Duplex
85 Ellis St · New Britain, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
2 Family with many updates kitchen,bathrooms,roof and windows, the units are in great shape, 5rms per unit,deck overlooks private back yard
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1880
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total units (multi-family); 10 total rooms
- Financial info: Assessed value listed
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas service
- Home design: Multi-family (2-family); Frame construction
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Balcony; Gutters; Exterior lighting; Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (total)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard and radiator heating (natural gas); Natural gas domestic hot water
- Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Full unfinished basement with storage; Walk-up attic
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $184/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $325k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.2% in New Britain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#67 in CT, #4,936 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime D, employment D.
- New Britain School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #153 of 153 in CT (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: New Britain High School (math 10% / reading 31%, grade F, #162 of 194 statewide, top 83%, 2,331 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,395/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2100% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $325k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.85%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $386,386
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Greenwood St | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 | 2,004 (+0%) | 2mo | $400,000 | $200 | 85 |
| 75 Whiting St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 2,076 (+4%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $125 | 72 |
| 104 Greenwood St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,758 (-12%) | 10mo | $339,000 | $193 | 60 |
| 309-311 Stanley St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,848 (-8%) | 13mo | $400,000 | $216 | 50 |
| 70 Fairview St | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 2,184 (+9%) | 5mo | $409,000 | $187 | 48 |
| 131 Winthrop St | 0.55mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,125 (+6%) | 16mo | $360,000 | $169 | 42 |
| 562 Stanley St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (-10%) | 18mo | $324,000 | $180 | 41 |
| 18 Fairview St | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,878 (-6%) | 19mo | $410,000 | $218 | 39 |
| 208 Columbia St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 2,160 (+8%) | 21mo | $377,500 | $175 | 37 |
| 318 East St | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,764 (-12%) | 17mo | $357,000 | $202 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $190,573
- Equity at exit
- $292,786
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.77×
- Total profit
- $525,154
- Equity at exit
- $631,404
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06051
- Home prices YoY
- 9.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 16.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,395 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$474 /mo · $5,694/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$713
- Net cashflow
- $368
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $552 | -5% $460 | +0% $368 | +5% $276 | +10% $184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $100 | -5% $234 | +0% $368 | +5% $502 | +10% $636 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $531 | -0.5pp $450 | base $368 | +0.5pp $284 | +1.0pp $198 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,394 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,697 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,697 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,395 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 271 Glen St New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2230 | $1,950 | $0.87 | 2d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 412 S Main St Unit 1st floor New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1863 | $1,975 | $1.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 152 Lyons St New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 89 Vance St New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2944 | $2,040 | $0.69 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 24 Rocky Hill Ave New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2916 | $1,650 | $0.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 45 Union St New Britain, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2060 | $2,800 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 316 High Rd Berlin, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 39 Holmes Ave Unit 2 New Britain, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2200 | $1,600 | $0.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 13 events
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $325,000 Under Contract 14 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 13 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 12 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 11 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 10 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 9 DOM
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2026-05-21historical $325,000
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2011-05-16soldstatus $125,000
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2011-05-13soldstatus $125,000 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
2 Family with many updates kitchen,bathrooms,roof and windows, the units are in great shape, 5rms per unit,deck overlooks private back yard
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2010-10-19$150,000 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
2 Family with many updates kitchen,bathrooms,roof and windows, the units are in great shape, 5rms per unit,deck overlooks private back yard
-
2010-09-30historical
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2010-03-29$189,900
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1992-09-15soldstatus $83,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,694 · $474/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,324 · $527/mo
- Expected delta
- +$630/yr (+$53/mo · 11.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,740
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$5,694
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,259
- − Management
- −$3,259
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$757
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$182
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,595/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Britain School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902670
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,827
- Composite
- 9.95/100
- National rank
- #9816
- State rank
- #153 of 153 in CT
Livability — New Britain
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #4936
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Britain, CT
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 66,322
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,548
- Household income
- $51,022
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2100.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 30% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 40% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 39% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 31.52%
- Current HPI
- 382.7816
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.58%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+291.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-29 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-23 Listed $325,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $325,000 Smart MLS
- 2011-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2011-05-13 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Smart MLS
- 2010-10-19 Listed $150,000 Smart MLS
- 2010-09-30 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2010-03-29 Listed $189,900 Smart MLS
- 1992-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,694 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…