3444 Dundee Ln · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Ample parking
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family house; One level; Fixer condition; Living area reported from public records
- Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Building area about 2,482 (reported)
- Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.26 acre
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Fireplace in den and living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oak Forest Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 318 students, 100% FRL); Cardozo Middle School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #168 of 179 statewide, top 94%, 625 students, 100% FRL); Forest Hill High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 991 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.57%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $163,812
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3142 Bienville Dr | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,262 (-9%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $66 | 40 |
| 3331 Fleetwood Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 2,212 (-11%) | 22mo | $50,000 | $23 | 39 |
| 3204 Bienville Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,152 (-13%) | 8mo | $162,000 | $75 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-19,087
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-551
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39212
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,496 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $101
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $197 | -5% $149 | +0% $101 | +5% $54 | +10% $6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-17 | -5% $42 | +0% $101 | +5% $160 | +10% $220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $186 | -0.5pp $144 | base $101 | +0.5pp $58 | +1.0pp $13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,425 | $0.67 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,425 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 296 Woodcliff Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2242 | $1,756 | $0.78 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-08$169,000 Active
-
2024-02-07soldstatus Closed 21-char remark
Show marketing remark (21 chars)
3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS
-
2024-02-06soldstatus
-
2024-01-17status Pending 21-char remark
Show marketing remark (21 chars)
3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS
-
2024-01-15price $60,900 21-char remark
Show marketing remark (21 chars)
3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS
-
2024-01-03price $63,900 21-char remark
Show marketing remark (21 chars)
3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS
-
2023-12-11price $66,900 21-char remark
Show marketing remark (21 chars)
3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS
-
2023-12-01$69,900 Active 21-char remark
Show marketing remark (21 chars)
3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS
-
2021-03-30soldstatus
-
2013-12-30soldstatus 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
4 bedrooms 3 full baths. Approximately 2482 s.f. House was originally a 3/2 but the garage was enclosed and a full bath and fireplace was added. Property now has two master suites. Den with woodburning fireplace, kitchen with breakfast area, office, laundry room, and formal dining/living combo. Private backyard with detached storge room and covered patio.
-
2013-12-23soldstatus
-
2013-12-05$42,900 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
4 bedrooms 3 full baths. Approximately 2482 s.f. House was originally a 3/2 but the garage was enclosed and a full bath and fireplace was added. Property now has two master suites. Den with woodburning fireplace, kitchen with breakfast area, office, laundry room, and formal dining/living combo. Private backyard with detached storge room and covered patio.
-
2006-07-26soldstatus
-
2006-06-05soldstatus
-
2006-05-16$94,900
-
1999-10-19soldstatus
-
1997-07-25soldstatus
-
1972-05-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,484 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,950
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$1,484
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,436
- − Management
- −$1,436
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable loss
- −$1,634
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$392
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,608/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,659
- Household income
- $50,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1314.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.01%
- Current HPI
- 174.4025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+78.1% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-05-08 Listed $169,000 MLSU
- 2024-02-07 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2024-02-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-01-17 Pending — MLSU
- 2024-01-15 Price Changed $60,900 MLSU
- 2024-01-03 Price Changed $63,900 MLSU
- 2023-12-11 Price Changed $66,900 MLSU
- 2023-12-01 Listed $69,900 MLSU
- 2021-03-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-12-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-12-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-12-05 Listed $42,900 MLSU
- 2006-07-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-06-05 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2006-05-16 Listed $94,900 MLSU
- 1999-10-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-07-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1972-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,484 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…