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85 Ellis St Duplex
B- Composite 65.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$325,000

85 Ellis St · New Britain, CT 06051
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,002 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1880 0.25 ac lot Est $386k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

2 Family with many updates kitchen,bathrooms,roof and windows, the units are in great shape, 5rms per unit,deck overlooks private back yard

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Built 1880
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units (multi-family); 10 total rooms
  • Financial info: Assessed value listed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Multi-family (2-family); Frame construction
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Gutters; Exterior lighting; Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (total)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard and radiator heating (natural gas); Natural gas domestic hot water
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Full unfinished basement with storage; Walk-up attic

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $368 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $184/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $325k).
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.2% in New Britain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#67 in CT, #4,936 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime D, employment D.
  • New Britain School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #153 of 153 in CT (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: New Britain High School (math 10% / reading 31%, grade F, #162 of 194 statewide, top 83%, 2,331 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,395/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 2100% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $325k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $325,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.65%
Cash-on-cash
4.85%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$386,386
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
38 Greenwood St 0.23mi 4/2.5 2,004 (+0%) 2mo $400,000 $200 85
75 Whiting St 0.30mi 4/2.0 2,076 (+4%) 9mo $260,000 $125 72
104 Greenwood St 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,758 (-12%) 10mo $339,000 $193 60
309-311 Stanley St 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,848 (-8%) 13mo $400,000 $216 50
70 Fairview St 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,184 (+9%) 5mo $409,000 $187 48
131 Winthrop St 0.55mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,125 (+6%) 16mo $360,000 $169 42
562 Stanley St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,800 (-10%) 18mo $324,000 $180 41
18 Fairview St 0.64mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,878 (-6%) 19mo $410,000 $218 39
208 Columbia St 0.69mi 4/2.0 2,160 (+8%) 21mo $377,500 $175 37
318 East St 0.75mi 4/2.0 1,764 (-12%) 17mo $357,000 $202 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$190,573
Equity at exit
$292,786
10-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
6.77×
Total profit
$525,154
Equity at exit
$631,404

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06051

Home prices YoY
9.0%
Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
16.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,395 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$474 /mo · $5,694/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$713
Net cashflow
$368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,929
Max offer price $325,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $552 -5% $460 +0% $368 +5% $276 +10% $184
Rent -10% $100 -5% $234 +0% $368 +5% $502 +10% $636
Rate -1.0pp $531 -0.5pp $450 base $368 +0.5pp $284 +1.0pp $198

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,395

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
271 Glen St New Britain, CT 3.0 1.0 2230 $1,950 $0.87 2d 1 0.19mi
412 S Main St Unit 1st floor New Britain, CT 3.0 1.0 1863 $1,975 $1.06 2d 1 0.27mi
152 Lyons St New Britain, CT 3.0 1.0 1456 $2,000 $1.37 2d 1 0.65mi
89 Vance St New Britain, CT 3.0 2.0 2944 $2,040 $0.69 2d 1 0.77mi
24 Rocky Hill Ave New Britain, CT 3.0 1.0 2916 $1,650 $0.57 45d 1 0.89mi
45 Union St New Britain, CT 5.0 2.0 2060 $2,800 $1.36 24d 1 1.07mi
316 High Rd Berlin, CT 3.0 1.5 1600 $3,000 $1.88 15d 1 1.37mi
39 Holmes Ave Unit 2 New Britain, CT 3.0 1.0 2200 $1,600 $0.73 24d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $325,000 Under Contract 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 10 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 9 DOM
  7. 2026-05-21
    historical $325,000
  8. 2011-05-16
    soldstatus $125,000
  9. 2011-05-13
    soldstatus $125,000 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    2 Family with many updates kitchen,bathrooms,roof and windows, the units are in great shape, 5rms per unit,deck overlooks private back yard

  10. 2010-10-19
    listed $150,000 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    2 Family with many updates kitchen,bathrooms,roof and windows, the units are in great shape, 5rms per unit,deck overlooks private back yard

  11. 2010-09-30
    historical
  12. 2010-03-29
    listed $189,900
  13. 1992-09-15
    soldstatus $83,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,694 · $474/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,324 · $527/mo
Expected delta
+$630/yr (+$53/mo · 11.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,740
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$5,694
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,259
− Management
−$3,259
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$757
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$182
After-tax cash flow
$4,595/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Britain School District
NCES district ID
0902670
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,827
Composite
9.95/100
National rank
#9816
State rank
#153 of 153 in CT

Livability — New Britain

Score
74/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#4936

Category grades

Amenities C Commute B Cost of living A Crime D Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Britain, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
66,322
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
29,548
Household income
$51,022
Rent vs Own
68.9% rent · 31.1% own
Severe rent burden
2100.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% White 30% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 40% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 39% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 31.52%
Current HPI
382.7816
Rent YoY
▼ -0.58%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+291.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $325,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $325,000 Smart MLS
  • 2011-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2011-05-13 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Smart MLS
  • 2010-10-19 Listed $150,000 Smart MLS
  • 2010-09-30 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2010-03-29 Listed $189,900 Smart MLS
  • 1992-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,694 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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