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4177 22nd St N
C Composite 59.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$110,000

4177 22nd St N · Birmingham, AL 35207
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,218 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1920 7,840 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or investor! This updated home is move-in ready and offers comfort, convenience, and value. Currently tenant-occupied and generating rental income, making it an excellent investment property or future primary residence. Don't miss your chance to own this well-maintained home!

Key facts

  • 7,840 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 16 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (2.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (2.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $110k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,996 (2.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
5.97%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$71,862
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2270 Smithfield Ln N 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,226 (+1%) 4mo $105,000 $86 59
2808 38th Ave N 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-3%) 11mo $20,000 $17 54
4005 N 28th Pl 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,227 (+1%) 24mo $72,000 $59 44
2228 Belmore Ln 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,059 (-13%) 18mo $122,500 $116 40
4025 28th Way 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,358 (+12%) 21mo $24,900 $18 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
3.26×
Total profit
$69,650
Equity at exit
$99,097
10-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
7.41×
Total profit
$197,375
Equity at exit
$213,706

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35207

Home prices YoY
18.7%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,070 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $831/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$153

Break-even live

Break-even rent $876
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $216 -5% $184 +0% $153 +5% $122 +10% $91
Rent -10% $69 -5% $111 +0% $153 +5% $196 +10% $238
Rate -1.0pp $209 -0.5pp $181 base $153 +0.5pp $125 +1.0pp $96

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2015 36th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1468 $1,190 $0.81 24d 1 0.76mi
1709 36th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 970 $1,350 $1.39 44d 1 0.91mi
1721 35th Ave N Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1184 $875 $0.74 44d 1 0.96mi
2129 30th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,000 $0.96 44d 1 1.12mi
3732 4th St W Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1185 $900 $0.76 44d 1 1.14mi
3016 33rd Ct N Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,100 $1.09 44d 1 1.22mi
1625 29th Ave N Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1140 $1,200 $1.05 16d 1 1.36mi
537 37th Ter W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,000 $0.94 44d 1 1.37mi
3417 4th St W Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,000 $0.78 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    remarks 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Great opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or investor! This updated home is move-in ready and offers comfort, convenience, and value. Currently tenant-occupied and generating rental income, making it an excellent investment property or future primary residence. Don't miss your chance to own this well-maintained home!

  11. 2026-06-02
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Great opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or investor! This updated home is move-in ready and offers comfort, convenience, and value. Currently tenant-occupied and generating rental income, making it an excellent investment property or future primary residence. Don't miss your chance to own this well-maintained home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$831 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$831 · $69/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,840
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$831
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,027
− Management
−$1,027
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$43
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$10
After-tax cash flow
$1,830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
City population
210,422
Population (ZIP)
6,824

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 35.95%
Current HPI
228.5664
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-03-17 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-03-04 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-01-26 Price Changed $34,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-07-11 Price Changed $39,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-03-15 Listed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2008-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $831 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…