4336 Donovan Dr · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Absolutely a wonderful opportunity to make this one owner home your home. Beautiful setting high on a hill in this well established neighborhood. Home has new vinyl plank flooring through out with exception to the tiled bathrooms. The main bathroom has been completely renovated with a beautiful tile shower. All new stainless kitchen appliances with a nice pantry closet and freshly painted cabinets. New architectural roof as of 2023. The attached carport is wonderful and lets you step straight into the kitchen and be out of the weather. The front living room/dining room is very spacious with nice coat closet just inside the front door. From the living room head down the hall to the Bedrooms
Key facts
- Tiled bathrooms
- Pantry closet
- Vinyl plank flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Home warranty included
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; One carport space
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Brick and metal siding exterior; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Brick construction; Metal siding
- Exterior features: Patio; Storage structure; Partial privacy fencing; Fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Microwave hood fan
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first level; One bedroom on the first level with an attached bathroom; Third bedroom (on the first level) can be used as a den
- Flooring: Plank flooring; Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the first level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heat; Gas heating; Space heater; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Living/Dining room combination; Family room that could be used as a den; Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: First-level laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (12.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.45%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,647
- List price
- $159,950
- Delta
- 8.33%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Blake St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,194 (+1%) | 0mo | $162,000 | $136 | 89 |
| 4317 Hillside Oaks Ct | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,179 (-0%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $119 | 83 |
| 112 Blake St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,182 (-0%) | 11mo | $172,000 | $146 | 80 |
| 4369 Hillside Oaks Dr | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,171 (-1%) | 17mo | $125,000 | $107 | 70 |
| 4536 Wake Forest Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (+5%) | 4mo | $123,000 | $99 | 70 |
| 4329 Donovan Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,336 (+13%) | 18mo | $145,000 | $109 | 62 |
| 4237 Camellia Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,124 (-5%) | 23mo | $85,000 | $76 | 58 |
| 142 Hillside Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+12%) | 21mo | $160,000 | $120 | 55 |
| 4313 Hillside Oaks Dr | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,048 (-12%) | 24mo | $131,000 | $125 | 45 |
| 557 Forest Ridge Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,319 (+11%) | 22mo | $141,500 | $107 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-15,914
- Equity at exit
- $23,849
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,564
- Equity at exit
- $13,830
Cash invested: $44,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36109
- Home prices YoY
- -20.1%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $484/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $257 | -5% $211 | +0% $166 | +5% $121 | +10% $76 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $55 | -5% $110 | +0% $166 | +5% $222 | +10% $277 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $247 | -0.5pp $207 | base $166 | +0.5pp $125 | +1.0pp $82 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,988
- Closing costs
- $4,798
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4365 Hillside Oaks Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4536 Wake Forest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4046 Camellia Dr Unit 1 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4023 Ware Hill Dr Unit 1507324P Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $4,076 | $2.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 107 Dalraida Rd Unit A Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 103 Dalraida Rd Unit D Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 838 | $875 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4732 Retreat Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $995 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 538 Hollow Wood Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 564 Glade Park Loop Unit 1043856P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,736 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 610 S Georgetown Dr Unit 1386555P Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1474 | $3,635 | $2.47 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 633 Groveland Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,200 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 118 Nottingham Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,275 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 804 Hillman St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,295 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 804 Hillman St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,295 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 516 Lawndale Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,150 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 535 Lawndale Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,100 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 750 S Marquette Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $1,195 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3602 Little John Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 688 Joryne Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,200 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 860 Greg Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,295 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3515 Cottonwood Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1246 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 895 Greg Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,950 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,950 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,950 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,950 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,950 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,950 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,950 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,950 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,950 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,950 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,950 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,950 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,950 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,950 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,950 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,950 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Active 862-char remark
-
2026-05-13historical Contingent 862-char remark
-
2026-05-01$159,950 Active 862-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $484 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $656 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$172/yr (+$14/mo · 35.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,960
- − Property taxes
- −$484
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$4,653
- Taxable loss
- −$710
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$170
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,581
- Household income
- $59,193
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1039.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.64%
- Current HPI
- 149.3867
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.65%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — MAAR
- 2026-05-13 Contingent — MAAR
- 2026-05-01 Listed $159,950 MAAR
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $484 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…