425 SE 2nd St · Williston, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming fully updated home in the heart of Williston! This beautifully renovated residence features a brand-new kitchen, bathrooms, electrical system and repipe completed in 2025, along with a brand new HVAC system for year-round comfort. Thoughtful improvements include a durable metal roof and quality finishes throughout. Sit and relax on the inviting front porch overlooking an attractive decorative pond that enhances the home's curb appeal. The property also offers a convenient storage shed in the backyard and a well-proportioned lot ideal for outdoor enjoyment. Combination of classic character with modern updates makes this an exceptional opportunity in Levy County.
Key facts
- Durable metal roof
- Decorative pond
- Brand new kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.2 acres (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
- HOA & community: No association fees; Pets allowed; Development: Williston Acres
Exterior
- Parking: Directions indicate property is in the middle on SE 2nd St
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Internet available (broadband/high-speed); Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces west; Completed condition
- Construction: Metal roof; Other construction materials; Crawlspace foundation; Other foundation details; Built with a total building area of 1,452 square feet
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Decorative fireplace; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Indoor laundry; Other laundry features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (17.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.4% in Williston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#256 in FL, #4,045 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Joyce M. Bullock Elementary School (662 students, 70% FRL); Nature Coast Middle School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #399 of 571 statewide, top 71%, 90 students, 82% FRL, charter); Williston Middle High School (math 44% / reading 36%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,119 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: 359 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $200k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.10%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,416
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 SE 2nd St | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,321 (+13%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $106 | 73 |
| 215 SE 1st Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,235 (+6%) | 3mo | $207,000 | $168 | 72 |
| 435 SE 5 Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,184 (+1%) | 20mo | $235,000 | $198 | 68 |
| 315 SE 5th St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+3%) | 15mo | $249,900 | $208 | 66 |
| 755 S Main St | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 | 1,178 (+1%) | 16mo | $259,000 | $220 | 65 |
| 306 SE 4th St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+3%) | 22mo | $205,000 | $170 | 65 |
| 207 NE 3rd Ter | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+8%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $123 | 58 |
| 41 NW 5th St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,252 (+7%) | 7mo | $118,000 | $94 | 50 |
| 444 NE 2nd St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,164 (-0%) | 23mo | $218,000 | $187 | 43 |
| 448 NE 2nd Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,056 (-10%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $180 | 40 |
| 48 NE 1st Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,316 (+13%) | 21mo | $262,700 | $200 | 36 |
| 312 NE 4th Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-14%) | 14mo | $227,513 | $228 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-26,243
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-15,165
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32696
- Home prices YoY
- -6.2%
- Active inventory
- 359
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $889/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $98
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $211 | -5% $154 | +0% $98 | +5% $41 | +10% $-15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-32 | -5% $33 | +0% $98 | +5% $163 | +10% $228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $149 | base $98 | +0.5pp $46 | +1.0pp $-7 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 SE 5th Ter Williston, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,900 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $199,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $199,900 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Charming fully updated home in the heart of Williston! This beautifully renovated residence features a brand-new kitchen, bathrooms, electrical system and repipe completed in 2025, along with a brand new HVAC system for year-round comfort. Thoughtful improvements include a durable metal roof and quality finishes throughout. Sit and relax on the inviting front porch overlooking an attractive decorative pond that enhances the home's curb appeal. The property also offers a convenient storage shed in the backyard and a well-proportioned lot ideal for outdoor enjoyment. Combination of classic character with modern updates makes this an exceptional opportunity in Levy County.
-
2026-04-29price $199,900
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Charming fully updated home in the heart of Williston! This beautifully renovated residence features a brand-new kitchen, bathrooms, electrical system and repipe completed in 2025, along with a brand new HVAC system for year-round comfort. Thoughtful improvements include a durable metal roof and quality finishes throughout. Sit and relax on the inviting front porch overlooking an attractive decorative pond that enhances the home's curb appeal. The property also offers a convenient storage shed in the backyard and a well-proportioned lot ideal for outdoor enjoyment. Combination of classic character with modern updates makes this an exceptional opportunity in Levy County.
-
2026-04-09price $204,900 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Charming fully updated home in the heart of Williston! This beautifully renovated residence features a brand-new kitchen, bathrooms, electrical system and repipe completed in 2025, along with a brand new HVAC system for year-round comfort. Thoughtful improvements include a durable metal roof and quality finishes throughout. Sit and relax on the inviting front porch overlooking an attractive decorative pond that enhances the home's curb appeal. The property also offers a convenient storage shed in the backyard and a well-proportioned lot ideal for outdoor enjoyment. Combination of classic character with modern updates makes this an exceptional opportunity in Levy County.
-
2026-04-09price $204,900
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Charming fully updated home in the heart of Williston! This beautifully renovated residence features a brand-new kitchen, bathrooms, electrical system and repipe completed in 2025, along with a brand new HVAC system for year-round comfort. Thoughtful improvements include a durable metal roof and quality finishes throughout. Sit and relax on the inviting front porch overlooking an attractive decorative pond that enhances the home's curb appeal. The property also offers a convenient storage shed in the backyard and a well-proportioned lot ideal for outdoor enjoyment. Combination of classic character with modern updates makes this an exceptional opportunity in Levy County.
-
2026-04-03$209,900 Active 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Charming fully updated home in the heart of Williston! This beautifully renovated residence features a brand-new kitchen, bathrooms, electrical system and repipe completed in 2025, along with a brand new HVAC system for year-round comfort. Thoughtful improvements include a durable metal roof and quality finishes throughout. Sit and relax on the inviting front porch overlooking an attractive decorative pond that enhances the home's curb appeal. The property also offers a convenient storage shed in the backyard and a well-proportioned lot ideal for outdoor enjoyment. Combination of classic character with modern updates makes this an exceptional opportunity in Levy County.
-
2026-03-03price $209,900
-
2026-01-30$214,900 Active
-
2025-05-07soldstatus $50,000
-
1994-10-01soldstatus $15,800
-
1990-03-01soldstatus $11,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $889 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,659 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$770/yr (+$64/mo · 86.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$889
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$2,269
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$545
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Levy
- NCES district ID
- 1201140
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,254
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4673
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Williston
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #256
- US rank
- #4045
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williston, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,532
Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,536 people
- By 2030
- 34,498 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 30,294 · -17.1%
- By 2050
- 26,368 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 19,003 · -48.0%
- By 2100
- 13,169 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Levy
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.99%
- Current HPI
- 335.7751
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1638.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $199,900 realMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $199,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $204,900 realMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $204,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Listed $209,900 realMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $209,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listed $214,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1994-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,800 Public Records
- 1990-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.0%/yrLatest (2025): $889 · +37.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…