2023 Davies Rd · Pine Level, AL 36067

$139,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 4 Days on market

Built 2001 Fair condition 1.87 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.2/30.0
• DSCR +8.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home on almost 2 acres close to the town limits of Pine Level. Spacious living room, kitchen and breakfast room. The kitchen offers a breakfast bar which would be great for serving and an abundance of cabinetry. For privacy, the main bedroom is separated from the 2 guest bedrooms. The main bedroom has a walk in closet, a spacious private bathroom with a large garden tub and separate shower. Outside you will enjoy a nice deck overlooking the wooded lot.

Key facts

• Walk in closet
• Private bathroom
• Large garden tub

Tags

• ALMOST 2 ACRES
• BREAKFAST BAR
• WALK IN CLOSET
• PRIVATE BATHROOM
• LARGE GARDEN TUB
• DECK OVERLOOKING WOODED LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway
• Utilities: Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Public water; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-story; Champion manufactured home
• Construction: Metal siding
• Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Outside city limits; Mature trees

Interior

• Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Blinds
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
• Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.8% in Pine Level — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#246 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Autauga County (rural): math 23% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #34 of 129 in AL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 221 units permitted in Autauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Autauga County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $139,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.90%
• DSCR: 1.48
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.12×
• Total profit: $4,793
• Equity at exit: $20,725

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.39×
• Total profit: $54,034
• Equity at exit: $12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36067

• Home prices YoY: -12.4%
• Rents YoY: 5.8%
• Active inventory: 131
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,663 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$729
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
• Insurance: −$58
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$349
• Net cashflow: $353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,216

Max offer price $139,000

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $34,750
• Closing costs: $4,170
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-07
   statusdays on market $139,000 Pending 4 DOM
2. 2026-06-03
   days on market $139,000 Active 3 DOM
3. 2026-06-02
   days on market $139,000 Active 2 DOM
4. 2026-06-01
   remarks 482-char remark
5. 2026-06-01
   listed $139,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,960
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,786
• − Property taxes: −$2,085
• − Insurance: −$695
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,597
• − Management: −$1,597
• − Depreciation: −$4,044
• Taxable income: $2,156
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$518
• After-tax cash flow: $3,724/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This mobile home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. The roof and siding are in poor condition and need major repairs. The kitchen and bathroom also need updates to modernize the space and increase its appeal.

Repairs flagged

• Major roof — visible rust and wear
• Major siding — worn and rusted
• Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of replacement
• Moderate kitchen countertops — dated and in need of replacement
• Moderate kitchen appliances — dated and in need of replacement
• Moderate bathroom vanity — dated and in need of replacement
• Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of replacement
• Minor ceiling paint — peeling

Value-add opportunities

• Both new roof — major structural improvement
• Both new siding — major structural improvement
• Both new kitchen cabinets and countertops — major aesthetic and functional improvement
• Both new kitchen appliances — major aesthetic and functional improvement
• Both new bathroom vanity and fixtures — major aesthetic and functional improvement

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
roof · visible rust and wear	Major	$15,000–50,000
siding · worn and rusted	Major	$15,000–50,000
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of replacement	Moderate	$3,000–15,000
kitchen countertops · dated and in need of replacement	Moderate	$3,000–15,000
kitchen appliances · dated and in need of replacement	Moderate	$3,000–15,000
bathroom vanity · dated and in need of replacement	Moderate	$3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and in need of replacement	Moderate	$3,000–15,000
ceiling paint · peeling	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 8 items		$45,500–178,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both new roof — major structural improvement ↑
• Both new siding — major structural improvement ↑
• Both new kitchen cabinets and countertops — major aesthetic and functional improvement ↑
• Both new kitchen appliances — major aesthetic and functional improvement ↑
• Both new bathroom vanity and fixtures — major aesthetic and functional improvement ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Autauga County
• NCES district ID: 0100240
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -31.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $52,974
• Composite: 31.77/100
• National rank: #5892
• State rank: #34 of 129 in AL

Livability — Pine Level

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #246
• US rank: #17675

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Pine Level, AL
• County: Autauga County · 50,925 people
• City population: 50,925
• Metro: Montgomery, AL
• Population (ZIP): 28,293
• Household income: $65,593
• Rent vs Own: 23.0% rent · 77.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 389.0

Population outlook (Autauga County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 55,958 people
• By 2030: 55,810 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 54,892 · -1.9%
• By 2050: 53,062 · -5.2%
• By 2075: 49,425 · -11.7%
• By 2100: 45,110 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Black 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Autauga

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+46.3) · D 26.4% · R 72.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.6pp toward D · 2008: -47.8pp · 2024: -46.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+46.3 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+47.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -29.98%
• Current HPI: 211.1676
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.78%
• Metro: Montgomery, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-31 Listed $139,000 MAAR