507 E Houston St · Marshall, TX 75670

$27,000

7 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,190 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 86 Days on market

Built 1920 7,100 sqft lot ↓ 40% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Investor Special !! This 2-story home has 7 bedrooms and 3 baths, a kitchen downstairs and upstairs. Priced to Sale.

Key facts

• 7,100 sq ft lot
• Built 1920
• Listed 86 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot size listed as 0.163 acres (to be determined by survey)

Exterior

• Parking: On-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential single-family home; 2 stories
• Exterior features: Composition roof

Interior

• Bedrooms: Total rooms: 10
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Window cooling unit(s); Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Electric water heater; Window cooling unit(s); Ceiling fans

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 7-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $27k).
• Recommended offer: $25k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 52.6% vs local median 4.5% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#451 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Marshall ISD (town): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #658 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Marshall J H (math 30% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 1,105 students, 76% FRL).
• Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $187 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $810 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $25,380 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 5.76% ✓
• Cap rate: 52.65%
• Cash-on-cash: 165.55%
• DSCR: 8.37
• GRM: 1.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 9.21×
• Total profit: $62,076
• Equity at exit: $4,026

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 19.48×
• Total profit: $139,687
• Equity at exit: $2,334

Cash invested: $7,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75670

• Home prices YoY: -33.8%
• Active inventory: 144
• Price-to-rent: 1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,556 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$142
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$34 /mo · $405/yr
• Insurance: −$11
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$327
• Net cashflow: $1,043

Break-even live

Break-even rent $236

Max offer price $27,000

Occupancy floor 28%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,062	-5% $1,052	+0% $1,043	+5% $1,034	+10% $1,024
Rent	-10% $920	-5% $982	+0% $1,043	+5% $1,104	+10% $1,166
Rate	-1.0pp $1,057	-0.5pp $1,050	base $1,043	+0.5pp $1,036	+1.0pp $1,029

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $6,750
• Closing costs: $810
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-04-29
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-24
   status Active
3. 2026-04-24
   price $27,000
4. 2025-11-18
   status Active
5. 2025-10-06
   status Pending
6. 2025-07-17
   listed $45,000 Active
7. 2025-06-23
   soldstatus
8. 2014-03-21
   soldstatus
9. 2005-10-21
   soldstatus
10. 2000-11-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,677
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,512
• − Property taxes: −$405
• − Insurance: −$135
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,494
• − Management: −$1,494
• − Depreciation: −$785
• Taxable income: $12,851
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,084
• After-tax cash flow: $9,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marshall ISD
• NCES district ID: 4829160
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $40,095
• Composite: 24.43/100
• National rank: #7680
• State rank: #658 of 826 in TX

Livability — Marshall

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #451
• US rank: #9156

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Marshall, TX
• County: Harrison County · 18,670 people
• City population: 18,670
• Metro: Longview, TX
• Population (ZIP): 18,670
• Household income: $42,386
• Rent vs Own: 40.9% rent · 59.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 598.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 68,691 people
• By 2030: 69,317 · +0.9%
• By 2040: 69,973 · +1.9%
• By 2050: 70,090 · +2.0%
• By 2075: 70,607 · +2.8%
• By 2100: 67,546 · -1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 39% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 11%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 22%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -51.33%
• Current HPI: 100.3741
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Longview, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-40.0% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-29 Pending — LAAR
• 2026-04-24 Relisted — LAAR
• 2026-04-24 Price Changed $27,000 LAAR
• 2025-11-18 Relisted — LAAR
• 2025-10-06 Pending — LAAR
• 2025-07-17 Listed $45,000 LAAR
• 2025-06-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2014-03-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2005-10-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2000-11-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,103 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.