2845 Monte Sano Ave · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three-bedroom, one full bath residental property located in a no flood zone. The home is in poor condition and requires extensive repairs and updates.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1975
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $998 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 54.2% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,476/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($28k/yr) (locally 1092% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $218 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 54.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 171.16%
- DSCR
- 8.62
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,528
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2845 Monte Sano Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,484 (0%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $17 | 99 |
| 3022 68th Ave | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,575 (+6%) | 18mo | $144,900 | $92 | 56 |
| 5750 Saurage Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (-11%) | 3mo | $84,900 | $64 | 54 |
| 2635 79th Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,412 (-5%) | 7mo | $143,000 | $101 | 51 |
| 2785 75th Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (-3%) | 21mo | $144,000 | $100 | 50 |
| 5778 Henagen Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,459 (-2%) | 21mo | $125,000 | $86 | 45 |
| 2624 78th Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (-4%) | 18mo | $138,000 | $97 | 44 |
| 1825 71st St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,564 (+5%) | 14mo | $72,000 | $46 | 43 |
| 2748 79th Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,673 (+13%) | 18mo | $189,500 | $113 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.84×
- Total profit
- $61,872
- Equity at exit
- $6,189
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.72×
- Total profit
- $138,025
- Equity at exit
- $6,632
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70807
- Home prices YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,476 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $317/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $998
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,013 | -5% $1,005 | +0% $998 | +5% $991 | +10% $984 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $882 | -5% $940 | +0% $998 | +5% $1,057 | +10% $1,115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,011 | -0.5pp $1,005 | base $998 | +0.5pp $992 | +1.0pp $985 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2127 71st Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $1,600 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1848 73rd Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1139 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1945 77th Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4378 Dawson Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 91 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 19d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 94 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,098 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 94 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4912 Breckenridge Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,075 | $0.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4809 Longfellow Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4963 Greenwell St Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5115 Woodlawn Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1789 | $1,550 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2933 Dayton St Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,350 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-30historical
-
2026-04-09$25,000
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Three-bedroom, one full bath residental property located in a no flood zone. The home is in poor condition and requires extensive repairs and updates.
-
2026-04-09$25,000 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
Three-bedroom, one full bath residental property located in a no flood zone. The home is in poor condition and requires extensive repairs and updates.
-
2026-01-12status Pending
-
2026-01-05$40,000 Active
-
2026-01-05$40,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $317 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $317 · $26/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,717
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$317
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,417
- − Management
- −$1,417
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $12,312
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,955
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,026/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baton Rouge, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- City population
- 351,868
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,300
- Household income
- $27,534
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1092.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Two or more races 6% White 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.87%
- Current HPI
- 78.3629
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-37.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $25,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $25,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-12 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $40,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $40,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+22.8%/yrLatest (2025): $317 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…