mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 43d 1 1.12mi
10030 Abington Ave Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1350 $1,475 $1.09 10d 1 1.16mi
13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,373 $0.95 43d 1 1.28mi
10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $985 $0.82 43d 1 1.29mi
10345 Crocuslawn Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 43d 1 1.30mi
13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 16d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    Excellent oppurtunity! Solid brick bungalow in a nice area! Roof and windows have been updated! Basement and 1 car garage! Great place to live or invest in!

  2. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    Excellent oppurtunity! Solid brick bungalow in a nice area! Roof and windows have been updated! Basement and 1 car garage! Great place to live or invest in!

  3. 2026-04-23
    listed $49,920 Active 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    Excellent oppurtunity! Solid brick bungalow in a nice area! Roof and windows have been updated! Basement and 1 car garage! Great place to live or invest in!

  4. 2026-04-23
    listed $49,920 Active 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    Excellent oppurtunity! Solid brick bungalow in a nice area! Roof and windows have been updated! Basement and 1 car garage! Great place to live or invest in!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,230
− Mortgage interest
−$2,796
− Property taxes
−$749
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,298
− Management
−$1,298
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$8,386
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,013
After-tax cash flow
$6,669/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $49,920 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $49,920 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+10.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,156 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…