7842 Saint Bridget Ln · Dundalk, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully Maintained and Move-In Ready Under $200K! Step into this charming row home featuring upgraded counters and luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main level, with gleaming hardwood floors in the bedrooms. The spa-like walk-in shower adds a touch of modern elegance. Enjoy the bonus room off the kitchen, perfect for an office or cozy den, which opens to your private, fenced backyard—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. A fantastic opportunity for a first-time home buyer or someone looking to downsize, this move-in ready home combines comfort, style, and value in one perfect package.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1956
- Listed 55 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.2% in Dundalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in MD, #510 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $190k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.90%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,856
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -0.50%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7819 Saint Bridget Ln | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+4%) | 3mo | $219,900 | $172 | 89 |
| 7904 Saint Monica Dr | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-7%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $114 | 78 |
| 7842 Saint Boniface Ln | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,319 (+7%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $129 | 78 |
| 7878 Saint Fabian Ln | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,280 (+4%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $180 | 76 |
| 7837 Saint Boniface Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+4%) | 15mo | $222,500 | $174 | 74 |
| 7966 Saint Claire Ln | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,408 (+14%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $138 | 57 |
| 7846 Saint Gregory | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+14%) | 21mo | $245,000 | $175 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-14,495
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-7,196
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21222
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,060 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,429/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $350
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7860 Saint Bridget Ln Dundalk, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $2,300 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 7860 Saint Claire Ln Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,200 | $2.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 7851 Saint Fabian Ln Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 7863 Saint Fabian Ln Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,950 | $1.37 | 5d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4004 St Monica Dr Unit 1 Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,895 | $1.85 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4004 Saint Monica Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,925 | $1.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 7412 Saint Patricia Ct Dundalk, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,800 | $2.73 | 18d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 11 Seabright Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,874 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1610 Melbourne Rd Dundalk, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 664 | $1,240 | $1.87 | 12d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 8146 Del Haven Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $2,700 | $1.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3413 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $2,000 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3427 North Point Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,250 | $2.23 | 20d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1925 Jasmine Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,825 | $1.78 | 11d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2004 Larkhall Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3314 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2025 Kelmore Rd Unit 1 Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $2,000 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3317 Belsford Ct Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,950 | $1.55 | 11d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3221 Wallford Dr Unit 3221 Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3221 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2032 Kelmore Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 8499 Lynch Rd Dundalk, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $2,202 | $2.32 | 2d | 32 | 1.09mi |
| 1930 Frames Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,099 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7962 Kavanagh Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,947 | $1.90 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7917 Wise Ave Dundalk, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3000 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $1,330 | $1.85 | 3d | 35 | 1.25mi |
| 2020 Dineen Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1258 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7930 Kavanagh Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $2,195 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7901 Stratman Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,647 | $1.85 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $189,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-25$199,900 Active 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Beautifully Maintained and Move-In Ready Under $200K! Step into this charming row home featuring upgraded counters and luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main level, with gleaming hardwood floors in the bedrooms. The spa-like walk-in shower adds a touch of modern elegance. Enjoy the bonus room off the kitchen, perfect for an office or cozy den, which opens to your private, fenced backyard—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. A fantastic opportunity for a first-time home buyer or someone looking to downsize, this move-in ready home combines comfort, style, and value in one perfect package.
-
2026-04-22historical $199,900 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Beautifully Maintained and Move-In Ready Under $200K! Step into this charming row home featuring upgraded counters and luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main level, with gleaming hardwood floors in the bedrooms. The spa-like walk-in shower adds a touch of modern elegance. Enjoy the bonus room off the kitchen, perfect for an office or cozy den, which opens to your private, fenced backyard—ideal for relaxing or entertaining. A fantastic opportunity for a first-time home buyer or someone looking to downsize, this move-in ready home combines comfort, style, and value in one perfect package.
-
2024-12-08historical $1,700
-
2024-11-14$1,700
-
2019-08-30soldstatus $110,000
-
1976-03-17soldstatus $20,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,429 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,429 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,723
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,429
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,978
- − Management
- −$1,978
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $1,227
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$295
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Dundalk
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dundalk, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 59,407
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,407
- Household income
- $64,141
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2566.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.44%
- Current HPI
- 228.4218
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.09%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+875.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-22 Coming Soon $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-12-08 Rental Removed $1,700 BRIGHTMLS
- 2024-11-14 Listed for Rent $1,700 BRIGHTMLS
- 2019-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 1976-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,429 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…