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2120 N Hickory St
B- Composite 69.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$103,000

2120 N Hickory St · Sherman, TX 75092
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,021 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1959 8,821 sqft lot $101/sqft · 38% below area Est $198k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Corner lot, recently updated with fresh paint both interior and exterior, recent flooring, bath and kitchen updated, roof 2005, ch & a, Everything has been done, move in ready. New kitchen stove to remain.

Key facts

  • 8,821 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1959

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Accepts cash and conventional financing; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage; 1 covered parking space (garage faces front)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; All-weather road access
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story (entry on main level); Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1959; Wood construction; Composition roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Six total rooms; One living area; One dining area
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $103k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $103k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.7% in Sherman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,027 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
  • Sherman ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #546 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fairview El (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 294 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 60% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 636 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $712 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,455 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
9.51%
Cash-on-cash
11.49%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,755
List price
$103,000
Delta
-47.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2419 N Shannon St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,044 (+2%) 4mo $99,999 $96 84
2121 N Alexander St 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,128 (+10%) 6mo $189,000 $168 72
2221 N Alexander St 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,122 (+10%) 4mo $195,000 $174 71
224 W Dexter St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,130 (+11%) 6mo $209,000 $185 66
1706 N Shannon St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,066 (+4%) 9mo $141,500 $133 65
1718 N Ricketts St 0.45mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,048 (+3%) 12mo $169,900 $162 58
705 E Lamberth Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,028 (+1%) 6mo $108,000 $105 56
1706 N Ricketts St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,106 (+8%) 8mo $129,900 $117 53
1517 N Highland Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+8%) 5mo $179,000 $163 51
404 E Orange St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 927 (-9%) 0mo $75,000 $81 45
1518 N Ricketts St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,144 (+12%) 9mo $189,900 $166 40
1234 N Travis St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,169 (+14%) 11mo $195,000 $167 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-3,174
Equity at exit
$15,358
10-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$4,162
Equity at exit
$8,906

Cash invested: $28,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75092

Rents YoY
-2.4%
Active inventory
636
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,427 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$540
Tax from tax record
$268 /mo · $3,216/yr
Insurance
$43
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$276

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,077
Max offer price $103,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $334 -5% $305 +0% $276 +5% $247 +10% $218
Rent -10% $163 -5% $220 +0% $276 +5% $333 +10% $389
Rate -1.0pp $328 -0.5pp $302 base $276 +0.5pp $250 +1.0pp $222

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,750
Closing costs
$3,090
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
221 W Burton St Sherman, TX 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,250 $0.87 44d 1 0.04mi
2222 N Hickory St Sherman, TX 2.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 44d 1 0.07mi
2309 N Hickory St Sherman, TX 2.0 2.0 951 $1,250 $1.31 44d 1 0.10mi
411 W Pelton St Unit B Sherman, TX 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,025 $1.01 22d 1 0.14mi
2409 Hickory St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1095 $1,500 $1.37 44d 1 0.16mi
2407 N Shannon St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1027 $1,495 $1.46 22d 1 0.17mi
221 W Taylor St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 917 $1,425 $1.55 22d 1 0.17mi
1916 N Alexander St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,575 $1.27 44d 1 0.19mi
302 W Pelton St Sherman, TX 2.0 2.0 958 $1,450 $1.51 44d 1 0.23mi
110-112 W Fairview St Sherman, TX 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 0.30mi
1615 N Alexander St Sherman, TX 2.0 1.0 826 $950 $1.15 22d 1 0.39mi
1706 N Ricketts St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,600 $1.45 22d 1 0.48mi
1809 Park Pl Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,425 $1.07 22d 1 0.65mi
1811 Park Pl Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,425 $1.07 22d 1 0.65mi
1312 N Travis St Sherman, TX 3.0 1.5 1086 $1,325 $1.22 44d 1 0.66mi
1200 W Taylor St Sherman, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 814 $849 $1.04 22d 42 0.73mi
1420 Park Pl Unit 001 Sherman, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 22d 1 0.74mi
1420 Park Pl Sherman, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 44d 1 0.74mi
1350 W Taylor St Sherman, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1153 $2,250 $1.95 22d 129 0.76mi
3018 Serenity Ln Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1156 $1,825 $1.58 44d 1 0.76mi
1404 Park Pl Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,400 $1.22 44d 1 0.77mi
717 E Lamberth Rd Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,500 $1.23 44d 1 0.78mi
907 W Birge St Sherman, TX 2.0 2.0 952 $1,100 $1.16 44d 1 0.82mi
822 W Fischer St Sherman, TX 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,350 $1.07 22d 1 0.91mi
820 N Sam Rayburn Fwy Unit 204 Sherman, TX 2.0 1.5 1027 $1,350 $1.31 44d 1 0.96mi
3114 Rex Cruse Dr Sherman, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 880 $1,260 $1.43 22d 9 0.96mi
814 W College St Sherman, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 44d 1 0.97mi
823 N Branch St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,650 $1.22 22d 1 1.05mi
916 N Throckmorton St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1259 $1,400 $1.11 22d 1 1.08mi
301 E Brockett St Unit 100 Sherman, TX 4.0 4.0 1169 $1,400 $1.20 44d 1 1.10mi
614 E College St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1238 $1,400 $1.13 22d 1 1.11mi
914 W Washington St Unit F Sherman, TX 2.0 1.5 1287 $1,165 $0.91 44d 1 1.11mi
620 N Walnut St Sherman, TX 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 44d 1 1.11mi
608 E College St Unit 608 Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,325 $1.08 22d 1 1.12mi
607 E Carter St Unit 609 Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,450 $1.18 22d 1 1.15mi
609 E Carter St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,450 $1.18 22d 1 1.16mi
524-526 N Woods St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1454 $1,445 $0.99 44d 1 1.16mi
930 W Freeman St Sherman, TX 3.0 2.0 1222 $1,499 $1.23 22d 1 1.16mi
211 E Canyon Grove Rd Knollwood, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 953 $1,650 $1.73 22d 10 1.16mi
1509 N Grant Dr Sherman, TX 2.0 1.0 839 $1,250 $1.49 44d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    listed $103,000 Active 568-char remark
  2. 2026-01-19
    historical
  3. 2025-12-29
    status Active
  4. 2025-12-29
    price $159,500
  5. 2025-05-28
    status Active
  6. 2024-11-12
    listed $195,000 Active
  7. 2015-03-18
    soldstatus
  8. 2007-10-29
    soldstatus
  9. 2007-10-26
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Corner lot, recently updated with fresh paint both interior and exterior, recent flooring, bath and kitchen updated, roof 2005, ch & a, Everything has been done, move in ready. New kitchen stove to remain.

  10. 2007-09-28
    historical
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Corner lot, recently updated with fresh paint both interior and exterior, recent flooring, bath and kitchen updated, roof 2005, ch & a, Everything has been done, move in ready. New kitchen stove to remain.

  11. 2007-08-03
    listed $78,500
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Corner lot, recently updated with fresh paint both interior and exterior, recent flooring, bath and kitchen updated, roof 2005, ch & a, Everything has been done, move in ready. New kitchen stove to remain.

  12. 2001-12-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,216 · $268/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,216 · $268/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,123
− Mortgage interest
−$5,770
− Property taxes
−$3,216
− Insurance
−$515
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,370
− Management
−$1,370
− Depreciation
−$2,996
Taxable income
$1,886
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$453
After-tax cash flow
$2,862/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sherman ISD
NCES district ID
4840080
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$42,587
Composite
28.79/100
National rank
#6665
State rank
#546 of 826 in TX

Livability — Sherman

Score
61/100
State rank
#1027
US rank
#18243

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sherman, TX
County
Grayson County · 108,053 people
City population
54,936
Metro
Sherman-Denison, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,342
Household income
$68,036
Rent vs Own
41.9% rent · 58.1% own
Severe rent burden
1278.0

Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
134,540 people
By 2030
138,653 · +3.1%
By 2040
145,958 · +8.5%
By 2050
151,218 · +12.4%
By 2075
161,802 · +20.3%
By 2100
159,036 · +18.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grayson

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -201.47%
Current HPI
235.984
Rent YoY
▼ -2.36%
Metro
Sherman-Denison, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $103,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-19 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-12-29 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-12-29 Price Changed $159,500 NTREIS
  • 2025-05-28 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2024-11-12 Listed $195,000 NTREIS
  • 2015-03-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-10-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-10-26 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2007-09-28 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2007-08-03 Listed $78,500 NTREIS
  • 2001-12-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,216 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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