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1406 W Forrest St
D Composite 40.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.8/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

1406 W Forrest St · Bloomington, IL 61701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 856 sqft · SingleFamily · 12 Days on market
Built 1900 10,193 sqft lot Est $116k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well Maintained 2 Bedroom with 1 Bath Home located on a large lot. Oversized Garage and an Extra Storage Shed. Newer Landscaping with a Variety of Fruit Trees, Lilac Bushes, Pine Trees. ! Large Garden.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number 1432451001
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached heated garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Property more than 100 years old; Living area measured by assessor
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Home built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Fenced yard; Corner lot (102 x 100)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Galley kitchen; Energy Star qualified appliances; Dishwasher; Range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (main level); Master bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in bedrooms; Carpet in living room; Vinyl flooring in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Window treatments; 5 rooms total; Full basement with egress window
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($628/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.4% in Bloomington — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IL, #2,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • Bloomington SD 87 (urban): math 14% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #476 of 620 in IL (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Sheridan Elem School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,741 of 2,056 statewide, top 93%, 365 students, 0% FRL); Bloomington Jr High School (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #493 of 665 statewide, top 75%, 1,006 students, 0% FRL); Bloomington High School (math 27% / reading 33%, grade F, #179 of 693 statewide, top 27%, 1,503 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in McLean County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,975 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.80%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,560
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1313 W Walnut St 0.29mi 2/1.0 840 (-2%) 14mo $89,000 $106 72
1515 W Market St 0.57mi 2/1.0 861 (+1%) 6mo $108,500 $126 68
1405 Blackstone St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+6%) 16mo $128,000 $140 60
601 N Allin St 0.68mi 2/1.0 840 (-2%) 8mo $89,900 $107 58
1219 N Lee St 0.69mi 2/1.0 871 (+2%) 15mo $123,000 $141 53
1309 Ewing St W 0.40mi 2/1.0 928 (+8%) 20mo $91,000 $98 51
716 W Mulberry St 0.71mi 2/1.0 896 (+5%) 10mo $121,000 $135 51
607 N Allin St 0.67mi 1/1.0 (-1) 770 (-10%) 12mo $115,000 $149 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-13,791
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,829
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61701

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,160 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $139 -5% $96 +0% $52 +5% $9 +10% $-34
Rent -10% $-39 -5% $7 +0% $52 +5% $98 +10% $144
Rate -1.0pp $115 -0.5pp $84 base $52 +0.5pp $20 +1.0pp $-13

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
304 Turnberry Dr Bloomington, IL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1032 $1,299 $1.26 22d 4 0.54mi
912 N Madison St Apt 2 Bloomington, IL 1.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 45d 1 0.82mi
915 N Madison St Unit 4 Bloomington, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $899 $1.00 22d 1 0.84mi
909 N Main St Bloomington, IL 1.0 1.0 630 $850 $1.35 22d 1 0.95mi
703 W Olive St Bloomington, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,495 $1.50 22d 1 1.09mi
503 E Empire St Bloomington, IL 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,795 $1.79 45d 1 1.22mi
804 S Morris Ave Unit 1 Bloomington, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 22d 1 1.31mi
1 White Pl Unit 201 Bloomington, IL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,425 $2.38 45d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 201-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $125,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,917
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,113
− Management
−$1,113
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$1,448
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$348
After-tax cash flow
$976/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bloomington SD 87
NCES district ID
1706480
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,544
Composite
15.05/100
National rank
#9351
State rank
#476 of 620 in IL

Livability — Bloomington

Score
77/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#2987

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bloomington, IL
County
McLean County · 126,490 people
City population
72,415
Metro
Bloomington, IL
Population (ZIP)
35,136
Household income
$57,130
Rent vs Own
43.3% rent · 56.7% own
Severe rent burden
1493.0

Population outlook (McLean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
176,468 people
By 2030
178,002 · +0.9%
By 2040
178,592 · +1.2%
By 2050
177,090 · +0.4%
By 2075
173,224 · -1.8%
By 2100
158,425 · -10.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McLean

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 46.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.7pp toward D · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: 4.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.9 2020: D+3.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+11.1 2008: D+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.13%
Current HPI
172.3659
Rent YoY
▲ 5.60%
Metro
Bloomington, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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