🏷️ Likely Rental
22 Laurel St · Woodbury, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is being sold as-is and tenant-occupied with a reliable tenant in good standing. The current lease is in place at $1,700/month through May 31, 2026. A great chance to step into ownership with immediate rental income—your opportunity to become a landlord starts here!
Key facts
- Easy commuting
- Full basement
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Finished above-grade area approximately 1,331 (source: assessor)
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking type
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Hot water: other
- Home design: Semi-detached home; Estimated year built
- Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 22 x 92; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Cooling system present (unspecified type)
- Interior features: One fireplace (living area); Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.3% in Woodbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#163 in NJ, #4,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Woodbury City Public School District (suburban): math 10% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #411 of 472 in NJ (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $131k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.33%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $332,750
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 626 Green St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,337 (+0%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $202 | 69 |
| 437 E Barber Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $200 | 62 |
| 313 Lincoln St | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,374 (+3%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $109 | 61 |
| 82 Hopkins St | 0.22mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-14%) | 6mo | $157,000 | $137 | 56 |
| 77 Lakebridge Dr | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,254 (-6%) | 4mo | $385,000 | $307 | 53 |
| 105 Lakebridge Dr | 0.63mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,254 (-6%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $243 | 52 |
| 115 Union Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,164 (-12%) | 7mo | $294,900 | $253 | 51 |
| 302 W Red Bank Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+5%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $250 | 50 |
| 338 E Red Bank Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,422 (+7%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $200 | 47 |
| 113 Chestnut St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,258 (-6%) | 1mo | $419,900 | $334 | 46 |
| 4 Stewart Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,510 (+13%) | 1mo | $400,000 | $265 | 40 |
| 654 Frances Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,518 (+14%) | 5mo | $385,000 | $254 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,206
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $38,401
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08096
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,229 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$349 /mo · $4,189/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $450
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 High St Unit B Woodbury, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 121 Union Ave Woodbury, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,149 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 568 N Evergreen Ave Woodbury, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,870 | $2.22 | 13d | 5 | 0.52mi |
| 9 Magnolia St Westville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1281 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 37 Arrowwood Ct Woodbury, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $2,500 | $1.64 | 20d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $170,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$170,000 Active 553-char remark
-
2025-08-18soldstatus $131,250
-
2025-08-14soldstatus $131,250 Closed 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
This property is being sold as-is and tenant-occupied with a reliable tenant in good standing. The current lease is in place at $1,700/month through May 31, 2026. A great chance to step into ownership with immediate rental income—your opportunity to become a landlord starts here!
-
2025-08-13status Pending 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
This property is being sold as-is and tenant-occupied with a reliable tenant in good standing. The current lease is in place at $1,700/month through May 31, 2026. A great chance to step into ownership with immediate rental income—your opportunity to become a landlord starts here!
-
2025-08-08soldstatus $131,250 Closed 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
This property is being sold as-is and tenant-occupied with a reliable tenant in good standing. The current lease is in place at $1,700/month through May 31, 2026. A great chance to step into ownership with immediate rental income—your opportunity to become a landlord starts here!
-
2025-08-04status Pending 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
This property is being sold as-is and tenant-occupied with a reliable tenant in good standing. The current lease is in place at $1,700/month through May 31, 2026. A great chance to step into ownership with immediate rental income—your opportunity to become a landlord starts here!
-
2025-07-31soldstatus $131,250 Closed 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
This property is being sold as-is and tenant-occupied with a reliable tenant in good standing. The current lease is in place at $1,700/month through May 31, 2026. A great chance to step into ownership with immediate rental income—your opportunity to become a landlord starts here!
-
2025-07-06status Pending 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
This property is being sold as-is and tenant-occupied with a reliable tenant in good standing. The current lease is in place at $1,700/month through May 31, 2026. A great chance to step into ownership with immediate rental income—your opportunity to become a landlord starts here!
-
2025-06-13$155,000 Active 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
This property is being sold as-is and tenant-occupied with a reliable tenant in good standing. The current lease is in place at $1,700/month through May 31, 2026. A great chance to step into ownership with immediate rental income—your opportunity to become a landlord starts here!
-
2025-06-04historical $155,000 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
This property is being sold as-is and tenant-occupied with a reliable tenant in good standing. The current lease is in place at $1,700/month through May 31, 2026. A great chance to step into ownership with immediate rental income—your opportunity to become a landlord starts here!
-
2021-08-05soldstatus $40,000
-
1989-09-06soldstatus $57,500
-
1987-11-24soldstatus $44,000
-
1983-11-01soldstatus $26,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,189 · $349/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,211 · $351/mo
- Expected delta
- +$22/yr (+$2/mo · 0.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,749
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$4,189
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,140
- − Management
- −$2,140
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $2,963
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$711
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Woodbury City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3418150
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,810
- Composite
- 20.25/100
- National rank
- #8621
- State rank
- #411 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Woodbury
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #4241
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Woodbury, NJ
- County
- Gloucester County · 160,422 people
- City population
- 35,336
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,336
- Household income
- $89,013
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1044.0
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.24%
- Current HPI
- 269.1606
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+553.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $131,250 Public Records
- 2025-08-14 Sold (MLS) $131,250 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-08 Sold (MLS) $131,250 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-04 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-31 Sold (MLS) $131,250 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-13 Listed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-04 Coming Soon $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1989-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 1987-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 1983-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,189 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…