Duplex
740-742 37th Ave · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 74°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,400,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
New Price! Located in the heart of San Francisco's highly desirable Richmond District, this well-maintained duplex at 740-742 37th Avenue presents an excellent opportunity for investors or owner-users seeking long-term value in a prime neighborhood. The property consists of two spacious residential units, both currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month basis, offering flexibility for future repositioning. Each unit features a thoughtful and functional layout with three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, including a primary suite. The homes offer formal living rooms and dining rooms, providing classic San Francisco charm, along with full-size kitchens ideal for everyday living and entertaining. In addition to the two main units, the property includes multiple vacant rooms on the ground floor, presenting potential for additional storage, office use, or future improvement opportunities (buyer to verify use with the City). The building also offers a side-by-side garage, providing convenient parking, and a rear backyard, perfect for outdoor enjoyment or shared use. This location is a true highlight. The property is within walking distance to Golden Gate Park, offering easy access to open green spaces, trails, and recreational amenities. Just steps away is Balboa Street, one of the Richmond District's most vibrant commercial corridors, featuring a wide selection of popular restaurants, cafs, bakeries, grocery stores, schools, and neighborhood services. Public transportation options are nearby, making commuting throughout the city convenient and efficient. With its strong unit layouts, flexible tenancy, bonus ground-floor space, and unbeatable Richmond District location, 740-742 37th Avenue represents a rare opportunity to own a versatile duplex in one of San Francisco's most sought-after neighborhoods.
Key facts
- Side-by-side garage
- Golden gate park
- Rear backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.40M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.36M (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.23M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.0%/yr); 74 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $13,595/mo this rent would consume 122% of the median local household income ($133k/yr) (locally 2072% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $42k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $392k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.23M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.83%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,743,412
- List price
- $1,400,000
- Delta
- -19.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 870-872 38th Ave | 0.17mi | 7/5.0 (+1) | 3,272 (+1%) | 6mo | $1,700,000 | $520 | 76 |
| 600-602 39th Ave | 0.21mi | 5/— (-1) | 2,980 (-8%) | 1mo | $2,122,000 | $712 | 71 |
| 630 40th Ave | 0.23mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 3,100 (-4%) | 6mo | $1,650,000 | $532 | 64 |
| 435 44th Ave | 0.60mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 3,120 (-4%) | 2mo | $1,735,000 | $556 | 59 |
| 529-531 37th Ave | 0.27mi | 6/5.0 | 3,641 (+12%) | 8mo | $1,800,000 | $494 | 56 |
| 2929 Clement St | 0.57mi | 6/4.0 | 3,440 (+6%) | 11mo | $1,650,000 | $480 | 54 |
| 2427-2429 Cabrillo | 0.66mi | 6/4.0 | 2,990 (-8%) | 3mo | $2,167,750 | $725 | 54 |
| 5544-5546 Fulton St | 0.34mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 3,570 (+10%) | 1mo | $2,028,888 | $568 | 53 |
| 415-417 44th Ave | 0.62mi | 6/4.0 | 3,500 (+8%) | 8mo | $1,950,000 | $557 | 51 |
| 5414-5416 Fulton St | 0.42mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,465 (+7%) | 12mo | $1,680,000 | $485 | 50 |
| 1215 34th Ave | 0.75mi | 6/2.0 | 3,075 (-5%) | 5mo | $2,050,000 | $667 | 44 |
| 695 48th Ave | 0.68mi | 6/6.0 | 3,580 (+10%) | 7mo | $2,110,000 | $589 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-13,479
- Equity at exit
- $208,745
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $496,097
- Equity at exit
- $121,046
Cash invested: $392,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94121
- Rents YoY
- 13.0%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 17.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $13,595 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,342
- Tax from tax record
- −$585 /mo · $7,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$583
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,855
- Net cashflow
- $2,230
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,023 | -5% $2,627 | +0% $2,230 | +5% $1,834 | +10% $1,438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,156 | -5% $1,693 | +0% $2,230 | +5% $2,767 | +10% $3,304 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,935 | -0.5pp $2,586 | base $2,230 | +0.5pp $1,867 | +1.0pp $1,498 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $13,596 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $6,798 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $6,798 |
| Total (2 units) | $13,595 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $350,000
- Closing costs
- $42,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 35th Ave San Francisco, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2296 | $13,995 | $6.10 | 3d | 1 | 0.15mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,400,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,400,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,400,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,400,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,400,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,400,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,400,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,400,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,400,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,400,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,400,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,400,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,400,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,400,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-03-12price $1,400,000 1828-char remark
Show marketing remark (1828 chars)
New Price! Located in the heart of San Francisco's highly desirable Richmond District, this well-maintained duplex at 740-742 37th Avenue presents an excellent opportunity for investors or owner-users seeking long-term value in a prime neighborhood. The property consists of two spacious residential units, both currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month basis, offering flexibility for future repositioning. Each unit features a thoughtful and functional layout with three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, including a primary suite. The homes offer formal living rooms and dining rooms, providing classic San Francisco charm, along with full-size kitchens ideal for everyday living and entertaining. In addition to the two main units, the property includes multiple vacant rooms on the ground floor, presenting potential for additional storage, office use, or future improvement opportunities (buyer to verify use with the City). The building also offers a side-by-side garage, providing convenient parking, and a rear backyard, perfect for outdoor enjoyment or shared use. This location is a true highlight. The property is within walking distance to Golden Gate Park, offering easy access to open green spaces, trails, and recreational amenities. Just steps away is Balboa Street, one of the Richmond District's most vibrant commercial corridors, featuring a wide selection of popular restaurants, cafs, bakeries, grocery stores, schools, and neighborhood services. Public transportation options are nearby, making commuting throughout the city convenient and efficient. With its strong unit layouts, flexible tenancy, bonus ground-floor space, and unbeatable Richmond District location, 740-742 37th Avenue represents a rare opportunity to own a versatile duplex in one of San Francisco's most sought-after neighborhoods.
-
2026-01-13price $1,600,000 1828-char remark
Show marketing remark (1828 chars)
New Price! Located in the heart of San Francisco's highly desirable Richmond District, this well-maintained duplex at 740-742 37th Avenue presents an excellent opportunity for investors or owner-users seeking long-term value in a prime neighborhood. The property consists of two spacious residential units, both currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month basis, offering flexibility for future repositioning. Each unit features a thoughtful and functional layout with three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, including a primary suite. The homes offer formal living rooms and dining rooms, providing classic San Francisco charm, along with full-size kitchens ideal for everyday living and entertaining. In addition to the two main units, the property includes multiple vacant rooms on the ground floor, presenting potential for additional storage, office use, or future improvement opportunities (buyer to verify use with the City). The building also offers a side-by-side garage, providing convenient parking, and a rear backyard, perfect for outdoor enjoyment or shared use. This location is a true highlight. The property is within walking distance to Golden Gate Park, offering easy access to open green spaces, trails, and recreational amenities. Just steps away is Balboa Street, one of the Richmond District's most vibrant commercial corridors, featuring a wide selection of popular restaurants, cafs, bakeries, grocery stores, schools, and neighborhood services. Public transportation options are nearby, making commuting throughout the city convenient and efficient. With its strong unit layouts, flexible tenancy, bonus ground-floor space, and unbeatable Richmond District location, 740-742 37th Avenue represents a rare opportunity to own a versatile duplex in one of San Francisco's most sought-after neighborhoods.
-
2025-12-15$1,700,000 Active 1828-char remark
Show marketing remark (1828 chars)
New Price! Located in the heart of San Francisco's highly desirable Richmond District, this well-maintained duplex at 740-742 37th Avenue presents an excellent opportunity for investors or owner-users seeking long-term value in a prime neighborhood. The property consists of two spacious residential units, both currently tenant-occupied on a month-to-month basis, offering flexibility for future repositioning. Each unit features a thoughtful and functional layout with three bedrooms and two full bathrooms, including a primary suite. The homes offer formal living rooms and dining rooms, providing classic San Francisco charm, along with full-size kitchens ideal for everyday living and entertaining. In addition to the two main units, the property includes multiple vacant rooms on the ground floor, presenting potential for additional storage, office use, or future improvement opportunities (buyer to verify use with the City). The building also offers a side-by-side garage, providing convenient parking, and a rear backyard, perfect for outdoor enjoyment or shared use. This location is a true highlight. The property is within walking distance to Golden Gate Park, offering easy access to open green spaces, trails, and recreational amenities. Just steps away is Balboa Street, one of the Richmond District's most vibrant commercial corridors, featuring a wide selection of popular restaurants, cafs, bakeries, grocery stores, schools, and neighborhood services. Public transportation options are nearby, making commuting throughout the city convenient and efficient. With its strong unit layouts, flexible tenancy, bonus ground-floor space, and unbeatable Richmond District location, 740-742 37th Avenue represents a rare opportunity to own a versatile duplex in one of San Francisco's most sought-after neighborhoods.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,017 · $585/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,640 · $887/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,623/yr (+$302/mo · 51.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥74°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $163,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$78,422
- − Property taxes
- −$7,017
- − Insurance
- −$7,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$13,051
- − Management
- −$13,051
- − Depreciation
- −$40,727
- Taxable income
- $3,872
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$929
- After-tax cash flow
- $25,834/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,995
- Household income
- $133,358
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2072.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 42% White 41% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Chinese 22% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1078.57%
- Current HPI
- 266.5786
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.03%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-17.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $1,400,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $1,600,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2025-12-15 Listed $1,700,000 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $7,017 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…