466 Edmund Ave · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready, new windows, furnace, water heater, kitchen, doors, trim, hardwood, paint. New electrical, HVAC and plumbing systems. Seller can build a 2 car garage for additional 12k. Granite in the kitchen, hardwood throughout. Everything is new inside
Key facts
- 3,310 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking only
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Main level finished living area present
- Construction: Block foundation; Foundation area about 952; Total building area about 2,692
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot approximately 27 x 124 (0.076 acres)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Block foundation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $700 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 44 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,671/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 787% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.67%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $18,428
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $86,010
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55103
- Home prices YoY
- -9.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,671 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$391 /mo · $4,688/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$561
- Net cashflow
- $700
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 Western Ave N Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $3,700 | $3.53 | 1d | 23 | 0.64mi |
| 101 10th St E Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $2,490 | $2.81 | 2d | 25 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 51-char remark
-
2026-06-17$180,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,688 · $391/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,688 · $391/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,049
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$4,688
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,564
- − Management
- −$2,564
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $6,014
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,443
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,960/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,125
- Household income
- $48,390
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 787.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 34% Black 28% Asian 22% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Vietnam, Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 16% Spanish 5% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.28%
- Current HPI
- 327.7672
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.05%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+260.0% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $365,285 Public Records
- 2024-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $3,178,406 Public Records
- 2024-04-11 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-08 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-26 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-05 Price Changed $209,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-20 Listed $219,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $19,857,976 Public Records
- 2014-10-12 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-09 Sold (MLS) $125,000 LSAR
- 2014-10-09 Sold (MLS) $125,000 RASM
- 2014-10-09 Sold (MLS) $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-29 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-12 Listed $124,777 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-11 Listed $124,777 LSAR
- 2014-09-11 Listed $124,777 RASM
- 2011-04-08 Sold (MLS) $17,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-01 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-07 Listed $17,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-10-25 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-06-08 Listed $19,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2001-01-18 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-26 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-12 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,688 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…