9591 Hubbell St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,920
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent oppurtunity! Solid brick bungalow in a nice area! Roof and windows have been updated! Basement and 1 car garage! Great place to live or invest in!
Key facts
- Brick bungalow
- Updated windows
- Basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-a-half story with ground-level entry and steps
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade finished living area and additional below-grade finished space
- Exterior features: Front porch; Paved road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Partially finished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $723 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.11%
- DSCR
- 3.76
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,610
- List price
- $49,920
- Delta
- -37.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9930 Whitcomb St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (-8%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $32 | 68 |
| 8849 Lauder St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+2%) | 5mo | $41,500 | $35 | 66 |
| 9599 Whitcomb St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,060 (-10%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $52 | 65 |
| 9606 Sussex St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,060 (-10%) | 4mo | $76,000 | $72 | 63 |
| 9180 Hartwell St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,174 (+0%) | 5mo | $62,000 | $53 | 62 |
| 9987 Winthrop St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,218 (+4%) | 5mo | $40,000 | $33 | 60 |
| 9316 Whitcomb St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,029 (-12%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $97 | 54 |
| 11406 Strathmoor St | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,294 (+10%) | 1mo | $76,000 | $59 | 54 |
| 8871 Sussex St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,049 (-10%) | 1mo | $118,000 | $112 | 53 |
| 9119 Littlefield St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,298 (+11%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $46 | 45 |
| 9555 Montrose St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (-15%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $45 | 44 |
| 9163 Montrose St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-15%) | 4mo | $29,000 | $29 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 64.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $41,626
- Equity at exit
- $7,443
- IRR
- 69.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.96×
- Total profit
- $111,310
- Equity at exit
- $4,316
Cash invested: $13,978 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48227
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,352 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $749/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $723
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,480
- Closing costs
- $1,498
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,430 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 10015 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 9917 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 16d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 13717 Keal St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 799 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,326 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 11393 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 12014 Terry St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1361 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 16d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9355 Ward St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,327 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9345 Rutherford St Unit 3 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9589 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9220 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8331 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1342 | $1,350 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,373 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,350 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $825 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8047 Robson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 10030 Abington Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,475 | $1.09 | 10d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,373 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $985 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 10345 Crocuslawn Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Excellent oppurtunity! Solid brick bungalow in a nice area! Roof and windows have been updated! Basement and 1 car garage! Great place to live or invest in!
-
2026-05-18status Pending 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Excellent oppurtunity! Solid brick bungalow in a nice area! Roof and windows have been updated! Basement and 1 car garage! Great place to live or invest in!
-
2026-04-23$49,920 Active 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Excellent oppurtunity! Solid brick bungalow in a nice area! Roof and windows have been updated! Basement and 1 car garage! Great place to live or invest in!
-
2026-04-23$49,920 Active 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Excellent oppurtunity! Solid brick bungalow in a nice area! Roof and windows have been updated! Basement and 1 car garage! Great place to live or invest in!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,230
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,796
- − Property taxes
- −$749
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $8,386
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,669/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,302
- Household income
- $36,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2371.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.00%
- Current HPI
- 186.4158
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $49,920 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-23 Listed $49,920 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,156 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…