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B- Composite 69.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

4525 Tulsa Ave · Shreveport, LA 71106
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,069 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 318 Days on market
Built 1950 0.30 ac lot $42/sqft · 59% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1950

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($970 rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 485 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 318 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 318 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.16%
Cap rate
18.97%
Cash-on-cash
45.28%
DSCR
3.01
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$171,288
List price
$45,000
Delta
-73.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4332 Magazine St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,134 (+6%) 13mo $75,000 $66 68
3878 Fairfield Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 1,067 (-0%) 10mo $175,000 $164 59
1534 Summers St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 981 (-8%) 1mo $21,000 $21 58
1439 Belwood St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+2%) 11mo $79,000 $72 55
6000 Henderson Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+1%) 13mo $45,000 $42 55
6002 Henderson Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+1%) 13mo $45,000 $42 54
1651 Cox 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 946 (-12%) 1mo $32,000 $34 51
1503 Doris St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,194 (+12%) 13mo $53,000 $44 48
5918 Henderson Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+7%) 13mo $45,000 $39 47
1831 Hickory St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,036 (-3%) 12mo $55,000 $53 45
6022 Fairfield Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,150 (+8%) 6mo $62,400 $54 39
5915 Henderson Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 913 (-15%) 13mo $45,000 $49 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.3%
Equity multiple
3.19×
Total profit
$27,591
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
54.9%
Equity multiple
7.65×
Total profit
$83,755
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71106

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
485
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$970 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $436/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $368
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1416 Natalie St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1100 $900 $0.82 14d 1 0.20mi
1421 Clover St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 900 $675 $0.75 14d 1 0.32mi
1430 Grigsby St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1052 $775 $0.74 44d 1 0.43mi
1340 Lincoln St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1120 $950 $0.85 44d 1 0.54mi
1340 Lincoln St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1120 $850 $0.76 14d 1 0.54mi
6002 Henderson Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1059 $1,050 $0.99 44d 1 0.61mi
1632 Malcolm St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,150 $0.92 21d 1 0.63mi
3827 Maryland Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,400 $1.36 44d 1 0.69mi
3802 Baltimore Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,025 $0.82 21d 1 0.71mi
3820 Fairfield Ave Unit 37 Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.0 1084 $1,050 $0.97 44d 1 0.81mi
3846 Creswell Ave Unit 3848 Shreveport, LA 2.0 2.0 1374 $1,125 $0.82 14d 1 0.88mi
1954 State St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 44d 1 0.89mi
3840 Creswell Ave Unit 1 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,000 $0.83 44d 1 0.90mi
3730 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 783 $1,088 $1.39 21d 1 0.93mi
926 Elmwood St Unit 928 Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 900 $695 $0.77 44d 1 1.07mi
5218 Fairfax Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 971 $825 $0.85 21d 1 1.10mi
513 Sassafras Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 960 $870 $0.91 21d 1 1.11mi
223 W 69th St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 990 $750 $0.76 44d 1 1.28mi
2531 Drexel St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1250 $950 $0.76 21d 1 1.34mi
2641 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1045 $725 $0.69 21d 1 1.37mi
3100 Fairfield Ave Shreveport, LA 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 1001 $1,400 $1.40 21d 1 1.42mi
749 W 68th St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1232 $800 $0.65 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 318 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 317 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 316 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 315 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $45,000 Active 313 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 312 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,000 Active 310 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 309 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 308 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 307 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 304 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 303 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 302 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 301 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 300 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 299 DOM
  17. 2025-08-04
    listed $45,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$436 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$436 · $36/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,642
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$436
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$931
− Management
−$931
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$5,289
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,269
After-tax cash flow
$4,435/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
34,117
Household income
$81,452
Rent vs Own
31.7% rent · 68.3% own
Severe rent burden
1333.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -86.48%
Current HPI
124.2416
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-08-04 Listed $45,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $436 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…