17410 87th Ave SE #13 · Cathcart, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the potential of this 1987 manufactured home in Clearview East Mobile Park. Situated in a quiet, all-ages community with park-managed septic and convenient access to Highway 9, this 2-bedroom, 1.75-bath home offers a solid foundation for customization. Features include vaulted ceilings, ceiling fans, skylight, newer exterior paint, and a roof less than 10 years old. The primary suite includes a three-quarter bath and a walk-in closet. Offered as-is, the home would benefit from interior paint and updated flooring—providing an excellent opportunity to personalize the space. Additional highlights include a two-car carport and a modest backyard with a storage shed. A great chance
Key facts
- Newer exterior paint
- Vaulted ceilings
- Skylight
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 34.4% vs local median 2.2% in Cathcart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#452 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Snohomish School District (suburban): math 58% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #25 of 291 in WA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 100.52%
- DSCR
- 5.47
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,901
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -30.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17410 87th Ave #1 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+1%) | 13mo | $75,000 | $80 | 83 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.76×
- Total profit
- $91,906
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.01×
- Total profit
- $212,794
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98296
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,589 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $435/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$544
- Net cashflow
- $1,618
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,657 | -5% $1,638 | +0% $1,618 | +5% $1,599 | +10% $1,579 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,414 | -5% $1,516 | +0% $1,618 | +5% $1,721 | +10% $1,823 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,653 | -0.5pp $1,636 | base $1,618 | +0.5pp $1,601 | +1.0pp $1,582 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $69,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-08price $79,000
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2026-04-17$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $435 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $676 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$241/yr (+$20/mo · 55.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$435
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,485
- − Management
- −$2,485
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $19,444
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,667
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,755/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Snohomish School District
- NCES district ID
- 5308020
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,715
- Composite
- 59.21/100
- National rank
- #1934
- State rank
- #25 of 291 in WA
Livability — Cathcart
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #452
- US rank
- #18627
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cathcart, WA
- City population
- 27,201
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,201
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -915.99%
- Current HPI
- 348.9725
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-7.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $79,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Listed $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2026): $435 · +47.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…