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10 Darwin Rd
C- Composite 51.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

10 Darwin Rd · Bear, DE 19702
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,075 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1954 10,018 sqft lot $145/sqft · 29% below area Est $420k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath single family home with over 2,000 sq. ft of living space, in the subdivision of Glendale. This home features hardwood floors throughout, updated amenities, and has real wood fireplace. There is a large fenced backyard as well as plenty of driveway parking.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with front entry and inside access; Garage door opener; Covered parking; Asphalt driveway with about 4 driveway spaces; On-street parking; Total of about 5 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Detached property; Pitched shingle roof; Good condition; Fee simple ownership; Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 135
  • Construction: Brick, vinyl siding and aluminum siding exterior; Concrete perimeter foundation with crawl space; Built above grade; Fully finished basement
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks; Patio(s); Porch(es)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Eat-in kitchen with pantry
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl plank; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on upper level, one on lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: 90% efficient forced air heating (oil-fired); Central heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Attic; Tub with shower; Walk-in shower; Ceiling fans; Dining area; Family room off the kitchen; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Recessed lighting; Water treatment system; Wood floors; Plaster walls
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on lower floor; Electric hot water; Water conditioner (owned)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (12.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $261k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.7% in Bear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#8 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Christina School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #18 of 26 in DE (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Leasure (May B.) Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #67 of 105 statewide, top 65%, 335 students, 0% FRL); Kirk (George V.) Middle School (math 10% / reading 27%, grade F, #30 of 36 statewide, top 86%, 742 students, 0% FRL); Christiana High School (math 49% / reading 66%, grade C, #3 of 40 statewide, top 5%, 1,256 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $261,375 (12.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.18%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$419,859
List price
$299,900
Delta
-28.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10 Darwin Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 2,075 (0%) 0mo $345,000 $166 98
8 Cassandra Rd 0.16mi 3/2.0 2,225 (+7%) 8mo $405,000 $182 72
18 Regal Ct 0.35mi 3/2.5 2,025 (-2%) 10mo $449,000 $222 67
106 Kingston Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 2,025 (-2%) 4mo $450,000 $222 64
5 Vellan Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 2,125 (+2%) 4mo $485,000 $228 61
254 Rushes Dr 0.31mi 3/3.0 1,925 (-7%) 7mo $450,000 $234 61
47 Rawlings Dr 0.67mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,050 (-1%) 2mo $450,000 $220 57
515 Hambleton Ln 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,175 (+5%) 0mo $470,000 $216 56
121 Wynnefield Rd 0.52mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,200 (+6%) 5mo $510,000 $232 52
16 Lochview Dr 0.46mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,350 (+13%) 6mo $525,000 $223 42
109 Pigeon Run Dr 0.68mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,300 (+11%) 0mo $500,000 $217 41
2 Foxfield Ct 0.69mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,325 (+12%) 5mo $487,000 $209 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-41,033
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-31,965
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19702

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,614 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$214 /mo · $2,572/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$549
Net cashflow
$153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,420
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $323 -5% $238 +0% $153 +5% $68 +10% $-17
Rent -10% $-54 -5% $50 +0% $153 +5% $256 +10% $359
Rate -1.0pp $304 -0.5pp $229 base $153 +0.5pp $75 +1.0pp $-4

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1 Iris Pl Newark, DE 3.0 2.0 1525 $2,400 $1.57 18d 1 0.96mi
1 Kennedy Cir Bear, DE 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1702 $3,315 $1.95 0d 34 1.09mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 3110-char remark
  2. 2026-05-09
    historical 3110-char remark
  3. 2026-05-07
    listed $299,900 Active 3110-char remark
  4. 2026-04-17
    historical $299,900 3110-char remark
  5. 2014-04-09
    soldstatus $157,000
  6. 2014-04-04
    soldstatus $157,000 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Nice 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath single family home with over 2,000 sq. ft of living space, in the subdivision of Glendale. This home features hardwood floors throughout, updated amenities, and has real wood fireplace. There is a large fenced backyard as well as plenty of driveway parking.

  7. 2014-04-04
    soldstatus $157,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Nice 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath single family home with over 2,000 sq. ft of living space, in the subdivision of Glendale. This home features hardwood floors throughout, updated amenities, and has real wood fireplace. There is a large fenced backyard as well as plenty of driveway parking.

  8. 2014-03-05
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Nice 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath single family home with over 2,000 sq. ft of living space, in the subdivision of Glendale. This home features hardwood floors throughout, updated amenities, and has real wood fireplace. There is a large fenced backyard as well as plenty of driveway parking.

  9. 2014-02-11
    historical 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Nice 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath single family home with over 2,000 sq. ft of living space, in the subdivision of Glendale. This home features hardwood floors throughout, updated amenities, and has real wood fireplace. There is a large fenced backyard as well as plenty of driveway parking.

  10. 2013-12-20
    soldstatus $109,000
  11. 2013-11-25
    price $163,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Nice 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath single family home with over 2,000 sq. ft of living space, in the subdivision of Glendale. This home features hardwood floors throughout, updated amenities, and has real wood fireplace. There is a large fenced backyard as well as plenty of driveway parking.

  12. 2013-08-27
    listed $170,000 Active No-Show
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Nice 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath single family home with over 2,000 sq. ft of living space, in the subdivision of Glendale. This home features hardwood floors throughout, updated amenities, and has real wood fireplace. There is a large fenced backyard as well as plenty of driveway parking.

  13. 2013-08-27
    listed $163,500 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    Nice 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath single family home with over 2,000 sq. ft of living space, in the subdivision of Glendale. This home features hardwood floors throughout, updated amenities, and has real wood fireplace. There is a large fenced backyard as well as plenty of driveway parking.

  14. 2013-03-16
    historical
  15. 2012-08-27
    listed $171,000
  16. 2012-06-10
    historical
  17. 2011-06-10
    listed $135,000
  18. 2007-10-02
    soldstatus $217,000
  19. 2007-09-28
    soldstatus $217,000
  20. 2007-08-19
    historical
  21. 2007-08-16
    listed $217,000
  22. 2000-07-05
    soldstatus $110,500
  23. 2000-06-29
    soldstatus $108,500
  24. 2000-05-16
    historical
  25. 2000-05-11
    listed $108,500
  26. 1986-03-01
    soldstatus $65,000
  27. 1985-03-01
    soldstatus $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,572 · $214/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,572 · $214/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,365
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$2,572
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,509
− Management
−$2,509
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$3,248
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$780
After-tax cash flow
$2,614/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Christina School District
NCES district ID
1000200
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,838
Composite
24.93/100
National rank
#7567
State rank
#18 of 26 in DE

Livability — Bear

Score
73/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#5158

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bear, DE
County
New Castle County · 483,412 people
City population
42,984
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
55,683
Household income
$92,446
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1421.0

Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
594,686 people
By 2030
609,164 · +2.4%
By 2040
632,154 · +6.3%
By 2050
649,068 · +9.1%
By 2075
687,771 · +15.7%
By 2100
694,961 · +16.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 12% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · New Castle

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.79%
Current HPI
248.8414
Rent YoY
▲ 2.19%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+476.0% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Sold (MLS) $345,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Coming Soon $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
  • 2014-04-04 Sold (MLS) $157,000 TREND
  • 2014-04-04 Sold (MLS) $157,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-03-05 Pending TREND
  • 2014-02-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
  • 2013-11-25 Price Changed $163,500 TREND
  • 2013-08-27 Listed $170,000 TREND
  • 2013-08-27 Listed $163,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-03-16 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-08-27 Listed $171,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-06-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-06-10 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $217,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-28 Sold (MLS) $217,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-08-19 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-08-16 Listed $217,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $110,500 Public Records
  • 2000-06-29 Sold (MLS) $108,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-05-16 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-05-11 Listed $108,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1985-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,572 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…