CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2837 Wilder Loop NE
D Composite 43.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$335,000

2837 Wilder Loop NE · Rio Rancho, NM 87144
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 2018 4,356 sqft lot Est $368k · 9% under $23/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Modern comfort meets outdoor living in this beautifully maintained Hidden Valley home! Step inside to an open and airy floor plan featuring wood-look flooring, soaring ceilings, custom niches, and abundant natural light throughout. The stylish kitchen offers granite countertops, subway tile backsplash, stainless steel appliances, recessed lighting, pantry storage, and stunning staggered white cabinetry with crown molding. The thoughtful layout offers spacious living areas and comfortable bedrooms designed for both everyday living and entertaining. Refrigerated air adds year-round comfort and convenience.

Key facts

  • Wood-look flooring
  • Custom niches
  • Open floor plan

Tags

OUTDOOR LIVINGOPEN FLOOR PLANWOOD-LOOK FLOORINGSOARING CEILINGSCUSTOM NICHESNATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with semi-annual fee covering common areas

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Built by Raylee
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Sprinkler/irrigation system; Covered patio; Shed(s); Wall fencing; Landscaped lot; Planned unit development; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in gas range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air, natural gas); Refrigerated cooling
  • Interior features: Great room; Main level primary bedroom; Dual sinks; Separate shower; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Double pane and insulated windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-141 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (7.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (23.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $256k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.6% in Rio Rancho — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#17 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • Rio Rancho Public Schools (suburban): math 48% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #4 of 29 in NM (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Enchanted Hills Elementary (723 students, 15% FRL); Rio Rancho Middle School (1,143 students, 24% FRL); Cleveland High School (math 46% / reading 70%, grade C, #32 of 110 statewide, top 28%, 2,631 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools average 19% FRL vs 36% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 1325 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,278 units permitted in Sandoval County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sandoval County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $255,601 (23.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.81%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$368,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2807 Cambridge Ave NE 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,436 (+3%) 1mo $340,000 $237 84
2721 Wilder Loop NE 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,244 (-11%) 0mo $317,700 $255 72
2621 Eglisfield Loop 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,420 (+1%) 2mo $394,490 $278 60
2633 Eglisfield Loop NE 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,420 (+1%) 1mo $407,090 $287 60
2641 Eglisfield Loop NE 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,420 (+1%) 0mo $379,990 $268 60
1510 Gleneagles St NE 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,420 (+1%) 2mo $374,990 $264 59
2528 Camino Azul Loop 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,337 (-4%) 2mo $383,560 $287 58
2613 Eglisfield Loop NE 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,519 (+8%) 1mo $399,990 $263 49
2625 Eglisfield Loop NE 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,602 (+14%) 1mo $409,990 $256 44
1518 E Gleneagles St 0.68mi 4/2.0 1,602 (+14%) 1mo $406,990 $254 44
1513 Gleneagles St NE 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,602 (+14%) 0mo $399,990 $250 43
1521 Gleneagles St NE 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,602 (+14%) 1mo $399,990 $250 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-52,965
Equity at exit
$49,950
10-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-11,842
Equity at exit
$28,965

Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87144

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Rents YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
1325
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,556 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,757
Tax from tax record
$241 /mo · $2,893/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$23
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$537
Net cashflow
$-141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,735
Max offer price $310,061
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $48 -5% $-46 +0% $-141 +5% $-236 +10% $-331
Rent -10% $-343 -5% $-242 +0% $-141 +5% $-40 +10% $61
Rate -1.0pp $28 -0.5pp $-56 base $-141 +0.5pp $-228 +1.0pp $-316

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,750
Closing costs
$10,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2593 Eglisfield Loop NE Rio Rancho, NM 3.0 2.0 1446 $2,100 $1.45 45d 1 0.64mi
2590 Camino Plata Loop NE Rio Rancho, NM 3.0 2.0 1694 $2,600 $1.53 45d 1 0.65mi
2313 Melon Ridge Loop NE Rio Rancho, NM 3.0 2.0 1502 $3,200 $2.13 45d 1 1.06mi
3716 Rancher Loop NE Rio Rancho, NM 4.0 2.0 1680 $2,100 $1.25 3d 1 1.07mi
2600 Idalia Rd NE Rio Rancho, NM 3.0 2.0 1750 $2,500 $1.43 4d 1 1.25mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$23 · $276/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $335,000 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $335,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $335,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $335,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $335,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-05-21
    listed $335,000 Active
  7. 2021-07-19
    soldstatus
  8. 2021-06-07
    status Pending
  9. 2021-06-03
    listed $247,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,893 · $241/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,893 · $241/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,672
− Mortgage interest
−$18,765
− Property taxes
−$2,893
− Insurance
−$1,675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,454
− Management
−$2,454
− HOA
−$276
− Depreciation
−$9,745
Taxable loss
−$7,590
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,822
After-tax cash flow
$127/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rio Rancho Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500010
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 38.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▲ 48.00%
Median HH income
$59,410
Composite
52.29/100
National rank
#1595
State rank
#4 of 29 in NM

Livability — Rio Rancho

Score
71/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#7253

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A Crime C+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rio Rancho, NM
County
Sandoval County · 110,336 people
City population
110,336
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
Population (ZIP)
51,837
Household income
$94,550
Rent vs Own
13.8% rent · 86.2% own
Severe rent burden
528.0

Population outlook (Sandoval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
155,072 people
By 2030
161,714 · +4.3%
By 2040
171,831 · +10.8%
By 2050
178,536 · +15.1%
By 2075
192,517 · +24.1%
By 2100
197,952 · +27.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 24% Native American 4% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 16%

Political lean MEDSL · Sandoval

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.8) · D 51.8% · R 46.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 5.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+2.7 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.68%
Current HPI
215.124
Rent YoY
▲ 6.88%
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+35.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $335,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2021-07-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-06-07 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2021-06-03 Listed $247,000 Southwest MLS

Property tax history

+54.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,893 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…