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3444 Dundee Ln
D Composite 42.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

3444 Dundee Ln · Jackson, MS 39212
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,482 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1972 0.26 ac lot Est $164k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Ample parking
  • New flooring

Tags

SPACIOUS YARDAMPLE PARKINGFULLY UPDATED INTERIORNEW FLOORINGNEW CABINETRYUPDATED SINKS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pad for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level; Fixer condition; Living area reported from public records
  • Construction: Brick veneer and wood siding exterior; Slab foundation; Building area about 2,482 (reported)
  • Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Lot approximately 0.26 acre

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring; Fireplace in den and living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (11.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Oak Forest Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 318 students, 100% FRL); Cardozo Middle School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #168 of 179 statewide, top 94%, 625 students, 100% FRL); Forest Hill High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #168 of 197 statewide, top 86%, 991 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,583 (11.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.57%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$163,812
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3142 Bienville Dr 0.71mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,262 (-9%) 8mo $150,000 $66 40
3331 Fleetwood Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 2,212 (-11%) 22mo $50,000 $23 39
3204 Bienville Dr 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,152 (-13%) 8mo $162,000 $75 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-19,087
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-551
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39212

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,496 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,484/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$101

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,368
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $197 -5% $149 +0% $101 +5% $54 +10% $6
Rent -10% $-17 -5% $42 +0% $101 +5% $160 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $186 -0.5pp $144 base $101 +0.5pp $58 +1.0pp $13

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1606 $1,600 $1.00 45d 1 1.13mi
2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,400 $0.78 25d 1 1.18mi
3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,150 $0.72 25d 1 1.33mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2137 $1,425 $0.67 15d 1 1.44mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2137 $1,425 $0.67 45d 1 1.44mi
296 Woodcliff Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 2242 $1,756 $0.78 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $169,000 Active
  3. 2024-02-07
    soldstatus Closed 21-char remark
    Show marketing remark (21 chars)

    3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS

  4. 2024-02-06
    soldstatus
  5. 2024-01-17
    status Pending 21-char remark
    Show marketing remark (21 chars)

    3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS

  6. 2024-01-15
    price $60,900 21-char remark
    Show marketing remark (21 chars)

    3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS

  7. 2024-01-03
    price $63,900 21-char remark
    Show marketing remark (21 chars)

    3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS

  8. 2023-12-11
    price $66,900 21-char remark
    Show marketing remark (21 chars)

    3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS

  9. 2023-12-01
    listed $69,900 Active 21-char remark
    Show marketing remark (21 chars)

    3/2 Fixer Sold AS IS

  10. 2021-03-30
    soldstatus
  11. 2013-12-30
    soldstatus 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    4 bedrooms 3 full baths. Approximately 2482 s.f. House was originally a 3/2 but the garage was enclosed and a full bath and fireplace was added. Property now has two master suites. Den with woodburning fireplace, kitchen with breakfast area, office, laundry room, and formal dining/living combo. Private backyard with detached storge room and covered patio.

  12. 2013-12-23
    soldstatus
  13. 2013-12-05
    listed $42,900 357-char remark
    Show marketing remark (357 chars)

    4 bedrooms 3 full baths. Approximately 2482 s.f. House was originally a 3/2 but the garage was enclosed and a full bath and fireplace was added. Property now has two master suites. Den with woodburning fireplace, kitchen with breakfast area, office, laundry room, and formal dining/living combo. Private backyard with detached storge room and covered patio.

  14. 2006-07-26
    soldstatus
  15. 2006-06-05
    soldstatus
  16. 2006-05-16
    listed $94,900
  17. 1999-10-19
    soldstatus
  18. 1997-07-25
    soldstatus
  19. 1972-05-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,484 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,484 · $124/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,950
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$1,484
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,436
− Management
−$1,436
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable loss
−$1,634
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$392
After-tax cash flow
$1,608/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,659
Household income
$50,722
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.01%
Current HPI
174.4025
Rent YoY
▲ 4.23%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+78.1% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $169,000 MLSU
  • 2024-02-07 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2024-02-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-01-17 Pending MLSU
  • 2024-01-15 Price Changed $60,900 MLSU
  • 2024-01-03 Price Changed $63,900 MLSU
  • 2023-12-11 Price Changed $66,900 MLSU
  • 2023-12-01 Listed $69,900 MLSU
  • 2021-03-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-12-30 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2013-12-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-12-05 Listed $42,900 MLSU
  • 2006-07-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-06-05 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2006-05-16 Listed $94,900 MLSU
  • 1999-10-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-07-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1972-05-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,484 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…