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14221 Jane St
B- Composite 66.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

14221 Jane St · Detroit, MI 48205
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,045 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 375 Days on market
Built 1927 6,098 sqft lot $100/sqft · 72% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming home on Detroit, Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !!!

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1927
  • Listed 375 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 375 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 375 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.19%
Cash-on-cash
17.48%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$60,973
List price
$105,000
Delta
72.21%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13302 Jane St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,024 (-2%) 4mo $37,000 $36 81
14728 Wilfred St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (+0%) 3mo $30,500 $29 76
14750 Lannette St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,099 (+5%) 3mo $78,000 $71 64
13124 Flanders St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,150 (+10%) 0mo $115,000 $100 63
14493 Kilbourne St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 999 (-4%) 9mo $65,000 $65 63
8801 E Outer Dr 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,047 (+0%) 1mo $40,000 $38 62
13312 Jane St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,190 (+14%) 6mo $124,000 $104 60
8750 E Outer Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,070 (+2%) 7mo $102,000 $95 52
13001 Promenade St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,124 (+8%) 6mo $73,800 $66 51
15018 Seymour St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,094 (+5%) 6mo $68,500 $63 50
14866 Houston Whittier St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 930 (-11%) 9mo $32,000 $34 49
15255 Young St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 919 (-12%) 9mo $72,500 $79 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$7,931
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$32,785
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,406 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,056/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$428

Break-even live

Break-even rent $864
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 44d 1 0.24mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 18d 1 0.41mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 17d 1 0.54mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 44d 1 0.66mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 44d 1 0.69mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 0.75mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 18d 1 0.83mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 17d 1 0.90mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 18d 1 0.92mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 11d 1 0.97mi
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 17d 1 1.01mi
9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 4d 1 1.02mi
12210 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 44d 1 1.02mi
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 44d 1 1.07mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 24d 1 1.12mi
18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,450 $1.66 22d 1 1.12mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 44d 1 1.12mi
11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 4d 1 1.16mi
11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 17d 1 1.17mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 20d 1 1.18mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 5d 1 1.20mi
14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 1.20mi
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 17d 1 1.21mi
9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,375 $1.46 15d 1 1.23mi
11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 44d 1 1.24mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 17d 1 1.27mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 44d 1 1.27mi
10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $900 $0.78 20d 1 1.28mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 24d 1 1.30mi
14504 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,175 $0.98 24d 1 1.32mi
19170 Joann St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,400 $1.37 44d 1 1.33mi
18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,400 $1.34 24d 1 1.34mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 17d 1 1.35mi
13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,374 $1.33 17d 1 1.35mi
19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,225 $1.14 17d 1 1.36mi
17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,450 $1.10 17d 1 1.36mi
11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,400 $1.04 44d 1 1.37mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,350 $1.18 44d 1 1.40mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 1.42mi
15616 E 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,150 $1.00 17d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 375 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 374 DOM
  3. 2026-05-08
    price $105,000 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit, Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !!!

  4. 2026-05-08
    price $105,000 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit, Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !!!

  5. 2025-08-07
    price $115,000 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit, Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !!!

  6. 2025-08-07
    price $115,000 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit, Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !!!

  7. 2025-05-22
    listed $120,000 Active 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit, Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !!!

  8. 2025-05-22
    listed $120,000 Active 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit, Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !!!

  9. 2025-05-22
    historical
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit, Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !!!

  10. 2025-05-22
    historical
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home on Detroit, Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !!!

  11. 2025-04-15
    status Active
  12. 2025-04-09
    historical
  13. 2024-09-03
    listed $130,000 Active
  14. 2024-09-03
    listed $130,000 Active
  15. 2023-07-27
    historical
  16. 2023-07-27
    historical
  17. 2023-05-02
    listed $129,000 Active
  18. 2023-05-02
    listed $129,000 Active
  19. 2023-02-27
    historical
  20. 2023-02-27
    historical
  21. 2022-12-14
    price $129,000
  22. 2022-12-13
    price $129,000
  23. 2022-10-21
    listed $130,000 Active
  24. 2022-10-21
    listed $130,000 Active
  25. 2021-02-10
    soldstatus $115,000
  26. 2009-05-01
    soldstatus $787
  27. 2009-04-07
    historical
  28. 2008-12-05
    listed $2,000
  29. 2007-07-01
    historical
  30. 2007-07-01
    historical
  31. 2007-03-21
    listed $70,000
  32. 2007-03-21
    listed $70,000
  33. 2007-03-19
    soldstatus $70,000
  34. 2006-12-01
    soldstatus $70,000
  35. 2006-10-02
    historical
  36. 2006-09-29
    listed $70,000
  37. 1992-01-27
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,056 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,336 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$281/yr (+$23/mo · 26.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,870
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,056
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,350
− Management
−$1,350
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$3,654
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$877
After-tax cash flow
$4,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.7% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-22 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-22 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-15 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-09-03 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-09-03 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-05-02 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-05-02 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-12-14 Price Changed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-13 Price Changed $129,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-10-21 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-10-21 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2009-05-01 Sold (MLS) $787 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-04-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-12-05 Listed $2,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-07-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-03-21 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-03-21 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2006-12-01 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-10-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-09-29 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1992-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,056 · -8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…