🏷️ Likely Rental
263 Sykes Rd · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention Investors! 3 bedroom and 2 bath home leased for $800 per month. Spacious home with approx 1,904 sq ft. Living/dining room combo and separate den with fireplace. NO interior photos. Call your agent today!
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1954
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; House; One level
- Construction: Masonite construction; Conventional foundation; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Cable available
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Oven
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Linoleum; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace (see remarks); Aluminum window frames; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.2% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sykes Elementary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #319 of 375 statewide, top 88%, 325 students, 100% FRL); Whitten Middle School (math 4% / reading 11%, grade F, #168 of 179 statewide, top 94%, 338 students, 100% FRL); Wingfield High School (math 7% / reading 12%, grade F, #179 of 197 statewide, top 92%, 608 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.84%
- DSCR
- 3.53
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,584
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 Mikell St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,685 (-12%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $53 | 70 |
| 275 W Leavell Woods Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,864 (-2%) | 12mo | $97,500 | $52 | 67 |
| 201 S Sunset Ter | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,950 (+2%) | 22mo | $50,000 | $26 | 67 |
| 267 W Leavell Woods Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,747 (-8%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $46 | 64 |
| 210 Cooper Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (-10%) | 13mo | $14,700 | $9 | 57 |
| 3246 Beatrice Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,925 (+1%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $18 | 55 |
| 3925 Garland Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,859 (-2%) | 11mo | $39,900 | $21 | 53 |
| 3637 Sykes Park Dr | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,952 (+2%) | 14mo | $145,000 | $74 | 53 |
| 152 W Woodcrest Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,785 (-6%) | 16mo | $97,500 | $55 | 47 |
| 448 Cooper Rd | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,033 (+7%) | 23mo | $45,000 | $22 | 43 |
| 118 W Leavell Woods Dr | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,118 (+11%) | 17mo | $117,900 | $56 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $35,911
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 62.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.65×
- Total profit
- $93,138
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39212
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,370 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,630/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $663
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $1,575 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3511 Sykes Park Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,426 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 103 Sykes Park Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 140 Neatherwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,297 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3901 Walker Ave Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3147 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,306 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,306 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,425 | $0.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,425 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $950 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,236 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $1,100 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $1,575 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 843 Reaves St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,084 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-15status $50,000 Pending 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$50,000 Active
-
2021-10-08historical
-
2021-10-02historical
-
2010-08-18soldstatus
-
2010-01-21soldstatus
-
2009-09-27$22,000
-
2009-08-20soldstatus
-
2007-07-28$120,000
-
2006-10-10soldstatus
-
2004-10-25$75,000
-
2000-08-15soldstatus
-
1959-05-18soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,630 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,630 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,435
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,630
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,315
- − Management
- −$1,315
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $7,670
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,841
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,116/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,659
- Household income
- $50,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1314.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.01%
- Current HPI
- 174.4025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-33.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $50,000 MLSU
- 2021-10-08 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2010-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-01-21 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2009-09-27 Listed $22,000 MLSU
- 2009-08-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-07-28 Listed $120,000 MLSU
- 2006-10-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-10-25 Listed $75,000 MLSU
- 2000-08-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1959-05-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,630 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…