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18627 Asbury Park
D Composite 43.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$112,500

18627 Asbury Park · Detroit, MI 48235
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 723 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1939 3,920 sqft lot $156/sqft · 28% above area Est $88k · 28% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this cozy and fully updated ranch home located in Detroit's desirable College Park neighborhood - a turnkey rental investment currently generating $1,200/month with a reliable, cash-paying tenant already in place! This income-producing property features brand-new laminate flooring, fresh paint throughout, updated bathrooms and kitchen, new windows, and new appliances, requiring zero renovation and offering immediate cash flow from day one. The home offers a functional and comfortable layout with plenty of natural light, a full basement for extra storage or additional living space, and a garage for added convenience. With a 12% ROI at just 20% down, this is a rare opportunity to acquire a stabilized asset in a desirable Detroit neighborhood - don't miss out, inquire today!

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Full basement
  • Updated bathrooms

Tags

UPDATED BATHROOMSUPDATED KITCHENNEW WINDOWSNEW APPLIANCESFULL BASEMENTGARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Block foundation; Built area above grade: 723 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Breed-restricted pets allowed

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Full, unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: John R King Academic And Performing Arts Academy (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 814 students, 92% FRL); Henry Ford High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 712 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 89% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $778 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $112k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,125 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.04%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,672
List price
$112,500
Delta
28.32%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18950 Biltmore St 0.17mi 2/1.0 781 (+8%) 1mo $46,000 $59 78
17227 Curtis St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 717 (-1%) 2mo $77,000 $107 76
19307 Fenmore St 0.57mi 2/1.0 725 (+0%) 3mo $72,500 $100 71
19510 Ferguson St 0.58mi 2/1.0 717 (-1%) 3mo $21,000 $29 69
19195 Fenmore St 0.54mi 2/1.0 720 (-0%) 8mo $79,500 $110 68
18410 Forrer St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 689 (-5%) 2mo $60,000 $87 66
19751 Oakfield St 0.71mi 2/1.0 735 (+2%) 1mo $17,500 $24 63
19425 Fenmore St 0.67mi 2/1.0 720 (-0%) 8mo $79,000 $110 62
19470 Forrer St 0.65mi 2/1.0 771 (+7%) 6mo $27,000 $35 54
19781 Oakfield St 0.73mi 2/1.0 752 (+4%) 8mo $65,000 $86 53
19786 Oakfield St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 780 (+8%) 7mo $80,000 $103 42
18416 Curtis St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 820 (+13%) 5mo $72,500 $88 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-7,858
Equity at exit
$16,774
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$7,308
Equity at exit
$9,727

Cash invested: $31,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48235

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,136 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$590
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,229/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$158

Break-even live

Break-even rent $936
Max offer price $112,500
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $222 -5% $190 +0% $158 +5% $127 +10% $95
Rent -10% $69 -5% $114 +0% $158 +5% $203 +10% $248
Rate -1.0pp $215 -0.5pp $187 base $158 +0.5pp $129 +1.0pp $100

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,125
Closing costs
$3,375
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,175 $1.62 45d 1 0.31mi
19736 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $995 $1.43 14d 1 0.65mi
20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 26d 1 1.16mi
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,025 $1.40 0d 1 1.20mi
20555 Motor Dr Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,222 $1.63 16d 5 1.21mi
20539 Southfield Rd Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 12d 4 1.25mi
18637 James Couzens Fwy Apt 103A Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 630 $835 $1.33 3d 1 1.33mi
18637 James Couzens Fwy Unit C103 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 630 $835 $1.33 45d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $112,500 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $112,500 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $112,500 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $112,500 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $112,500 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $112,500 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $112,500 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $112,500 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $112,500 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $112,500 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $112,500 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $112,500 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $112,500 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $112,500 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-06
    listed $112,500 Active 805-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy and fully updated ranch home located in Detroit's desirable College Park neighborhood - a turnkey rental investment currently generating $1,200/month with a reliable, cash-paying tenant already in place! This income-producing property features brand-new laminate flooring, fresh paint throughout, updated bathrooms and kitchen, new windows, and new appliances, requiring zero renovation and offering immediate cash flow from day one. The home offers a functional and comfortable layout with plenty of natural light, a full basement for extra storage or additional living space, and a garage for added convenience. With a 12% ROI at just 20% down, this is a rare opportunity to acquire a stabilized asset in a desirable Detroit neighborhood - don't miss out, inquire today!

  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $112,500 Active 797-char remark
    Show marketing remark (797 chars)

    Welcome to this cozy and fully updated ranch home located in Detroit's desirable College Park neighborhood - a turnkey rental investment currently generating $1,200/month with a reliable, cash-paying tenant already in place! This income-producing property features brand-new laminate flooring, fresh paint throughout, updated bathrooms and kitchen, new windows, and new appliances, requiring zero renovation and offering immediate cash flow from day one. The home offers a functional and comfortable layout with plenty of natural light, a full basement for extra storage or additional living space, and a garage for added convenience. With a 12% ROI at just 20% down, this is a rare opportunity to acquire a stabilized asset in a desirable Detroit neighborhood - don't miss out, inquire today!

  17. 2026-03-12
    historical $1,200
  18. 2026-03-11
    price $1,200
  19. 2026-02-25
    listed $1,300
  20. 2025-09-10
    soldstatus $45,000
  21. 2009-05-08
    soldstatus $5,000
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    CORP OWNED. SOLD AS IS. NO SELLER'S DIS STMT. BUYER AGENT TO VEIRFY ALL INFO. INFO BELIEVED TO BE ACCURATE, BUT NOT GUARANTEED. CORP ADDEN TO BE SIGNED BY BUYER. BUYER TO SIGN ACR WITH CITY OF DET. LB TO HOLD DEP CK. COMM TO BE PAID ON NET SALES PRICE.

  22. 2008-12-31
    listed $5,000
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    CORP OWNED. SOLD AS IS. NO SELLER'S DIS STMT. BUYER AGENT TO VEIRFY ALL INFO. INFO BELIEVED TO BE ACCURATE, BUT NOT GUARANTEED. CORP ADDEN TO BE SIGNED BY BUYER. BUYER TO SIGN ACR WITH CITY OF DET. LB TO HOLD DEP CK. COMM TO BE PAID ON NET SALES PRICE.

  23. 2007-02-14
    soldstatus $30,000
  24. 2007-02-14
    soldstatus $30,000
  25. 2007-01-09
    historical
  26. 2006-11-29
    listed $32,500
  27. 2006-11-29
    listed $32,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,229 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,481 · $123/mo
Expected delta
+$252/yr (+$21/mo · 20.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,636
− Mortgage interest
−$6,302
− Property taxes
−$1,229
− Insurance
−$562
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,091
− Management
−$1,091
− Depreciation
−$3,273
Taxable income
$88
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$21
After-tax cash flow
$1,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
45,600
Household income
$39,265
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
3064.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -153.02%
Current HPI
263.6326
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+246.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $112,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $112,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Rental Removed $1,200 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $1,200 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-02-25 Listed for Rent $1,300 REALSOURCE
  • 2025-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2009-05-08 Sold (MLS) $5,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-12-31 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-02-14 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-02-14 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-01-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-11-29 Listed $32,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-11-29 Listed $32,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,229 · -49.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…