🌊 Lakefront
535 County Road 104 · Chesapeake, OH
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious Home with Acreage in Chesapeake! This diamond in the rough offers a great opportunity for someone looking for space inside and out. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a generously sized kitchen with plenty of room to entertain! Outside, you’ll find acreage that provides privacy and room to roam, along with a large garage that’s perfect for extra storage, or a workshop. With a little vision and TLC, this property has the potential to truly shine!
Key facts
- Large garage
- 4.18 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#39 in OH, #392 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Chesapeake Union Exempted Village (suburban): math 40% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #461 of 656 in OH (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $31k; list at $119k implies a 284% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.15%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $251,890
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -52.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $15,684
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $58,762
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45619
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,739 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $549
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-27status Active 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Spacious Home with Acreage in Chesapeake! This diamond in the rough offers a great opportunity for someone looking for space inside and out. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a generously sized kitchen with plenty of room to entertain! Outside, you’ll find acreage that provides privacy and room to roam, along with a large garage that’s perfect for extra storage, or a workshop. With a little vision and TLC, this property has the potential to truly shine!
-
2026-03-31status Pending 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Spacious Home with Acreage in Chesapeake! This diamond in the rough offers a great opportunity for someone looking for space inside and out. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a generously sized kitchen with plenty of room to entertain! Outside, you’ll find acreage that provides privacy and room to roam, along with a large garage that’s perfect for extra storage, or a workshop. With a little vision and TLC, this property has the potential to truly shine!
-
2026-03-14$119,000 Active 488-char remark
Show marketing remark (488 chars)
Spacious Home with Acreage in Chesapeake! This diamond in the rough offers a great opportunity for someone looking for space inside and out. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a generously sized kitchen with plenty of room to entertain! Outside, you’ll find acreage that provides privacy and room to roam, along with a large garage that’s perfect for extra storage, or a workshop. With a little vision and TLC, this property has the potential to truly shine!
-
1988-10-04soldstatus $31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,025 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,441 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$416/yr (+$35/mo · 40.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,872
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,025
- − Insurance
- −$1,392
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,670
- − Management
- −$1,670
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $4,987
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,197
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,386/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesapeake Union Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904529
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,731
- Composite
- 41.16/100
- National rank
- #3553
- State rank
- #461 of 656 in OH
Livability — Chesapeake
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #392
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lawrence · 57,020 people
- Metro
- Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,273
- Household income
- $57,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17.4
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,915 people
- By 2030
- 55,650 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 50,523 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 45,103 · -22.1%
- By 2075
- 32,441 · -44.0%
- By 2100
- 21,754 · -62.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.4% · R 74.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -50.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.15%
- Current HPI
- 170.5086
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+283.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2026-03-31 Pending — HBRMLS
- 2026-03-14 Listed $119,000 HBRMLS
- 1988-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,025 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…