3612 S State Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Explore this 2-Bedrooms 1-Bath house with great potential. Could be perfect for investors or buyers looking for a renovation opportunity. Rooms sizes are approximate and should be verified by buyer. Don't miss out!
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1939
- Listed 101 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.74%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,483
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -36.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1525 E Sumner Ave | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 640 (+8%) | 7mo | $83,000 | $130 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-3,626
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $10,431
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46227
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 245
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,231/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3765 S State Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3146 Asbury St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $850 | $1.17 | 7d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2948 Shelby St Unit D Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,025 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 920 E Markwood Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $949 | $1.13 | 7d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 2913 E Hanna Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2555 Shelby St Unit 2559 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $1,250 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3714 Bartlett Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $969 | $1.68 | 4d | 4 | 1.16mi |
| 2830 S East St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,200 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2525 Shelby St Unit 1 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $865 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 319-D126 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $960 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 339-C70 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 503 | $749 | $1.49 | 4d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 213-B38 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 503 | $758 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 209-B34 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 503 | $758 | $1.51 | 20d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 110-062 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $949 | $1.53 | 7d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 215-B43 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 503 | $756 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 109-013 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $1,029 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 115-044 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $999 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 110-064 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $961 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 320-C10 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 503 | $808 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 219-B53 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 503 | $707 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Unit 314-D59 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $1,011 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 360 Sandra Ln Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 562 | $1,494 | $2.66 | 12d | 9 | 1.23mi |
| 2525 Shelby St Unit 4 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $775 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2469 Dawson St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $949 | $1.36 | 3d | 4 | 1.23mi |
| 4020 Hanna Village Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,299 | $1.47 | 3d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 4100 Continental Ct Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 917 | $1,249 | $1.36 | 2d | 7 | 1.35mi |
| 4259 Burkhart Dr Unit 4265B Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $899 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4259 Burkhart Dr Unit 4175B Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $959 | $1.28 | 7d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4259 Burkhart Dr Unit 4175C Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,060 | $1.41 | 20d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4259 Burkhart Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,575 | $2.11 | 16d | 4 | 1.45mi |
| 1604 E Kelly St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,025 | $1.37 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 265 E Southern Ave Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 2d | 2 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $95,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $100,000 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Explore this 2-Bedrooms 1-Bath house with great potential. Could be perfect for investors or buyers looking for a renovation opportunity. Rooms sizes are approximate and should be verified by buyer. Don't miss out!
-
2026-04-06price $105,000 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Explore this 2-Bedrooms 1-Bath house with great potential. Could be perfect for investors or buyers looking for a renovation opportunity. Rooms sizes are approximate and should be verified by buyer. Don't miss out!
-
2026-03-08$115,000 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Explore this 2-Bedrooms 1-Bath house with great potential. Could be perfect for investors or buyers looking for a renovation opportunity. Rooms sizes are approximate and should be verified by buyer. Don't miss out!
-
2023-10-24soldstatus $74,900 Closed 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Explore this delightful 1-bedroom, 1-bath house in the sought-after University Heights neighborhood. Perfect for investors, it boasts low rehab requirements, hinting at potential returns. Enjoy the vibrant local community, proximity to amenities, and the allure of this Indiana treasure. This is your chance to own a piece of University Heights' charm, complete with a spacious yard for your outdoor enjoyment and an additional lot for added value!
-
2023-10-14status Pending 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Explore this delightful 1-bedroom, 1-bath house in the sought-after University Heights neighborhood. Perfect for investors, it boasts low rehab requirements, hinting at potential returns. Enjoy the vibrant local community, proximity to amenities, and the allure of this Indiana treasure. This is your chance to own a piece of University Heights' charm, complete with a spacious yard for your outdoor enjoyment and an additional lot for added value!
-
2023-10-10price $74,900 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Explore this delightful 1-bedroom, 1-bath house in the sought-after University Heights neighborhood. Perfect for investors, it boasts low rehab requirements, hinting at potential returns. Enjoy the vibrant local community, proximity to amenities, and the allure of this Indiana treasure. This is your chance to own a piece of University Heights' charm, complete with a spacious yard for your outdoor enjoyment and an additional lot for added value!
-
2023-09-15$89,900 Active 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Explore this delightful 1-bedroom, 1-bath house in the sought-after University Heights neighborhood. Perfect for investors, it boasts low rehab requirements, hinting at potential returns. Enjoy the vibrant local community, proximity to amenities, and the allure of this Indiana treasure. This is your chance to own a piece of University Heights' charm, complete with a spacious yard for your outdoor enjoyment and an additional lot for added value!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,231 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,231 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,669
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,231
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,014
- − Management
- −$1,014
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $850
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$204
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,120/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,587
- Household income
- $53,629
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3583.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Asian 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Philippines, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 9% Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -260.49%
- Current HPI
- 276.8271
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.46%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+11.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $100,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $105,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-08 Listed $115,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-24 Sold (MLS) $74,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-14 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-10 Price Changed $74,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-15 Listed $89,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+16.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,231 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…