2120 N Hickory St · Sherman, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$103,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Corner lot, recently updated with fresh paint both interior and exterior, recent flooring, bath and kitchen updated, roof 2005, ch & a, Everything has been done, move in ready. New kitchen stove to remain.
Key facts
- 8,821 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1959
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Accepts cash and conventional financing; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage; 1 covered parking space (garage faces front)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; All-weather road access
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story (entry on main level); Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1959; Wood construction; Composition roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Six total rooms; One living area; One dining area
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $103k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $276 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $103k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.7% in Sherman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,027 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
- Sherman ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #546 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fairview El (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 294 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 60% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 636 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $712 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.49%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $197,755
- List price
- $103,000
- Delta
- -47.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2419 N Shannon St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (+2%) | 4mo | $99,999 | $96 | 84 |
| 2121 N Alexander St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (+10%) | 6mo | $189,000 | $168 | 72 |
| 2221 N Alexander St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,122 (+10%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $174 | 71 |
| 224 W Dexter St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,130 (+11%) | 6mo | $209,000 | $185 | 66 |
| 1706 N Shannon St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,066 (+4%) | 9mo | $141,500 | $133 | 65 |
| 1718 N Ricketts St | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,048 (+3%) | 12mo | $169,900 | $162 | 58 |
| 705 E Lamberth Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,028 (+1%) | 6mo | $108,000 | $105 | 56 |
| 1706 N Ricketts St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,106 (+8%) | 8mo | $129,900 | $117 | 53 |
| 1517 N Highland Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+8%) | 5mo | $179,000 | $163 | 51 |
| 404 E Orange St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 927 (-9%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $81 | 45 |
| 1518 N Ricketts St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+12%) | 9mo | $189,900 | $166 | 40 |
| 1234 N Travis St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,169 (+14%) | 11mo | $195,000 | $167 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-3,174
- Equity at exit
- $15,358
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $4,162
- Equity at exit
- $8,906
Cash invested: $28,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75092
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 636
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,427 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$540
- Tax from tax record
- −$268 /mo · $3,216/yr
- Insurance
- −$43
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $276
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $334 | -5% $305 | +0% $276 | +5% $247 | +10% $218 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $163 | -5% $220 | +0% $276 | +5% $333 | +10% $389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $328 | -0.5pp $302 | base $276 | +0.5pp $250 | +1.0pp $222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,750
- Closing costs
- $3,090
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 W Burton St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2222 N Hickory St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2309 N Hickory St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 951 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 411 W Pelton St Unit B Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,025 | $1.01 | 22d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2409 Hickory St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2407 N Shannon St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $1,495 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 221 W Taylor St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 917 | $1,425 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1916 N Alexander St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,575 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 302 W Pelton St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 958 | $1,450 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 110-112 W Fairview St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1615 N Alexander St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $950 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1706 N Ricketts St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1809 Park Pl Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,425 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1811 Park Pl Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,425 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1312 N Travis St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1086 | $1,325 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1200 W Taylor St Sherman, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 814 | $849 | $1.04 | 22d | 42 | 0.73mi |
| 1420 Park Pl Unit 001 Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1420 Park Pl Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1350 W Taylor St Sherman, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1153 | $2,250 | $1.95 | 22d | 129 | 0.76mi |
| 3018 Serenity Ln Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,825 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1404 Park Pl Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 717 E Lamberth Rd Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 907 W Birge St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 822 W Fischer St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 820 N Sam Rayburn Fwy Unit 204 Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1027 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3114 Rex Cruse Dr Sherman, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,260 | $1.43 | 22d | 9 | 0.96mi |
| 814 W College St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 823 N Branch St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 916 N Throckmorton St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 301 E Brockett St Unit 100 Sherman, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1169 | $1,400 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 614 E College St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 914 W Washington St Unit F Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1287 | $1,165 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 620 N Walnut St Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 608 E College St Unit 608 Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,325 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 607 E Carter St Unit 609 Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 609 E Carter St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 524-526 N Woods St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,445 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 930 W Freeman St Sherman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,499 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 211 E Canyon Grove Rd Knollwood, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $1,650 | $1.73 | 22d | 10 | 1.16mi |
| 1509 N Grant Dr Sherman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-30$103,000 Active 568-char remark
-
2026-01-19historical
-
2025-12-29status Active
-
2025-12-29price $159,500
-
2025-05-28status Active
-
2024-11-12$195,000 Active
-
2015-03-18soldstatus
-
2007-10-29soldstatus
-
2007-10-26soldstatus
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Corner lot, recently updated with fresh paint both interior and exterior, recent flooring, bath and kitchen updated, roof 2005, ch & a, Everything has been done, move in ready. New kitchen stove to remain.
-
2007-09-28historical
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Corner lot, recently updated with fresh paint both interior and exterior, recent flooring, bath and kitchen updated, roof 2005, ch & a, Everything has been done, move in ready. New kitchen stove to remain.
-
2007-08-03$78,500
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Corner lot, recently updated with fresh paint both interior and exterior, recent flooring, bath and kitchen updated, roof 2005, ch & a, Everything has been done, move in ready. New kitchen stove to remain.
-
2001-12-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,216 · $268/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,216 · $268/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,123
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,770
- − Property taxes
- −$3,216
- − Insurance
- −$515
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,370
- − Management
- −$1,370
- − Depreciation
- −$2,996
- Taxable income
- $1,886
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$453
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sherman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840080
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,587
- Composite
- 28.79/100
- National rank
- #6665
- State rank
- #546 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sherman
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1027
- US rank
- #18243
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sherman, TX
- County
- Grayson County · 108,053 people
- City population
- 54,936
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,342
- Household income
- $68,036
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1278.0
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.47%
- Current HPI
- 235.984
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.36%
- Metro
- Sherman-Denison, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+31.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $103,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-19 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-12-29 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-12-29 Price Changed $159,500 NTREIS
- 2025-05-28 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2024-11-12 Listed $195,000 NTREIS
- 2015-03-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-10-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-10-26 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2007-09-28 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2007-08-03 Listed $78,500 NTREIS
- 2001-12-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,216 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…