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15326 Dorchester Ave
C+ Composite 63.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.9/15.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

15326 Dorchester Ave · Dolton, IL 60419
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,076 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1961 5,564 sqft lot Est $138k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN AN AFFORDABLE SINGLE FAMILY HOME IN THE DOLTON AREA. PROPERTY IS AVAILABLE FOR TRADITIONAL FHA FINANCING AND ELIGIBLE FOR 203K. FHA CASE #137-301750 . SOLD AS-IS. "IE" REPAIR ESCROW $2850. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY.

Key facts

  • Ample counter space
  • Fresh paint
  • Newer carpet

Tags

NEWER CARPETFRESH PAINTEAT-IN KITCHENWHITE CABINETRYAMPLE COUNTER SPACEPARTIALLY FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: Fee simple; Possession at closing; Some photos are virtually staged
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (owned), 2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Water: Lake Michigan / Public; Sewer: Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family ranch; One-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built before 1978 (age 61–70 years)
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 52 x 107; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Directions: Sibley Blvd to Dorchester, south to home

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (main level, about 13 x 13)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (main level); Two additional bedrooms (main level) — each about 11 x 10
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Family room; Living room; Dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (about 6 x 3)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $670 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,333/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $155k implies a 620% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $155,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
11.48%
Cash-on-cash
18.51%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$137,728
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1340 Prince Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,066 (-1%) 2mo $160,000 $150 82
1138 E 151st St 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,056 (-2%) 2mo $210,000 $199 73
15539 Minerva Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,050 (-2%) 2mo $134,000 $128 72
15043 Meadow Ln 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,151 (+7%) 1mo $130,000 $113 71
15634 Avalon Ave 0.43mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,029 (-4%) 1mo $115,000 $112 65
15722 Woodlawn East Ave 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,015 (-6%) 1mo $101,000 $100 62
15223 Cottage Grove Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,099 (+2%) 3mo $172,000 $157 59
14842 Shepard Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,141 (+6%) 2mo $135,000 $118 58
14738 Blackstone Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,017 (-6%) 1mo $150,000 $147 56
14731 Kimbark Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,017 (-6%) 2mo $115,000 $113 54
15321 Ellis Ave 0.45mi 3/2.5 1,224 (+14%) 4mo $135,000 $110 47
15505 Drexel Ave 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+12%) 2mo $205,000 $171 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$29,955
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
4.17×
Total profit
$137,513
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60419

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,333 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$296 /mo · $3,555/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$670

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL 4.0 1.5 1487 $2,146 $1.44 7d 1 0.23mi
660 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,750 $1.25 3d 1 0.60mi
14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 10d 1 0.74mi
659 Paxton Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 2.0 1255 $2,461 $1.96 10d 1 0.76mi
409 Madison Ave Unit 2 Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,795 $1.50 3d 1 0.76mi
14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,800 $2.24 19d 1 0.79mi
16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1136 $3,330 $2.93 6d 1 0.82mi
405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 973 $2,300 $2.36 1d 1 0.89mi
14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 6d 1 0.94mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 24d 1 1.05mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 7d 1 1.05mi
14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1418 $2,500 $1.76 24d 1 1.05mi
14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 980 $2,430 $2.48 22d 1 1.15mi
14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 18d 1 1.15mi
1860 State St Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 17d 1 1.17mi
16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,170 $2.54 1d 1 1.24mi
460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 13d 1 1.26mi
460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 7d 1 1.26mi
15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 10d 1 1.29mi
671 Saginaw Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,276 $1.82 10d 1 1.32mi
14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 24d 1 1.36mi
250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 875 $1,465 $1.67 7d 1 1.38mi
1601 Downs Dr Unit 3S Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,400 $1.87 24d 1 1.45mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 11d 1 1.45mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 22d 1 1.45mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 19d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on marketlisting id $155,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 215 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 214 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 213 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 210 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 209 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 208 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 207 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 206 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $160,000
  16. 2026-04-18
    price $165,000
  17. 2026-03-27
    price $170,000
  18. 2026-02-27
    price $175,000
  19. 2026-01-30
    price $180,000
  20. 2026-01-20
    price $186,000
  21. 2026-01-16
    price $183,000
  22. 2026-01-09
    price $186,000
  23. 2025-12-05
    price $192,000
  24. 2025-11-06
    listed $200,000 Active
  25. 2013-11-15
    soldstatus $21,515 Closed Sale 250-char remark
    Show marketing remark (250 chars)

    GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN AN AFFORDABLE SINGLE FAMILY HOME IN THE DOLTON AREA. PROPERTY IS AVAILABLE FOR TRADITIONAL FHA FINANCING AND ELIGIBLE FOR 203K. FHA CASE #137-301750 . SOLD AS-IS. "IE" REPAIR ESCROW $2850. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY.

  26. 2013-10-24
    status Pending 250-char remark
    Show marketing remark (250 chars)

    GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN AN AFFORDABLE SINGLE FAMILY HOME IN THE DOLTON AREA. PROPERTY IS AVAILABLE FOR TRADITIONAL FHA FINANCING AND ELIGIBLE FOR 203K. FHA CASE #137-301750 . SOLD AS-IS. "IE" REPAIR ESCROW $2850. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY.

  27. 2013-08-27
    listed $21,500 New 250-char remark
    Show marketing remark (250 chars)

    GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN AN AFFORDABLE SINGLE FAMILY HOME IN THE DOLTON AREA. PROPERTY IS AVAILABLE FOR TRADITIONAL FHA FINANCING AND ELIGIBLE FOR 203K. FHA CASE #137-301750 . SOLD AS-IS. "IE" REPAIR ESCROW $2850. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY.

  28. 2009-10-13
    historical
  29. 2009-07-07
    price Price Change
  30. 2009-07-07
    listed New
  31. 2009-06-25
    historical
  32. 2008-11-18
    listed
  33. 1996-12-20
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,555 · $296/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,555 · $296/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,999
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$3,555
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,240
− Management
−$2,240
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$5,997
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,439
After-tax cash flow
$6,595/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

Score
74/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dolton, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
20,825
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,825
Household income
$57,887
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
193.2346
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+158.1% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $160,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $165,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $170,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $175,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $180,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $186,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $183,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $186,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $192,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $200,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-15 Sold (MLS) $21,515 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-24 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-08-27 Listed $21,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-10-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-07 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-07 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-06-25 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-11-18 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,555 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…