4614 SW G Ave · Lawton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 4 bedrooms 1 bathroom home or Investment property with large walk in laundry room.
Key facts
- Updated sewer line
- Flexible layout
- Adaptable floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage (converted garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
- Construction: Metal roof; Other construction materials; Slab foundation; Built/updated (updated/remodeled)
- Exterior features: Chain link fence; Public maintained road access; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 57 x 117 (6,669 sq ft / 0.1531 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Double-pane windows; Updated/remodeled condition
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 6.1% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
- Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Eisenhower Es (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #255 of 845 statewide, top 35%, 380 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Ms (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #90 of 345 statewide, top 27%, 1,035 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Hs (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #215 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 1,350 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $95k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.76%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,896
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 706 SW 49th St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+4%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $21 | 79 |
| 82 SW 45th St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 8mo | $107,000 | $97 | 73 |
| 4629 SW Atom Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+4%) | 1mo | $124,000 | $103 | 73 |
| 730 SW 46th St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+4%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $50 | 68 |
| 1114 SW 45th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+4%) | 7mo | $69,500 | $58 | 67 |
| 4508 SW Beta Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-4%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $86 | 65 |
| 7 SW 49th St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+4%) | 6mo | $154,500 | $129 | 62 |
| 4634 SW J Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+13%) | 9mo | $131,500 | $101 | 60 |
| 4535 SW Atom Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,226 (+6%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $118 | 59 |
| 4530 SW Cherokee Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+13%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $135 | 59 |
| 4508 SW Cherokee Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+13%) | 4mo | $127,000 | $98 | 56 |
| 4224 SW Summit Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (-13%) | 2mo | $49,600 | $50 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $12,424
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $54,895
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73505
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 398
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,260 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $784/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $393
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $447 | -5% $420 | +0% $393 | +5% $366 | +10% $339 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $294 | -5% $343 | +0% $393 | +5% $443 | +10% $493 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $441 | -0.5pp $417 | base $393 | +0.5pp $369 | +1.0pp $344 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $94,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $94,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-03$94,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $784 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $854 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$70/yr (+$6/mo · 8.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,125
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$784
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,210
- − Management
- −$1,210
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $3,370
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$809
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,910/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawton
- NCES district ID
- 4017250
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,618
- Composite
- 19.68/100
- National rank
- #8732
- State rank
- #137 of 270 in OK
Livability — Lawton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #15131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawton, OK
- County
- Comanche County · 96,361 people
- City population
- 89,233
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,790
- Household income
- $58,272
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1986.0
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,518 people
- By 2030
- 124,231 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 122,193 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 120,368 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 120,492 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 123,113 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.88%
- Current HPI
- 169.4524
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.14%
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-88.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $94,900 LBRMLS
- 2022-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-12 Sold (MLS) $62,000 LBRMLS
- 2022-05-13 Listed $62,000 LBRMLS
- 2011-03-25 Sold (MLS) $15,000 LBRMLS
- 2011-02-11 Listed $19,900 LBRMLS
- 1996-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $792,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $784 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…