4177 22nd St N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or investor! This updated home is move-in ready and offers comfort, convenience, and value. Currently tenant-occupied and generating rental income, making it an excellent investment property or future primary residence. Don't miss your chance to own this well-maintained home!
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 16 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (2.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $107k (2.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $110k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.97%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $71,862
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2270 Smithfield Ln N | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,226 (+1%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $86 | 59 |
| 2808 38th Ave N | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-3%) | 11mo | $20,000 | $17 | 54 |
| 4005 N 28th Pl | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,227 (+1%) | 24mo | $72,000 | $59 | 44 |
| 2228 Belmore Ln | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,059 (-13%) | 18mo | $122,500 | $116 | 40 |
| 4025 28th Way | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,358 (+12%) | 21mo | $24,900 | $18 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $69,650
- Equity at exit
- $99,097
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.41×
- Total profit
- $197,375
- Equity at exit
- $213,706
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35207
- Home prices YoY
- 18.7%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,070 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $831/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $153
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $216 | -5% $184 | +0% $153 | +5% $122 | +10% $91 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $69 | -5% $111 | +0% $153 | +5% $196 | +10% $238 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $209 | -0.5pp $181 | base $153 | +0.5pp $125 | +1.0pp $96 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 36th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1468 | $1,190 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1709 36th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1721 35th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $875 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2129 30th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3732 4th St W Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $900 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3016 33rd Ct N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1625 29th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 537 37th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3417 4th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,000 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Great opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or investor! This updated home is move-in ready and offers comfort, convenience, and value. Currently tenant-occupied and generating rental income, making it an excellent investment property or future primary residence. Don't miss your chance to own this well-maintained home!
-
2026-06-02$110,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Great opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or investor! This updated home is move-in ready and offers comfort, convenience, and value. Currently tenant-occupied and generating rental income, making it an excellent investment property or future primary residence. Don't miss your chance to own this well-maintained home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $831 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $831 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,840
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$831
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,027
- − Management
- −$1,027
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $43
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- City population
- 210,422
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,824
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 35.95%
- Current HPI
- 228.5664
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+66.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-03-17 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-03-04 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-01-26 Price Changed $34,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-07-11 Price Changed $39,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-03-15 Listed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2008-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $831 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…