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C+ Composite 63.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$339,000

669 Spanish Dr N #21 · Longboat Key, FL 34228
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,087 sqft · SingleFamily · 262 Days on market
Built 1969 25 ac lot Est $525k · 35% under $1340/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Major Price Reduction for a quick sale! Calling all boaters. Are you looking for a lovely maintenance-free coastal community that lives like a single-family home? You may have just found your island getaway. Enjoy your million-dollar lifestyle in this manicured waterfront gem nestled between Sarasota Bay and the Gulf of Mexico. Spanish Main Yacht Club is an active and friendly 55-plus community with much to offer. This turnkey furnished villa just had a completely new roof installed in 2021 plus the air conditioning was replaced in 2018. The kitchen with newer white shaker cabinets, lovely granite countertops, undermount sink with all stainless steel appliances, canned lighting and vinyl flooring has recently been modernized. A lovely screened in lanai offers fresh morning breezes and relaxing secluded evenings for grilling, entertaining and the perfect place for your pet to enjoy. Boaters appreciate the on-site marina's deep-water access and accommodation for vessels of up to 40 feet. Boat slips and kayak storage are available for a nominal fee, but no extra charge for the dolphin and manatee watching in the marina waters, not to mention the eagle sightings. Longboat Key presents fabulous restaurants, gyms, Pilates, coffee shops, walk-to breakfast places, lush green parks, two fire stations complete with paramedics, a dedicated police station, banks, shops, plus so much more and a safe environment for all. The famous St. Armands Circle is on your way to downtown Sarasota. Pet-friendly with more activities than you can imagine. You can live full-time at 50 years young. Come on down! Lease in place from Dec, 2023 - March 2024. $24,000. Need to honor the lease.

Key facts

  • Shuffleboard courts
  • Community marina
  • Heated outdoor pool

Tags

FEMA APPROVED STORM MITIGATIONPRIVATE BEACH ACCESSCOMMUNITY MARINAHEATED OUTDOOR POOLSHUFFLEBOARD COURTSCLUBHOUSE WITH GAME ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $339k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-252 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $302k (10.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $339k).
  • Recommended offer: $298k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 0.5% in Longboat Key — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#693 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, housing C-, amenities F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 539 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($158k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($298k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 27% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $298,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
6.91%
Cash-on-cash
2.20%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$525,021
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
636 Tarawitt Dr 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+15%) 2mo $750,000 $601 61
780 Jungle Queen Way 0.30mi 2/1.0 1,242 (+14%) 6mo $600,000 $483 53
750 Saint Judes Dr N 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,246 (+15%) 18mo $600,000 $482 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-13,063
Equity at exit
$110,952
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$30,834
Equity at exit
$143,820

Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34228

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
539
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,882 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,778
Tax est. 1.5%
$424 /mo · $5,085/yr
Insurance
$141
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$1,340
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,025
Net cashflow
$-252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,202
Max offer price $302,486
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,750
Closing costs
$10,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
676 El Centro Longboat Key, FL 2.0 2.0 1427 $3,250 $2.28 23d 1 0.08mi
573 Spanish Dr N Longboat Key, FL 2.0 2.0 1380 $3,500 $2.54 16d 1 0.09mi
730 Spanish Dr S #99 Longboat Key, FL 2.0 2.0 1255 $2,800 $2.23 2d 1 0.13mi
655 Cedars Ct #655 Longboat Key, FL 1.0 2.0 1244 $7,000 $5.63 23d 1 0.17mi
535 Forest Way Longboat Key, FL 2.0 2.5 1440 $6,900 $4.79 23d 1 0.19mi
820 Spanish Dr S Longboat Key, FL 2.0 2.0 1390 $3,000 $2.16 16d 1 0.20mi
914 Spanish Dr S #76 Longboat Key, FL 2.0 2.0 1341 $6,500 $4.85 23d 1 0.30mi
957 Spanish Dr N Longboat Key, FL 2.0 2.0 1399 $5,500 $3.93 23d 1 0.31mi
5621 Gulf of Mexico Dr #102 Longboat Key, FL 2.0 2.0 1346 $6,000 $4.46 23d 1 0.35mi
615 Dream Island Rd #107 Longboat Key, FL 2.0 2.0 1293 $12,500 $9.67 23d 1 0.45mi
4825 Gulf of Mexico Dr #201 Longboat Key, FL 2.0 2.0 1393 $7,800 $5.60 23d 1 1.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$1,340 · $16,080/yr
Likely covers
watergym

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-03-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-12
    price $339,000
  3. 2026-02-15
    price $355,000
  4. 2026-02-03
    status Active
  5. 2026-01-31
    historical
  6. 2025-12-04
    price $375,000
  7. 2025-12-01
    price $398,000
  8. 2025-10-14
    status Active
  9. 2025-10-02
    status Pending
  10. 2025-09-28
    status Active
  11. 2025-08-29
    price $399,000
  12. 2025-07-10
    price $359,000
  13. 2025-05-28
    listed $385,000 Active
  14. 2023-10-27
    soldstatus $400,000 Closed 1688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1688 chars)

    Major Price Reduction for a quick sale! Calling all boaters. Are you looking for a lovely maintenance-free coastal community that lives like a single-family home? You may have just found your island getaway. Enjoy your million-dollar lifestyle in this manicured waterfront gem nestled between Sarasota Bay and the Gulf of Mexico. Spanish Main Yacht Club is an active and friendly 55-plus community with much to offer. This turnkey furnished villa just had a completely new roof installed in 2021 plus the air conditioning was replaced in 2018. The kitchen with newer white shaker cabinets, lovely granite countertops, undermount sink with all stainless steel appliances, canned lighting and vinyl flooring has recently been modernized. A lovely screened in lanai offers fresh morning breezes and relaxing secluded evenings for grilling, entertaining and the perfect place for your pet to enjoy. Boaters appreciate the on-site marina's deep-water access and accommodation for vessels of up to 40 feet. Boat slips and kayak storage are available for a nominal fee, but no extra charge for the dolphin and manatee watching in the marina waters, not to mention the eagle sightings. Longboat Key presents fabulous restaurants, gyms, Pilates, coffee shops, walk-to breakfast places, lush green parks, two fire stations complete with paramedics, a dedicated police station, banks, shops, plus so much more and a safe environment for all. The famous St. Armands Circle is on your way to downtown Sarasota. Pet-friendly with more activities than you can imagine. You can live full-time at 50 years young. Come on down! Lease in place from Dec, 2023 - March 2024. $24,000. Need to honor the lease.

  15. 2023-09-27
    status Pending 1688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1688 chars)

    Major Price Reduction for a quick sale! Calling all boaters. Are you looking for a lovely maintenance-free coastal community that lives like a single-family home? You may have just found your island getaway. Enjoy your million-dollar lifestyle in this manicured waterfront gem nestled between Sarasota Bay and the Gulf of Mexico. Spanish Main Yacht Club is an active and friendly 55-plus community with much to offer. This turnkey furnished villa just had a completely new roof installed in 2021 plus the air conditioning was replaced in 2018. The kitchen with newer white shaker cabinets, lovely granite countertops, undermount sink with all stainless steel appliances, canned lighting and vinyl flooring has recently been modernized. A lovely screened in lanai offers fresh morning breezes and relaxing secluded evenings for grilling, entertaining and the perfect place for your pet to enjoy. Boaters appreciate the on-site marina's deep-water access and accommodation for vessels of up to 40 feet. Boat slips and kayak storage are available for a nominal fee, but no extra charge for the dolphin and manatee watching in the marina waters, not to mention the eagle sightings. Longboat Key presents fabulous restaurants, gyms, Pilates, coffee shops, walk-to breakfast places, lush green parks, two fire stations complete with paramedics, a dedicated police station, banks, shops, plus so much more and a safe environment for all. The famous St. Armands Circle is on your way to downtown Sarasota. Pet-friendly with more activities than you can imagine. You can live full-time at 50 years young. Come on down! Lease in place from Dec, 2023 - March 2024. $24,000. Need to honor the lease.

  16. 2023-09-18
    price $425,000 1688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1688 chars)

    Major Price Reduction for a quick sale! Calling all boaters. Are you looking for a lovely maintenance-free coastal community that lives like a single-family home? You may have just found your island getaway. Enjoy your million-dollar lifestyle in this manicured waterfront gem nestled between Sarasota Bay and the Gulf of Mexico. Spanish Main Yacht Club is an active and friendly 55-plus community with much to offer. This turnkey furnished villa just had a completely new roof installed in 2021 plus the air conditioning was replaced in 2018. The kitchen with newer white shaker cabinets, lovely granite countertops, undermount sink with all stainless steel appliances, canned lighting and vinyl flooring has recently been modernized. A lovely screened in lanai offers fresh morning breezes and relaxing secluded evenings for grilling, entertaining and the perfect place for your pet to enjoy. Boaters appreciate the on-site marina's deep-water access and accommodation for vessels of up to 40 feet. Boat slips and kayak storage are available for a nominal fee, but no extra charge for the dolphin and manatee watching in the marina waters, not to mention the eagle sightings. Longboat Key presents fabulous restaurants, gyms, Pilates, coffee shops, walk-to breakfast places, lush green parks, two fire stations complete with paramedics, a dedicated police station, banks, shops, plus so much more and a safe environment for all. The famous St. Armands Circle is on your way to downtown Sarasota. Pet-friendly with more activities than you can imagine. You can live full-time at 50 years young. Come on down! Lease in place from Dec, 2023 - March 2024. $24,000. Need to honor the lease.

  17. 2023-08-09
    listed $455,000 Active 1688-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1688 chars)

    Major Price Reduction for a quick sale! Calling all boaters. Are you looking for a lovely maintenance-free coastal community that lives like a single-family home? You may have just found your island getaway. Enjoy your million-dollar lifestyle in this manicured waterfront gem nestled between Sarasota Bay and the Gulf of Mexico. Spanish Main Yacht Club is an active and friendly 55-plus community with much to offer. This turnkey furnished villa just had a completely new roof installed in 2021 plus the air conditioning was replaced in 2018. The kitchen with newer white shaker cabinets, lovely granite countertops, undermount sink with all stainless steel appliances, canned lighting and vinyl flooring has recently been modernized. A lovely screened in lanai offers fresh morning breezes and relaxing secluded evenings for grilling, entertaining and the perfect place for your pet to enjoy. Boaters appreciate the on-site marina's deep-water access and accommodation for vessels of up to 40 feet. Boat slips and kayak storage are available for a nominal fee, but no extra charge for the dolphin and manatee watching in the marina waters, not to mention the eagle sightings. Longboat Key presents fabulous restaurants, gyms, Pilates, coffee shops, walk-to breakfast places, lush green parks, two fire stations complete with paramedics, a dedicated police station, banks, shops, plus so much more and a safe environment for all. The famous St. Armands Circle is on your way to downtown Sarasota. Pet-friendly with more activities than you can imagine. You can live full-time at 50 years young. Come on down! Lease in place from Dec, 2023 - March 2024. $24,000. Need to honor the lease.

  18. 2007-07-15
    listed $309,000
  19. 2007-07-15
    listed $339,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$58,587
− Mortgage interest
−$18,989
− Property taxes
−$5,085
− Insurance
−$6,814
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,687
− Management
−$4,687
− HOA
−$16,080
− Depreciation
−$9,862
Taxable loss
−$7,617
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,828
After-tax cash flow
$-1,200/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Longboat Key

Score
64/100
State rank
#693
US rank
#14452

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Longboat Key, FL
County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
City population
7,539
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
7,539
Household income
$158,030
Rent vs Own
6.4% rent · 93.6% own
Severe rent burden
98.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.73%
Current HPI
234.5017
Rent YoY
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+9.7% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $339,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-15 Price Changed $355,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $375,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $398,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-14 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-02 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-28 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-29 Price Changed $399,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-10 Price Changed $359,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-28 Listed $385,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-27 Sold (MLS) $400,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-27 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-18 Price Changed $425,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-09 Listed $455,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-15 Listed $339,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-15 Listed $309,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…